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GDP Q4 2017 3.0% or greater (USA)

GDP Q4 2017 3.0% or greater (USA)
Category:
Economy
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Description

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) of the US Department of Commerce publishes official Real GDP numbers for the USA. They publish 3 estimates, with the third one being considered the final, official number.

Decision Logic

This bet evaluates to Yes if the BEA's third estimate for 4Q 2017 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) scheduled to be announced on March 28, 2018, is 3.0 percent or greater; otherwise, it is No. If the announcement is made early, then we will resolve early. If the announcement is postponed, then we will cancel this bet.

To be clear, we are talking about "Real GDP, percent change from preceding quarter, the seasonally adjuated annual rate" as shown on the related picture. For Q3 2017, the metric we are looking at was 3.2 percent.

170
CLOSING IN2018-01-25 23:00:00

7:41AM, Jan 1, 2018 UTC

11:00PM, Jan 25, 2018 UTC

2:00AM, Mar 29, 2018 UTC

1.225xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0521

YES
Volume: 0.0500
0.19775
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0021
0.006283
# of Bets: 6
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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