All Bets

Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)

Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)
Category:
Politics
Share

Description

Will Donald Trump win the 2020 Presidential Election?

This market will allow betting through election day and in the days after as more results come in, and will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt.

Decision Logic

Will Donald Trump be the winner of the 2020 U.S. presidential general election? Yes means he will, no means he will not. No means he will not win reelection for any reason, such as death or resignation. I reserve the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Early resolution of this market is possible if the final result is known sooner than the betting deadline.

CLOSING IN2021-01-06 00:00:00

10:09AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 6, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

Offered Volume: 34.91
Backed Volume: 21.14
8.00x
1.05x
YES
7.57x
0.0820
7.80x
0.1410
8.00x
0.1950
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*does not include 3% fee

NO
-
-
-
-
1.05x
3.000
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*does not include 3% fee

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Expected Payout
10:22AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.82x 1.51708000
3:19AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.0116 7.51x 0.08450252
8:02PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.6 7.07x 4.11474000
7:55PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.90x 0.91956000
7:35PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.91x 0.92072400
6:21PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05270342 7.91x 0.40437753
4:13PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
12:17PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.499 1.06x 0.51307180
12:12PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.06x 0.10282000
11:18AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.037 7.86x 0.28209540
9:45AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.05x 0.10185000
5:20AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.07782052 8.23x 0.62124899
4:46AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 9.50x 0.09215000
4:42AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 9.50x 0.04607500
4:40AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.015 9.50x 0.13822500
3:24AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 9.25x 0.05383500
3:14AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.053 8.50x 0.43698500
3:12AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 8.50x 0.24735000
9:02PM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01674224 7.00x 0.11367981
10:31AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.48x 0.86912000
10:30AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.71x 1.49574000
9:48AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0505 8.23x 0.40314655
6:52AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 12.43x 1.20571000
5:35AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014686 12.02x 0.17122995
4:40AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 12.02x 0.23318800
11:20PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC tecladoreal Yes 0.0132 11.00x 0.14084400
9:59PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.00690062 10.00x 0.06693601
10:55AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 6.05x 0.23474000
8:54AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC lwaclaws Yes 0.02142857 6.06x 0.12596142
5:57PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.04x 0.10088000
5:47PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Timm Yes 0.00591927 4.20x 0.02411511
2:31PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08292982 5.32x 0.42795104
12:29PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 5.30x 0.05141000
7:11AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.04x 0.01008800
6:57AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC leili Yes 0.00992412 5.60x 0.05390782
5:18AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.05 1.04x 0.05044000
5:23PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 5.00x 0.09700000
5:02PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 5.00x 0.02425000
5:43PM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.03x 0.02939100
3:40AM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.035 3.02x 0.10252900
4:43PM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC bcide No 0.02 1.05x 0.02037000
10:27AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.112 1.10x 0.11950400
10:07AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC nsob No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
9:49AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04945 2.69x 0.12902989
8:35AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.36 1.12x 0.39110400
5:52PM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 2.65x 0.25705000
10:07AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.10x 0.04268000
5:58AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.005 4.40x 0.02134000
11:15PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.0643 4.50x 0.28066950
6:24PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.50x 0.87300000
6:23PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.81x 0.93314000
2:21PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08505 4.51x 0.37206824
7:22AM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.15 1.10x 0.16005000
8:11PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0056 4.51x 0.02449832
12:01PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC lwaclaws Yes 0.0233827 4.51x 0.10229230
12:11PM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12 1.10x 0.12804000
8:57AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC jbet Yes 0.07 4.01x 0.27227900
8:52PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0637 1.10x 0.06796790
8:29PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0309576 1.10x 0.03303176
4:33PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC tadarlis No 0.01840478 1.10x 0.01963790
11:43PM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 3.53x 0.10272300
8:44AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03794861 3.54x 0.13030794
7:08AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC dddavidp Yes 0.0050371 3.85x 0.01881105
11:10PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen Yes 0.011 4.00x 0.04268000
5:54AM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0679 1.10x 0.07244930
6:39PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.22056853 1.10x 1.30234662
6:07PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC dogiv No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
2:33PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC justbet No 0.26680842 1.10x 0.28468458
6:43AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Fundraiser No 0.087 1.10x 0.09282900
12:49AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC ezuser1 Yes 0.005 3.00x 0.01455000
2:45PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.33 3.11x 0.99551100
11:08AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.13 3.09x 0.38964900
10:38AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.83x 0.74302000
10:28AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.33 5.79x 1.85337900
4:56AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 3.09x 0.29973000
3:04AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.09x 0.52865000
12:55AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00552791 3.04x 0.01630070
12:16AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0519753 1.09x 0.05495348
8:00PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.15 3.03x 0.44086500
3:09PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC bronco Yes 0.069 3.01x 0.20145930
2:29PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC leen93 No 0.037 1.09x 0.03912010
2:02PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.009 3.01x 0.02627730
12:45PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01097086 1.09x 0.01159949
9:19AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.05x 0.59170000
6:20AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02780697 3.07x 0.08280638
4:18AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.0065 3.00x 0.01891500
1:37AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.006 4.00x 0.02328000
9:54PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.018 4.28x 0.07472880
4:22PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0202672 5.74x 0.11284372
4:30PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 3.02x 0.01757640
7:15AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.06x 0.02968200
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.027 3.04x 0.07961760
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 3.50x 0.49567000
12:05AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.024 4.00x 0.09312000
8:22PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC Nylan Yes 0.34939565 3.51x 1.18958737
6:25PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.26 2.59x 0.65319800
3:59PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC johnconnors11 Yes 0.1 2.59x 0.25123000
2:40PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC fritz Yes 0.015 1.75x 0.02546250
12:12PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC leen93 Yes 0.013 1.75x 0.02206750
3:49AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.05 1.10x 0.05335000
3:40AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC harrycarry No 0.0135 2.00x 0.02619000
2:45AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.01766145 1.46x 0.02501215
2:41AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.00552462 1.46x 0.00782397
2:23AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC blairchap Yes 0.01 1.46x 0.01416200
1:20AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC ColdNights Yes 0.01256081 1.44x 0.01754494
12:08AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.0286052 1.82x 0.05049962
11:54PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.23266232 1.82x 0.41074206
10:32PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC qweasd170 Yes 0.00574737 1.77x 0.00986766
10:19PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC jokesrequiem Yes 0.3 1.77x 0.51507000
8:59PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC wulfgvngg Yes 0.01676 1.77x 0.02877524
7:46PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC gtcsr22xx Yes 0.024 1.77x 0.04120560
1:21PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 4.323 1.09x 4.57070790
1:16PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.243 1.35x 0.31820850
1:14PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.116 1.50x 0.16878000
1:07PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.38 1.75x 2.34255000
10:48AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.28 1.72x 2.13555200
8:09AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.14 1.90x 2.10102000
7:30AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC sliu7809 Yes 0.3 1.90x 0.55290000
7:20AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05883758 1.90x 0.10843766
6:55AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.18527000
6:54AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.18527000
6:31AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.772 2.01x 1.50516840
5:03AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC dcclxxvii Yes 0.00509001 2.01x 0.00992399
2:41AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.169 2.00x 0.32786000
1:59AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 2.20x 0.01067000
12:02AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.062 2.19x 0.13170660
11:59PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.104 2.20x 0.22193600
11:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.4 2.20x 0.85360000
11:46PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07262704 2.20x 0.15498610
10:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC LSfreeloader Yes 0.01 2.30x 0.02231000
6:25PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.33x 0.00645050
See more

