GDP Q4 2017 3.0% or greater (USA)
Description
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) of the US Department of Commerce publishes official Real GDP numbers for the USA. They publish 3 estimates, with the third one being considered the final, official number.
Decision Logic
This bet evaluates to Yes if the BEA's third estimate for 4Q 2017 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) scheduled to be announced on March 28, 2018, is 3.0 percent or greater; otherwise, it is No. If the announcement is made early, then we will resolve early. If the announcement is postponed, then we will cancel this bet.
To be clear, we are talking about "Real GDP, percent change from preceding quarter, the seasonally adjuated annual rate" as shown on the related picture. For Q3 2017, the metric we are looking at was 3.2 percent.
7:41AM, Jan 1, 2018 UTC
11:00PM, Mar 12, 2018 UTC
10:16PM, Mar 14, 2018 UTC
RESOLVED AT 10:00PM, Mar 28, 2018 UTC
Total Volume: 0.0521
This bet has been resolved!
The outcome was "No"
0.0521 was split between 6 bettors.
Volume: | 0.0500 |
# of Bets: | 1 |
Volume: | 0.0021 |
# of Bets: | 6 |
Related see more from Economy
Discussion
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