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No Vicar! We’re Wicca

No Vicar! We’re Wicca
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Description

This bet is that Wiccans and their friends will reach 100,000 affiliates in the 2021 census for England and Wales. Between 2001 and 2011 there was a huge increase in those choosing Wicca and associated religions to affiliate with. From 41,000 to over 77,000. This bet groups a number of responses to the ‘What is Your Religion?’ question, specifically: Animism, Druid, Heathen, Mysticism, Pagan, Shamanism, Vodun, Wicca and Witchcraft to see whether taken together they can reach 100,000 affiliates in total in the 2021 Census.
For more detail see: https://metaphysicalcensus.bobprophette.com/product/no-vicar-were-wicca/

Decision Logic

The Data Gamble’s Metaphysical Census allows you make money from gambling on religious beliefs using the the 2021 population Census for England and Wales (E&W). This bet will be resolved upon publication by the Office for National Statistics of the Topic Summary for Ethic Group, National Identity, Language an Religion data release as detailed in Table 58A. Arbitration will be sought from British Religion in Numbers (BRIN) research programme in the event that it cannot be resolved to all bettors’ satisfaction.

CLOSING IN2022-08-31 23:00:00

12:37PM, Jun 5, 2022 UTC

11:00PM, Aug 31, 2022 UTC

11:00PM, Sep 30, 2022 UTC

RESOLVED AT 10:55AM, Dec 3, 2022 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0002

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Yes"

0.0002 was split between 1 bettors.
YES
Volume:0.0001
0.0001
# of Bets:1
NO
Volume:0.0001
0.0001
# of Bets:1

Discussion

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Data-Gamble 1:45PM, Dec 3, 2022 UTC
Wiccans and their friends have reached more than 100,000 affiliates in the 2021 census. Thats up from 77,412 in 2011. The increase is a lot less than would have been expected given the trend but still impressive. The Shamans are the star performers showing an incredible 1114% increase. Solid performance was seen by Animists, Heathens, Voduns and Wiccans. But sadly Witches, Mystics and Druids have note aquitted themeselves well at all. Each showing a decline on numbers since 2011.
Data-Gamble 11:38AM, Nov 6, 2022 UTC
The first set of Census religion bets are finally expected to be resolved on the 29th November 2022 with the publication of the Topic Summary on Ethnic Group, National Identity, Language and Religion. https://census.gov.uk/census-2021-results/phase-one-topic-summaries/ethnic-group-national-identity-language-and-religion

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