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Coronavirus Reported Cases

Coronavirus Reported Cases
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Description

What will be the estimated number of Coronavirus cases effective May 31, 2020?

https://www.statnews.com/2020/02/14/disease-modelers-see-future-of-covid-19/

For tracking 4 cases were reported on January 20, to 67,090 on Feb 15 to 510,108 on March 26 the previous bet.

The original question still applies what will we get to?

Decision Logic

Based on the WHO situation report figures, the global number of confirmed cases. Based on the figures recorded on the graph for May 31, 2020

This bet may close early if the reported cases exceed the maximum before the closing date.

Source: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

6:10PM, Mar 26, 2020 UTC

2:20AM, May 6, 2020 UTC

2:20AM, Jun 1, 2020 UTC

CANCELLED

This bet has been cancelled!

Reason: As requested.

1,000,000 Cases or Less
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
1,000,001 - 1,500,001
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
1,500,002- 2,000,001
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
2,000,002-2,500,001
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
2,500,002 + Cases
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0

Discussion

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freedom 1:44AM, Apr 15, 2020 UTC
By May 31st we would easily pass the outcome edited new date to May 5th
freedom 1:43AM, Apr 15, 2020 UTC
The bet is getting ridiculous, we are seeing the growth is exponential bet reset. https://www.betmoose.com/bet/coronavirus-reported-cases-new-5043#bets-1
freedom 1:36AM, Apr 15, 2020 UTC
2 Million April 15 4/14/2020, 6:52:09 PM 1,979,477
freedom 10:15PM, Apr 2, 2020 UTC
1 Million April 2
freedom 6:16PM, Mar 26, 2020 UTC
Meant May 31st not May 5th closing date
freedom 6:15PM, Mar 26, 2020 UTC
Will add some considerations, on March 26 2020 the average cases added per day from the start of the previous bet to its settlement date was 10,805 Cases. The question now is the velocity going upward or downward. https://www.betmoose.com/bet/coronavirus-reported-cases-4948#bets-1 Simple math if it goes at the same rate as the last bet adding the current cases it would be on option 2 on May 5th 67 days from now 724002+510108 = 1,234,110 Cases to be roughly accurate So we will see

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