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Ebola Infection Rate by December?

Ebola Infection Rate by December?
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Description

US Center for Disease Control and Prevention in a new estimate said Ebola infections could hit 1.4 million by the end of January.

Using the new estimate measures, researchers predict that around 21,000 total Ebola cases will have occurred in Sierra Leone and Liberia by Sept. 30th.

As of September 23, 2014
Total Case Count: 5864

What will be the Ebola infection rate by December?

Decision Logic

CDC: http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/guinea/

Total Cases by December 1st will determine outcome.

CLOSING IN2014-11-18 04:00:00

7:11PM, Sep 23, 2014 UTC

4:00AM, Nov 18, 2014 UTC

5:00AM, Dec 1, 2014 UTC

RESOLVED AT 6:38PM, Dec 2, 2014 UTC

Total Volume: 0.1550

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "6,000 - 36,000"

0.155 was split between 4 bettors.
less than 6,000
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
6,000 - 36,000
Volume:0.0900
0.31575
# of Bets:4
36,000 - 216,000
Volume:0.0650
0.346375
# of Bets:3
216,000 - 1,296,000
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
greater than 1,296,000
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0

Discussion

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betty_moose 4:21PM, Oct 20, 2014 UTC
Total Case Count: 8997 (updated Oct 15th). @Gloomfrost based on predictions by CDC and other sources.
Gloomfrost 6:42AM, Oct 11, 2014 UTC
Just wondering how you came about the ranges?
betty_moose 2:48PM, Oct 1, 2014 UTC
Total Case Count: 6574 (updated Sept 29th). I wonder if they'll ever find a cure...

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