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Christ Stays Afloat - Census21 What is Your Religion?

Christ Stays Afloat - Census21 What is Your Religion?
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Description

Will England and Wales (E&W) remain a majority Christian country in 2022? In 2011 Christianity was the top answer to the 'What is Your Religion?' question, at 59% (33.2 million identified as Christian out of a total of 56.3 million), making England and Wales mainly Christian. At the previous census 2001, the % Christian was 72%.

PLEASE NOT THAT THERE HAS BEEN A DELAY ANNOUNCED FOR THE RELEASE OF THE CENSUS RESULTS. IT IS NOW EXPECTED THAT THIS BET WILL BE RESOLVED EARLY SUMMER 2022.

See https://metaphysicalcensus.bobprophette.com/ for more census betting opportunities.

Decision Logic

This bet is for England and Wales as a whole. This bet will be resolved upon publication by the Office for National Statistics of the detailed characteristics for the Religion question. Such as in the equivalent table for the 2011 Religious Populations 2011, Main Religions. Arbitration will be sought from British Religion in Numbers (BRIN) research programme in the event that it cannot be resolved to all bettors’ satisfaction.

This bet is expected to be resolved in March 2022 on the publication of the main results for the What is Your Religion? question.

435
CLOSING IN2022-02-28 00:00:00

3:34PM, Jul 20, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Feb 28, 2022 UTC

11:00PM, Mar 30, 2022 UTC

RESOLVED AT 10:48AM, Dec 3, 2022 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0025

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Christianity Sinks"

0.0025 was split between 1 bettors.
Christianity Stays Afloat
Volume:0.0015
0.02144
# of Bets:2
Coastguard Alerted
Volume:0.0005
0.01384
# of Bets:1
Christianity Sinks
Volume:0.0005
0.01384
# of Bets:1

Discussion

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BobProphette 1:52PM, Dec 3, 2022 UTC
Christianity is sinking! The numbers who consider themselves christain are now below 50%. Don't pin your hopes on a second coming either. Sorry JC.
BobProphette 6:33PM, Nov 22, 2022 UTC
The first set of Census religion bets are finally expected to be resolved on the 29th November 2022 with the publication of the Topic Summary on Ethnic Group, National Identity, Language and Religion. https://census.gov.uk/census-2021-results/phase-one-topic-summaries/ethnic-group-national-identity-language-and-religion
Avalon 5:08PM, May 5, 2022 UTC
To the anonymous user that reported this - this prop is expected to settle end of August 2022 due to delayed outcome reporting.

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