Senate confirms Gorsuch to SCOTUS using Nuclear Option
Description
Jan 31st, 2017: Trump nominates Neil Gorsuch, a federal judge on the 10th Circuit, to fill the SCOTUS seat vacated by Antonin Scalia. Confirming Gorsuch to SCOTUS requires a simple majority vote in the Senate, but several Dem. senators have expressed their intention to filibuster the nomination because they consider the seat 'stolen' from Obama's nominee, Merrick Garland. 60 votes are needed to end the filibuster.
GOP senators have in return threatened to use the 'Nuclear Option' to abolish the filibuster so Gorsuch can be confirmed by a simple majority vote.
Senate party breakdown: 52 Republican, 44 Democrat, 2 Independent (who caucus and usually vote with the Democrats).
Decision Logic
A confirmation vote is expected by April 10th (could be slightly earlier or later). GOP may take several days to invoke the Nuclear Option, so betting conditions will be:
Betting will end April 7th.
YES wins if the Senate uses the Nuclear Option to confirm Gorsuch to SCOTUS by the end of April 24th. NO wins if Gorsuch is not confirmed in this way by April 25th.
8:44AM, Mar 23, 2017 UTC
4:00AM, Apr 6, 2017 UTC
5:56AM, Apr 8, 2017 UTC
RESOLVED AT 9:27AM, Apr 8, 2017 UTC
Total Volume: 0.1671
This bet has been resolved!
The outcome was "Yes"
0.16706556 was split between 7 bettors.
Volume: | 0.1130 |
# of Bets: | 7 |
Volume: | 0.0540 |
# of Bets: | 5 |
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