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Electoral College Fail

Electoral College Fail
Category:
Politics
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Description

December 14th 2020 is when the United States electoral college is supposed to cast it's final vote for president of the country. Trump is taking states to court to try prove fraud and demand recounts. Will he be able to postpone or hinder the final official electoral tally?

Electoral college electors can, in some states, cast a vote that isn't for their stated party, also known as a faithless elector. This rare event can happen and if 1 or more electors cast their vote for another candidate and it's accepted by the state then this bet will also be true.

Decision Logic

This bet resolves as yes if the electoral college does not cast all it's 538 votes by midnight on December 14th Eastern time.

This bet will also resolve as true if one or more electors cast their vote for another candidate than the party they are pledged to.d

CLOSING IN2020-12-13 03:00:00

8:54AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC

3:00AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC

3:00AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC

RESOLVED AT 5:52AM, Dec 20, 2020 UTC

Total Volume: 0.3943

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

0.39431642 was split between 11 bettors.
YES
Volume:0.1110
0.486055
# of Bets:9
NO
Volume:0.2833
0.91879362
# of Bets:11

Discussion

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Hodgkinson 11:02PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
@Avalon I believe this one is resolved as “No”? As far as I know there were no faithless electors and all states have certified their votes? Happy to be corrected but I think the decision logic has been met.
Avalon 3:43AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC
To the user that reported this prop regarding the time as written: we assume the host meant 'by midnight' of the 14th, so 11:59pm on the 14th, pre-15th. It doesn't really matter by the way as we would still have to wait for an outcome regardless of the semantics.
grolsch 9:43PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
@Futurepast You need to be more specific in the rules. What if an elector casts a ballot for another candidate (than to whom they are pledged), but then gets invalidated?

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