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Losing My Religion - Census21 What is Your Religion?

Losing My Religion - Census21 What is Your Religion?
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Description

In 2011 there was a big increase in those ticking the box ‘No Religion’ at the Census for England and Wales. It almost doubled to reach 14 million (25%). This bet is that this trend will accelerate and that the number of classified as ‘No Religion’ will reach 20 million by 2021.

See https://metaphysicalcensus.bobprophette.com/ for more census betting opportunities.

Decision Logic

This bet will be resolved upon publication by the Office for National Statistics of the detailed characteristics for the Religion question. Such as in the equivalent table for the 2011 Religious Populations 2011, Main Religions. Arbitration will be sought from British Religion in Numbers (BRIN) research programme in the event that it cannot be resolved to all bettors’ satisfaction.

This bet is expected to be resolved in March 2022 on the publication of the main results for the What is Your Religion? question.

75
CLOSING IN2022-02-28 00:00:00

3:54PM, Jul 20, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Feb 28, 2022 UTC

11:00PM, Mar 30, 2022 UTC

20.265xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0010

YES
Volume: 0.0005
0.01384
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0005
0.01384
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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