Donald Trump @realDonaldTrump Tweets Jan 30 - Feb 6

Category:

Description

How many tweets will Donald Trump post from the @realDonaldTrump account between Jan 30 and noon Feb 6? Bets locked in at midnight on the Feb 4 for more risk and fun.

Decision Logic

At 12:00:00 p.m. (ET) on Feb 6, 2017, the number of total tweets posted by the Twitter account @realdonaldtrump, shall exceed 34403 by the number or range identified in the bet, as determined by browsing to the webpage https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump and mousing over the number labeled "TWEETS" in the navigation bar.

1650

CLOSING IN2017-02-05 04:55:00

5:51PM, Jan 30, 2017 UTC

4:55AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

5:00PM, Feb 6, 2017 UTC

RESOLVED AT 5:04PM, Feb 6, 2017 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0350

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "40-44"

0.035 was split between 2 bettors.

35 or fewer

Volume:	0.0050
0.008275
# of Bets:	1

40-44

Volume:	0.0100
0.013275
# of Bets:	2

45-49

Volume:	0.0100
0.013275
# of Bets:	2

50-54

Volume:	0.0050
0.008275
# of Bets:	1

55 or more

Volume:	0.0050
0.008275
# of Bets:	1

Related see more from Politics

Discussion

garbagebaby 5:04PM, Feb 6, 2017 UTC

Avalon: Thank you for the information. We end at 34445, thus we fall in 34445-34403=42. Thus the 40-44 range wins!

Avalon 4:22AM, Feb 6, 2017 UTC

FYI we cannot adjust bet outcome options. In this case, it's pretty obvious that the first one is 39 or fewer so please resolve it as such; however, in the future our only option would be to cancel it (so you can re-create it) thanks!

garbagebaby 6:49AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

Next market here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/donald-trump-realdonaldtrump-tweets-feb-5-feb-12-2668

garbagebaby 4:27AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

Thank you sanko for bringing the problem to my attention.

garbagebaby 4:27AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

I've gone ahead and notified Betmoose of the problem. Again: the "35 or fewer" range is meant to read as "39 or fewer".

garbagebaby 4:26AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

FOR THE RECORD: The first bracket was meant to read "39 or fewer." That is how this will be judged. Assuming Betmoose doesn't fix this for me, and people other than me end up betting on it, a result of 37 tweets would win for the lowest bracket.

garbagebaby 4:24AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

Oh! I see what you mean now. Oh, my. I made a big mistaken on the bet ranges here. Uh, I will ask Betmoose to either fix them or eliminate it entirely and make a new market. My apologies.

garbagebaby 4:23AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

Sanko: I'm not sure what you mean. If (somehow) the number of tweets in the hover-over value drops from ~34K to just "37", we'd apply the formula detailed in decision logic: 37-34403. Since that results in a negative number, that's far below 35. Thus, 35 or fewer would take it.

sanko 2:45PM, Feb 3, 2017 UTC

hello garbagebaby what if number of tweets equals 37? Will "35 or fewer" or "40-44" option win?

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