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Marine Le Pen, the next French President in 2017
Marine Le Pen, the next French President in 2017
Description
The first round of the 2017 French presidential election will be held on 23 April 2017.
If Marine Le Pen is elected, the bet will resolve as YES.
Should no candidate win an outright majority, a run-off between the top two will be held on 7 May 2017.

Decision Logic
Any relevant network news as CNN, CNBC, Euronews, Bloomberg.
CLOSING IN2017-05-07 19:00:00
8:53PM, Nov 22, 2016 UTC
7:00PM, May 7, 2017 UTC
7:23PM, May 7, 2017 UTC
Early Outcome
RESOLVED AT 8:01PM, May 7, 2017 UTC
Total Volume: 4.923
This bet has been resolved!
The outcome was "No"
4.92320318 was split between 32 bettors.
YES
Volume: | 1.928 |
# of Bets: | 27 |
NO
Volume: | 2.995 |
# of Bets: | 32 |
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Discussion


*yawn* truth defeated rightwing populism again


What truth? Europe will defeat rightwing populism. Again.


Stop spamming!!!


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*yawn*
The truth will win. Again.


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You are welcome :-)



Thank you!


If after 7th May she will be the winner of French presidential elections, the bet resolves as YES.
If she manages to WIN (=get enough votes to be the next elected French President) on the first turn and there will be no need to vote again, bet resolves as YES as well.
The bet resolves as NO only if she loses the election. LOSE THE ELECTION = NO = if the next elected French president will NOT be Marine Le Pen.
Hope it is clear for everybody now. Cheers.



I'm sorry, I hate to nitpick, but the way you worded that last comment could be misconstrued by people thinking "passing the first turn" simply means "making it into the second turn" (following Zarathustra's use of the word). So you need to clarify that your use of "passing"' = winning the presidency. She either must win the presidency right then and there after the first round (there is no second round), or make it to the second round then win the presidency there. Just confirm this, please.


Hello, as stated in the description, if she passes at the first turn, the bet will resolve as YES.
If she doesn't pass at the first turn, but she wins the presidency on 7th may, the bet will resolve as YES as well.
In any other case the bet will resolve as NO.
I hope it is clearer now.


Hello,
you mean that this bet resolves with Marine Le Pen becoming outright president at the first turn, or just pass the first turn? Thank you.
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