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Biden Will Win 2020 Election

Biden Will Win 2020 Election
Category:
Politics
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Description

The Republican Party is in an increasingly untenable position — how much longer can it really refuse to recognize Joe Biden as the president-elect?

Nearly two weeks after the election, there are signs that Republicans are starting to accept reality.
President Donald Trump’s legal campaign to reverse his election loss is crumbling all around him and there’s no mathematical possibility that he can reverse margins of 10,000 or more votes in the five states he won in 2016 but lost to Biden. Meanwhile, the Biden transition is stuck in molasses, and Trump is barely addressing the coronavirus spikes across the country, let alone cooperating with the incoming administration on vaccine distribution efforts.

Decision Logic

Yes- Biden Wins
No- Trump Wins
The bet will resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt.

CLOSING IN2021-01-04 22:00:00

1:38AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC

10:00PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC

6:00PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

5.600xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 1.469

YES
Volume: 1.293
7.81609795
# of Bets: 23
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.1759
1.07194748
# of Bets: 19
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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d_d 12:34PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC
@f84jf85hg7g5 Trump won the election and Biden won the count.
praine 4:29AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC
@f84jf85hg7g Biden won the election? Says who?
f84jf85hg7g 4:14AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC
You started this bet AFTER he won the election and people are betting "No"? lol.
vegai 7:51AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC
This market though carries with it the possibility that something happens to Biden in the following 2 months, which makes it a tad more interesting.
vegai 7:50AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC
This starts to be a bit cruel. But oh well.
CrazyBrazy 11:07PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC
The winner will be probably announced by the SC.
jeb_bush 5:56PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC
@CrazyBrazy would you mind answering my specific question about Jan 6th? Will you accept whatever votes are cast at that time as final result?
CrazyBrazy 8:26AM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC
A win is a win even if it is disputed in court
jeb_bush 7:44AM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC
So you're a self identified Trump supporter and better here @CrazyBrazy - given some of the wild claims coming out of the pro-Trump camp regarding legitimacy, what assurance do we have on your idea of what "the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt." means? Will you for example commit to resolve the bet for Biden if he receives > 270 electoral college votes in the joint session on Jan 6th? Even if in your mind those votes were somehow fraudulently generated? If so I'll bite.
praine 11:58AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC
Can't really do that now that you got all this volume (makes it slightly more favorable for 'No'). However, you can say that it will be washed (no one wins) if someone other than Biden or Trump 'wins'. Odds of it are so infinitesimally low that it doesn't really matter too much, though.
CrazyBrazy 11:49AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC
Important fix*** Yes - Biden Will WIN No - Biden will not win, doesn’t matter who takes charge of the office.
praine 7:47AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC
Hey, I bet yes and I'm not a democrat. :( I'm just paying to see the greatest political '**** you' of all time! And as it will happen to the left it will be very entertaining to me.
CrazyBrazy 7:27AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC
Yeah I’m ready to take some Democrats money :)
praine 3:32AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC
Pretty scathing bet description against Trump, even though you bet on him. :P Oh well, I'll give you action.

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