Party to control the Senate after 2022 Election?
This is a market on which party will be elected to control the Senate at the start of the 118th Congress on 1/3/2023.
Because this has an early deadline and in order to minimize any randomness about unforeseen circumstances, this market will be based on both the sitting senators at the end of that day as well as any elected but not yet seated senators.
Note - Decision logic says "seated until 1/7", that should read "seated after 1/3", 1/7 was from an example that was too long
If someone is elected with a party affiliation but for some reason is not seated until 1/7, they will still count for that party for purposes of this market.
If there is litigation for any seats that is still being contested after 1/3/23 that prohibits an elected Senator from being seated, but that Senator has been called as the winner by at least 2/3 of CNN, FOX, or AP, that person will be considered the winner. A seat with no clear winner called by at least 2/3 of those will be considered empty.
Independents will count as a member of the party they choose to caucus with.
Any tie will go to the party of the sitting Vice President.
10:49PM, Aug 13, 2021 UTC
6:55AM, Aug 14, 2022 UTC
7:55AM, Jan 4, 2023 UTC
36.475xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier
Total Volume: 0.0100
Related see more from Politics
Placing bet on ""
Send winnings to:
*For use with standalone wallets (bitcoin-qt, electrum).
Shared wallets (exchanges, multifactor) will not work!
Send your bet to this address:
* Minimum bet is 0.0001 BTC
Your bet will be automatically entered when picked up - no confirmations needed!