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2018 Russian Presidential Election

2018 Russian Presidential Election
Category:
Politics
By
d_d
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Description

Will VLADIMIR PUTIN get more than 65% of the votes in Moscow ?

So far the general expectation seems to be that he easily will ?! How so ?

In my opinion, it is absolutely impossible. Feel free to disagree.
(No time-weight multiplier)

some general info to consider:

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/international/international/2018-russian-presidential-election/224912582/

Decision Logic

How many votes will mr. Putin get in Moscow in the 1st round?

This bet resolves as "YES" if he gets > 65% of votes , otherwise it resolves as "NO".

void if mr. Putin not on ballot, or un-opposed.

BBC/wikipedia and the data provided by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation will be used to determine the outcome of this bet.

CLOSING IN2018-03-17 23:01:00

1:02PM, Feb 27, 2018 UTC

11:01PM, Mar 17, 2018 UTC

5:00PM, Mar 21, 2018 UTC

RESOLVED AT 5:40PM, Mar 21, 2018 UTC

Total Volume: 0.1078

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Yes"

0.107846 was split between 7 bettors.
YES
Volume:0.0629
0.062946
# of Bets:7
NO
Volume:0.0449
0.0449
# of Bets:3

Discussion

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BenCarson 8:16PM, Mar 21, 2018 UTC
Thanks buddy
d_d 11:05AM, Mar 20, 2018 UTC
@dsarin not sure of what DNA you are talking about. UK is known as a global centre for corruption for a reason.
d_d 10:56AM, Mar 20, 2018 UTC
https://www.ft.com/content/efab0a30-2ad4-11e8-a34a-7e7563b0b0f4 Moscow thanks UK for helping Putin win landslide vote in Russia. Millions of Russians have to live for another 6 year under Putin's dictatorship thanks to Theresa May!
dsarin 7:33AM, Mar 20, 2018 UTC
@TuddFudders Cheating could be in the DNA at this stage. Whatever you do, be very careful when they offer you a cup of tea or have an umbrella around… Living up to the reputation.
d_d 3:15AM, Mar 20, 2018 UTC
@TuddFudders What the heck are you even talking about? if you don't like this proposition, don't bet, it is simple as that. You got free bitcoins and are not happy about it. Believe it not but not everyone is happy with Putin here. @dsarin just wow. May the beginners luck be forever with you!
TuddFudders 10:44PM, Mar 19, 2018 UTC
@d_d No it really isn't truly shocking at all that Putin got a landslide in Russia. I'm sure you tell yourself everyday what others know and that is Russia is not exactly a bastion of fair elections What is shocking is how disingenuous and sly you tried to be, still lost, and seemingly continuing to blow smoke up your own but about how morally superior you are. It's pretty pathetic what you tried to do as a host.
dsarin 9:19PM, Mar 19, 2018 UTC
@d_d you know exactly what I mean. This is NOT the question you advertised on Almanis, scum. You wrote under a DIFFERENT question: "d_d 20 days ago well, I have no reason to doubt my intuition and has already placed my bet that Putin will get less than 65% : https://www.betmoose.com/bet/2018-russian-presidential-election-4062#bets-1 you can bet against me you, if you wish, and you'll lose !!!" Just pathetic...
d_d 5:53PM, Mar 19, 2018 UTC
@TuddFudders It is truly shocking to see Putin winning in a landslide in Moscow. I feel for Hillary voters now...
d_d 5:31PM, Mar 19, 2018 UTC
@dsarin you should know better that only "Decision logic" matters. It took several days to count the votes 6 years ago, that's why Mar 21 has been chosen as the date to resolve this bet. This time the counting was done surprisingly quickly. The outcome is "YES". if you want to resolve this bet ahead of a schedule, moderator can be notified by clicking on the red button at the top of the page. At the very least win with dignity...
BenCarson 4:51PM, Mar 19, 2018 UTC
This was some of the easiest money I've ever made in my life.
dsarin 10:21AM, Mar 19, 2018 UTC
"Putin clinches nearly 71% of Moscow’s votes in Russian presidential election" http://tass.com/politics/994962
dsarin 10:18AM, Mar 19, 2018 UTC
No one claims you've changed the question BUT you have sneaked "in Moscow" which is just a pathetic way to cheat. The results are not preliminary! All votes in Moscow were counted according to the official website and he got 70.88%. At the very least lose with dignity... http://www.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/izbirkom?action=show&global=true&root=1000074&tvd=100100084849200&vrn=100100084849062&prver=0&pronetvd=null&region=0&sub_region=0&type=226&vibid=100100084849200
TuddFudders 3:50AM, Mar 19, 2018 UTC
"In my opinion, it is absolutely impossible." https://youtu.be/_n5E7feJHw0 Nice try being a sneaky host, Tovarishch.
d_d 9:51PM, Mar 18, 2018 UTC
if you click on the icon next to "Decision Logic" you may see that "The host cannot edit this". According to preliminary results you have won, but lets wait a bit for the final ones.
dsarin 8:30PM, Mar 18, 2018 UTC
Here is an official result for MOSCOW only, well over 70%. Even after cheating your bet was hopeless... http://www.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/izbirkom?action=show&global=true&root=1000074&tvd=100100084849200&vrn=100100084849062&prver=0&pronetvd=null&region=0&sub_region=0&type=226&vibid=100100084849200
dsarin 4:47PM, Mar 15, 2018 UTC
The question was about the overall election result NOT just on the Moscow vote count.
Avalon 10:18PM, Mar 14, 2018 UTC
We will keep the decision logic as is, but have added marking into both the logic, description and tags used on the Prop to make bettors aware the host will be resolving based on Moscow-votes only
cover 8:57PM, Mar 9, 2018 UTC
Be aware of the catch in the bet description. It's mentioned in the decision logic section and not in description neither title, that only votes in Moscow will be considered in the bet resolving. Putin's rating in Moscow is significantly lower that in Russia, and there will be many observers in Moscow. He won't gain even 50%. Read carefully the bet terms, it's your money.
d_d 5:59PM, Feb 27, 2018 UTC
http://мой-президент.рф/#statistics Pavel Grudinin is in the clear lead.

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