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Democrats control Senate after 2022 Election

Democrats control Senate after 2022 Election


This is a market on which party will be elected to control the Senate at the start of the 118th Congress on 1/3/2023.

This market will be based on both the sitting senators at the end of that day as well as any elected but not yet seated senators.

Decision Logic

Yes=Democrat, No=Republican.
If someone is elected with a party affiliation but for some reason is not seated after 1/3, they will still count for that party for purposes of this market.

If there is litigation for any seats that is still being contested after 1/3/23 that prohibits an elected Senator from being seated, but that Senator has been called as the winner by at least 2/3 of CNN, FOX, or AP, that person will be considered the winner. A seat with no clear winner called by at least 2/3 of those will be considered empty.

Independents will count as a member of the party they choose to caucus with.

Any tie will go to the party of the sitting Vice President.

CLOSING IN2022-11-07 20:00:00

1:44PM, Aug 15, 2022 UTC

8:00PM, Nov 7, 2022 UTC

8:00AM, Jan 4, 2023 UTC

RESOLVED AT 5:30PM, Jan 9, 2023 UTC

Total Volume: 0.2904

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Yes"

0.29042005 was split between 8 bettors.
# of Bets:8
# of Bets:9


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planetnine 10:26PM, Jan 6, 2023 UTC
I emailed betmoose to resolve this but no response...
f84jf85hg7g 8:23PM, Nov 19, 2022 UTC
Crisis averted!
planetnine 3:29PM, Nov 16, 2022 UTC
Yes, it should resolve Democrat win. I have notified the moderators to see if we can resolve early.
bill_b 2:17PM, Nov 16, 2022 UTC
Looks as though we have a confirmed Democrat win. CNN & Fox show a current tie w/ Democrat VP, so Georgia run-off doesn't matter? CNN: Fox:
Porky 3:47PM, Nov 15, 2022 UTC
Porky 10:07PM, Aug 15, 2022 UTC
I don't know what you're smoking, but I'm glad you are!

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