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Losing My Religion - Census21 What is Your Religion?

Losing My Religion - Census21 What is Your Religion?
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Description

In 2011 there was a big increase in those ticking the box ‘No Religion’ at the Census for England and Wales. It almost doubled to reach 14 million (25%). This bet is that this trend will accelerate and that the number of classified as ‘No Religion’ will reach 20 million by 2021.

PLEASE NOT THAT THERE HAS BEEN A DELAY ANNOUNCED FOR THE RELEASE OF THE CENSUS RESULTS. IT IS NOW EXPECTED THAT THIS BET WILL BE RESOLVED EARLY SUMMER 2022.

See https://metaphysicalcensus.bobprophette.com/ for more census betting opportunities.

Decision Logic

This bet will be resolved upon publication by the Office for National Statistics of the detailed characteristics for the Religion question. Such as in the equivalent table for the 2011 Religious Populations 2011, Main Religions. Arbitration will be sought from British Religion in Numbers (BRIN) research programme in the event that it cannot be resolved to all bettors’ satisfaction.

This bet is expected to be resolved in March 2022 on the publication of the main results for the What is Your Religion? question.

371
CLOSING IN2022-02-28 00:00:00

3:54PM, Jul 20, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Feb 28, 2022 UTC

11:00PM, Mar 30, 2022 UTC

RESOLVED AT 10:49AM, Dec 3, 2022 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0020

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Yes"

0.002 was split between 1 bettors.
YES
Volume:0.0005
0.01384
# of Bets:1
NO
Volume:0.0015
0.02144
# of Bets:2

Discussion

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BobProphette 1:51PM, Dec 3, 2022 UTC
Michael Stipe was right! We are losing our religion. The number who ticked no religion or one of the other non belief caegories increased from 14 million in 2011 to 22 million in 2021.
BobProphette 6:32PM, Nov 22, 2022 UTC
The first set of Census religion bets are finally expected to be resolved on the 29th November 2022 with the publication of the Topic Summary on Ethnic Group, National Identity, Language and Religion. https://census.gov.uk/census-2021-results/phase-one-topic-summaries/ethnic-group-national-identity-language-and-religion
Avalon 1:58AM, Nov 8, 2022 UTC
This is expected to be resolved 29th Nov 2022

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