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Democrats control Senate after 2022 Election

Democrats control Senate after 2022 Election
Category:
Politics
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Description

This is a market on which party will be elected to control the Senate at the start of the 118th Congress on 1/3/2023.

This market will be based on both the sitting senators at the end of that day as well as any elected but not yet seated senators.

Decision Logic

Yes=Democrat, No=Republican.
If someone is elected with a party affiliation but for some reason is not seated after 1/3, they will still count for that party for purposes of this market.

If there is litigation for any seats that is still being contested after 1/3/23 that prohibits an elected Senator from being seated, but that Senator has been called as the winner by at least 2/3 of CNN, FOX, or AP, that person will be considered the winner. A seat with no clear winner called by at least 2/3 of those will be considered empty.

Independents will count as a member of the party they choose to caucus with.

Any tie will go to the party of the sitting Vice President.

190
CLOSING IN2022-11-07 20:00:00

1:44PM, Aug 15, 2022 UTC

8:00PM, Nov 7, 2022 UTC

8:00AM, Jan 4, 2023 UTC

5.125xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0677

YES
Volume: 0.0365
0.3566332
# of Bets: 6
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0312
0.321576
# of Bets: 4
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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Porky 10:07PM, Aug 15, 2022 UTC
I don't know what you're smoking, but I'm glad you are!

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