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Democrats repeal senate filibuster in 2021?

Democrats repeal senate filibuster in 2021?
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Politics
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Description

Will democrats use their slim majority in the senate to repeal the filibuster there, allowing them to pass any legislation they want with only 50 votes? If they do so, they are likely to do it in 2021, as a late change to the rules would give them only a narrow window in which to pass legislation before the 2022 midterms, when they may lose control of the chamber.

Decision Logic

The logic is simple: If democrats remove the filibuster in the senate before January 1, 2022, the decision resolves as YES. If democrats do not remove the filibuster before January 1, 2022 the decision resolves as NO.

CLOSING IN2022-01-01 03:00:00

4:52PM, Jan 10, 2021 UTC

3:00AM, Jan 1, 2022 UTC

4:55AM, Jan 1, 2022 UTC

31.945xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0013

YES
Volume: 0.0003
0.011544
# of Bets: 2
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0010
0.037255
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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