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Marine Le Pen, the next French President in 2017

Marine Le Pen, the next French President in 2017


The first round of the 2017 French presidential election will be held on 23 April 2017.

If Marine Le Pen is elected, the bet will resolve as YES.

Should no candidate win an outright majority, a run-off between the top two will be held on 7 May 2017.

Decision Logic

Any relevant network news as CNN, CNBC, Euronews, Bloomberg.

CLOSING IN2017-05-07 19:00:00

8:53PM, Nov 22, 2016 UTC

7:00PM, May 7, 2017 UTC

7:23PM, May 7, 2017 UTC

Early Outcome

RESOLVED AT 8:01PM, May 7, 2017 UTC

Total Volume: 4.923

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

4.92320318 was split between 32 bettors.
# of Bets:27
# of Bets:32


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BenCarson 11:23PM, May 7, 2017 UTC
*yawn* truth defeated rightwing populism again
d_d 5:06PM, Apr 22, 2017 UTC
What truth? Europe will defeat rightwing populism. Again.
cryptoman 10:26PM, Apr 13, 2017 UTC
Stop spamming!!!
BenCarson 10:38PM, Apr 12, 2017 UTC
@TrumpWillWin you just placed a bet on Marine Le Pen that will net you about 40% ROI. If you want to make 100% ROI, feel free to fill some of my offers on this page:
TrumpWillWin 1:13AM, Apr 7, 2017 UTC
*yawn* The truth will win. Again.
BenCarson 4:27PM, Mar 19, 2017 UTC
@jookes @pantone @qwertziop @cannavacciuolo @dads19 you can get much better return on investment buying Le Pen in this market instead:
BenCarson 4:25PM, Mar 19, 2017 UTC
Seriously why are you people buying Le Pen YES here for 66% ROI when I'm offering 100% ROI here?
BenCarson 6:37PM, Mar 11, 2017 UTC
If you want to bet YES on Le Pen, I'm offering 3x fixed odds over here:
cryptoman 9:29PM, Jan 21, 2017 UTC
You are welcome :-)
praine 8:19PM, Jan 19, 2017 UTC
Thank you!
cryptoman 6:06PM, Jan 19, 2017 UTC
If after 7th May she will be the winner of French presidential elections, the bet resolves as YES. If she manages to WIN (=get enough votes to be the next elected French President) on the first turn and there will be no need to vote again, bet resolves as YES as well. The bet resolves as NO only if she loses the election. LOSE THE ELECTION = NO = if the next elected French president will NOT be Marine Le Pen. Hope it is clear for everybody now. Cheers.
praine 10:10PM, Jan 18, 2017 UTC
I'm sorry, I hate to nitpick, but the way you worded that last comment could be misconstrued by people thinking "passing the first turn" simply means "making it into the second turn" (following Zarathustra's use of the word). So you need to clarify that your use of "passing"' = winning the presidency. She either must win the presidency right then and there after the first round (there is no second round), or make it to the second round then win the presidency there. Just confirm this, please.
cryptoman 8:52PM, Jan 18, 2017 UTC
Hello, as stated in the description, if she passes at the first turn, the bet will resolve as YES. If she doesn't pass at the first turn, but she wins the presidency on 7th may, the bet will resolve as YES as well. In any other case the bet will resolve as NO. I hope it is clearer now.
Zarathustra 2:24PM, Jan 18, 2017 UTC
Hello, you mean that this bet resolves with Marine Le Pen becoming outright president at the first turn, or just pass the first turn? Thank you.

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