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Oroville Dam Break - Disaster

Oroville Dam Break - Disaster


Will the Oroville dam break, causing a major disaster in California? Or will American engineers be able to stabilize the dam, averting the disaster?

Decision Logic

The oroville dam breaks and fails, causing a major disaster in California in 2017, with multiple major American news agencies reporting that the dam has failed. Destruction of property and the dam will cause yes to win. If dam has not been destroyed by the end of 2017, the no's win.

CLOSING IN2017-11-01 07:05:00

11:51PM, Feb 14, 2017 UTC

7:05AM, Nov 1, 2017 UTC

7:05AM, Jan 1, 2018 UTC

RESOLVED AT 1:23AM, Jan 2, 2018 UTC

Total Volume: 1.534

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

1.5335 was split between 15 bettors.
# of Bets:6
# of Bets:15


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regexlove 6:38PM, Jan 2, 2018 UTC
@Avalon logically, it is not necessary to be final since it took 100 days or so for anyone to bet against me. And you do manual work anyway. Or generally/in future there could have be a Poll/Mediation option to cancel bets.
Avalon 3:14PM, May 18, 2017 UTC
Hi @regexlove - sorry all wagers are final, please be more careful next time.
regexlove 8:27AM, May 17, 2017 UTC
(if by chance anyone bids yes before my bid is canceled, then please confirm here that, you won't mind)
regexlove 8:05AM, May 17, 2017 UTC
hi:) my bet seconds ago shall be canceled. i truly thought i was at the bet next to it "Bitcoin Cryptography Broken in 2017" i also don't want to bet "no" politically, because i cant judge and it may be important thanks
TheProphecy 11:32PM, Feb 15, 2017 UTC
Thanks for taking my bet. Hopefully the residents stay safe throughout any outcome. I have increased the yes bet to generate more interest.

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