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Ethereum To Hard Fork in 2017

Ethereum To Hard Fork in 2017
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Bitcoin
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Description

Will Ethereum Hard Fork in 2017? If so, how many times?

Decision Logic

Outcome 1/1/2018

CLOSING IN2017-09-01 07:00:00

2:11AM, Jan 8, 2017 UTC

7:00AM, Sep 1, 2017 UTC

8:00AM, Jan 1, 2018 UTC

RESOLVED AT 8:03PM, Jan 1, 2018 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0803

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "More"

0.08032 was split between 2 bettors.
Zero
Volume:0.0303
0.1945928
# of Bets:6
One
Volume:0.0250
0.353825
# of Bets:3
Two
Volume:0.0150
0.381275
# of Bets:2
More
Volume:0.0100
0.2047
# of Bets:2

Discussion

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Avalon 9:28PM, Jan 3, 2018 UTC
We will resolve this as "More" unless we hear back from the author before Jan 8th
d_d 4:41PM, Jan 2, 2018 UTC
@BenCarson https://twitter.com/vitalikbuterin/status/919796864744132608 so you are telling me that these guys don't know what a hard fork is?
Avalon 6:31AM, Jan 2, 2018 UTC
We have an issue with this resolution @taiphoon - a 'hard fork' is defined as a change in the code of the network that invalidates previous blocks/transactions unless client software is updated. By our count, Ethereum underwent more than 2 hard forks as defined. It is not specified here that you are not referring to non-minority/non-contentious hard forks... Please state your case for 'Zero' as chosen based on the information provided in this prop.
BenCarson 1:21AM, Jan 2, 2018 UTC
@d_d you need to actually read the article you linked: "However, so far, there is no sign of a minority fork according to current fork logs, and developers are celebrating the transition on social media." It wasn't really a "fork" because there wasn't a minority fork. It was just an upgrade. So, Zero forks was the correct outcome.
d_d 11:18PM, Jan 1, 2018 UTC
wait, wait! 1 hard fork has actually happened: https://www.coindesk.com/ethereum-executes-blockchain-hard-fork-byzantium/

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