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Georgia Runoff Elections & Control of the US Senate

Georgia Runoff Elections & Control of the US Senate
Category:
Politics
By
bill_b
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Description

On January 5th, 2021 there are two runoff elections in Georgia that will decide the control of the Senate:

Raphael Warnock (Democrat) vs Kelly Loeffler (Republican) and David Perdue (Republican) vs Jon Ossof (Democrat)

This bet is on whether Democrats will win BOTH of the above runoff elections or not. As of today and assuming Biden takes office, Democrats would control the Senate by winning both runoff elections. Republicans would need to win only one to retain control of the Senate.

Regardless of who becomes President or who actually controls the Senate on the resolution date, this bet will resolve based on if Democrats win BOTH runoff elections or not.

Decision Logic

If Republicans win one or both races, then "Republicans win 1 or 2 seats" will win.
If Democrats win both races, then "Democrats win both seats" will win.

Outcome Date will be extended until resolution of any recounts that may impact outcome.

CLOSING IN2021-01-05 04:55:00

6:16PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC

4:55AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC

1:30PM, Jan 6, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 2:32PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0324

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Democrats win both seats"

0.03240022 was split between 3 bettors.
Republicans win 1 or 2 seats
Volume:0.0177
0.0592923
# of Bets:14
Democrats win both seats
Volume:0.0147
0.05173537
# of Bets:3

Discussion

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bill_b 2:18PM, Jan 6, 2021 UTC
Election is "too close to call" as of this morning. Per Decision Logic, "Outcome Date will be extended until resolution of any recounts that may impact outcome".

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