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2020 US Democratic Primary Election: Nevada

2020 US Democratic Primary Election: Nevada
Category:
Politics
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Description

Which Democratic candidate will win the most votes in the Nevada caucus on February 22nd, 2020?

Decision Logic

The candidate to receive the largest share of the votes in the Democrats 2020 Nevada caucus will be deemed the winner.

If the election results are close enough to trigger a recount, and a recount is announced prior to the outcome date of February 14th, 2020, then the bet will be settled after the final results are made official and only the final results will be considered in determining the winner.

If no recount is announced prior to the outcome date of February 14th, 2020, then the confirmed or projected winner will be deemed the winning candidate.

CNN will be used as the reference for a projected/confirmed winner

CLOSING IN2020-02-21 18:00:00

9:02AM, Dec 11, 2019 UTC

6:00PM, Feb 21, 2020 UTC

6:00PM, Feb 24, 2020 UTC

1.595xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0355

Joe Biden
Volume: 0.0130
0.09645533
# of Bets: 8
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Bernie Sanders
Volume: 0.0190
0.08356066
# of Bets: 7
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Elizabeth Warren
Volume: 0.0001
0.0009675
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Pete Buttigieg
Volume: 0.0032
0.007899
# of Bets: 5
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Other
Volume: 0.0002
0.000359
# of Bets: 2
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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Avalon 8:30PM, Dec 22, 2019 UTC
@sirlanka Yes they are valid however the prop will stay open for an additional 10 days before resolution.
sirlanka 5:11PM, Dec 20, 2019 UTC
@Avalon all bets here are still valid, right?
Fundraiser 3:45PM, Dec 20, 2019 UTC
The correct outcome date is Feb 24, 2020. The Feb 14 in the decision logic is a typo.
Avalon 11:57PM, Dec 19, 2019 UTC
We cannot modify an outcome date once a prop has wagers on it. Please re-create.

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