All Bets

2019-nCoV death rate

2019-nCoV death rate
Category:
Other
By
sanko
Share

Description

Predict new coronavirus mortality rate as of 04/15/2020. Now it is 305/(305+443)=40.7%

Decision Logic

We will use "total deaths" and "total recovered" from https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 taken at 13:00 UTC 04/15/2020. Then calculate (total deaths)/(total deaths+ total recovered) percent.

CLOSING IN2020-02-29 00:00:00

7:01PM, Feb 2, 2020 UTC

12:00AM, Feb 29, 2020 UTC

1:00PM, Apr 15, 2020 UTC

RESOLVED AT 1:42PM, Apr 15, 2020 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0155

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "20% to 30%"

0.0155 was split between 1 bettors.
>50%
Volume:0.0001
0.000112
# of Bets:1
30% to 50%
Volume:0.0002
0.0005265
# of Bets:2
20% to 30%
Volume:0.0001
0.000112
# of Bets:1
10% to 20%
Volume:0.0001
0.0002505
# of Bets:1
<10%
Volume:0.0150
0.061925
# of Bets:2

Discussion

Login or Sign Up to comment.

sanko 1:42PM, Apr 15, 2020 UTC
128011/(500996+128011)=20.3% Congrats johnny!
sanko 2:10PM, Feb 3, 2020 UTC
@Duckio Now it is 362/(362+520)=41% Also created faster bet: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/2019-ncov-death-rate-feb-2020-4916
Duckio 10:43AM, Feb 3, 2020 UTC
This isn't a good bet, because almost all diseases have a less than 10% mortality rate, even Spanish Flu. You should instead have divided it between 0.1-1%, 1-2%, 2-3% etc.

Direct Link (click to highlight):

BBCode (forums):

Anonymous Bet - care to Login or Sign Up?

Placing bet on ""

Send winnings to:


*For use with standalone wallets (bitcoin-qt, electrum).
Shared wallets (exchanges, multifactor) will not work!

Proceed

Send your bet to this address:

1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk

* Minimum bet is 0.0001 BTC

Your bet will be automatically entered when picked up - no confirmations needed!

Done