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The 45th or 46th U.S. President in 2020

The 45th or 46th U.S. President in 2020
Category:
Politics
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Description

The 2020 U.S. Presidential race closes on election day Tuesday NOV3, 2020. The elected president becomes the 46th U.S. President if Trump does not win. State voters will select presidential electors who in turn elect a president and vice president through the electoral college.
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This proposition mimics the 2016 one by sandhog, which opened before major parties nominated final candiates, and closed shortly before election day.

Decision Logic

Final results with major media announcements of the winner. Without a consensus, such as with the 2000 recount that involved the U.S. Supreme Court, the outcome may be delayed until certain.

CLOSING IN2020-11-03 04:55:00

3:34PM, Feb 12, 2020 UTC

4:55AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC

3:00AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC

2.090xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 66.74

TRUMP
Volume: 37.71
444.77797812
# of Bets: 86
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

SANDERS
Volume: 0.1414
2.52785478
# of Bets: 14
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

BUTTIGIEG
Volume: 0.0209
0.361364
# of Bets: 7
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

BLOOMBERG
Volume: 0.0165
0.5324315
# of Bets: 6
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

OTHER
Volume: 28.85
309.90030798
# of Bets: 133
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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Eirik 12:36PM, Aug 3, 2020 UTC
Funny thing is that bitcoin will probably be in a bull market all the way until November. This is a good way of hodling
jagsbeach 6:15PM, Aug 1, 2020 UTC
for the record, I am no longer placing bets. also, what I placed to seed was evenly distributed.
jagsbeach 6:11PM, Aug 1, 2020 UTC
@fast_charge per decision logic, a major media consensus is the primary trigger. if the media does not form a consensus, it would likely fall to a court decision. claims by a party or candidate are not part of the equation.
fast_charge 4:50PM, Jul 31, 2020 UTC
jagsbeach: consider the following hypothetical scenario: after election day mainstream media outlets (tv stations, newspapers, etc.) show that biden was the clear winner. assume trump does not concede defeat. instead he claims there was voter fraud, says the outcome is illegitimate, etc. maybe he vows to take legal action to challenge the election results, etc. if this sort of scenario were to play out, this bet would still resolve in favor of OTHER, correct?
Eirik 11:24AM, Jul 31, 2020 UTC
God bless the person who put 17 bitcoin on Trump!
jagsbeach 3:25PM, Jul 15, 2020 UTC
For VP https://betmoose.com/bet/us-democratic-vice-presidential-nominee-5096
jagsbeach 12:33PM, Jul 15, 2020 UTC
Wow. It’s on. Again for clarity Biden (or anyone else not listed here) is Other.
Neptunocrat 6:43AM, Jun 15, 2020 UTC
Do you think Trump will win wisconsin, Michiagan and Pensylvania? Bet Here. https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-trump-win-pensylvania-wisconsin-and-michigan-5076
d_d 2:52AM, May 26, 2020 UTC
Everything is still possible. My guess is if Biden somehow drops out (for any reason) Amy Klobuchar, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, Bernie Sanders and Mike Bloomberg are basically OBLIGED to unsuspend their campaigns.
jagsbeach 2:07PM, May 25, 2020 UTC
Yes, BIDEN is OTHER. When this was created, after Iowa but before South Carolina, these choices represented the top odds by other bookmakers. Joe Biden was written off. Honestly, I considered replacing Pete with Joe at the time. But I stuck with the Odds at the time.
4dniner 9:43AM, Mar 28, 2020 UTC
I like how Creepy Joe is referred to as "other"

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