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    Midterm elections 2018: The House

    Midterm elections 2018: The House
    Category:
    Politics
    By
    Lugal
    Share

    Description

    On Tuesday, November 6, 2018, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives will be contested. Today, Republicans have the majority in the House. Who will have the majority after the midterm elections?

    Decision Logic

    The bet will be decided by the reporting of CNN and the Washington Post.
    The bet resolves as Black swan if something happens that renders the question void: anything from an alien invasion to totalitarian dictatorship.

    Outcome date has some time buffer in case the decision process should get messy.

    1361
    CLOSING IN2018-10-23 06:00:00

    1:01PM, Nov 10, 2017 UTC

    6:00AM, Oct 23, 2018 UTC

    7:00AM, Nov 8, 2018 UTC

    4.380xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

    Total Volume: 1.264

    Republicans
    Volume: 0.5871
    12.02747252
    # of Bets: 15
    Payout
    ROI
    0.00
    0%

    *assumes current weight and volumes

    Democrats
    Volume: 0.6762
    12.35425535
    # of Bets: 26
    Payout
    ROI
    0.00
    0%

    *assumes current weight and volumes

    Third party
    Volume: 0.0001
    0.001109
    # of Bets: 1
    Payout
    ROI
    0.00
    0%

    *assumes current weight and volumes

    Black swan
    Volume: 0.0003
    0.002954
    # of Bets: 3
    Payout
    ROI
    0.00
    0%

    *assumes current weight and volumes

    Discussion

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