Discussion

Login or Sign Up to comment.

Andyzzle 10:47AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC
@praine Nice. Thank you.
praine 8:27AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC
Also, you can check his comment on Nov 10. AHamilton3:07AM, Nov 10, 2020FYI -- I have requested to Betmoose to extend this bet until January 6th, when the results of the EC votes are announced.
praine 8:19AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC
The result for this bet is Jan 6 so that should tell you all you need to know. Media decisions definitely aren't applicable for this bet or it would be resolved 'No' already.
Andyzzle 8:02AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton will you wait until the results are official? Not media official but Supreme court/electoral college official? Other people have been ripped off about this and I think we'd all like a fair bet. Your betting description is a bit ambiguous. "Early resolution of this market is possible..." - does that include media 'decisions'?
nhatlong0605 9:18PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
Agree, This should be called by the supreme court or authorized officials, not the media.
nhatlong0605 9:18PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
Agree, This should be called by the supreme court or authorized officials, not the media.
Andyzzle 7:18PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
@flaab I agree. There was another bet on here the other day that was already settled because "the media called it". Was a load of ****. Moderator stole money from people and the mods let him do it. It's an election so it's only logical to wait until the actusl results are in. Unless it's a timed bet with a specified deadline of course.
flaab 7:09PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
The moderator of this bet should wait until the election is certified, the supreme court decides or the presidential vote is carried out in the house by order of the supreme court.
flaab 6:26PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
WWG1WGA.
praine 10:51AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
@Avalon This is now solved so feel free to delete this and my previous comment. I guess the system does checks, but I was in this strange position for over 3 hours, so forgive my pinging.
praine 9:08AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
@Avalon There is a bug preventing me from laying and I sent a support ticket about it. (After correctly removing a replaced [low fee] transaction from my balance, the system now recognizes my fully confirmed and authentic balance as being 'unconfirmed'.) I'm one of the main layers on this high volume bet so it's kinda urgent. Sorry about drawing more attention to it here.
vegai 12:09PM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC
https://www.betmoose.com/bet/biden-will-win-2020-election-5235#bets-1 please bet here all ye faithful.
praine 1:31AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC
@tecladoreal It is people that set the odds, not Betmoose. And someone was happy to offer better odds to be first in line to get action. People are competing with eachother.
tecladoreal 12:15AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC
wow the odds went up even more after my bet... how does that work?
AHamilton 6:46PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC
Just a reminder about this other market:https://www.betmoose.com/bet/trump-wins-one-of-pa-nv-az-mi-wi-or-ga-5215#bets-1 Can get better than 4:1 if Trump flips a single state, which is easier than pulling out a W.
vegai 7:18AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC
4% ROI is hardly worth the effort though and my wallet isn't bottomless unfortunately :|
vegai 7:13AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC
@praine Yea, that's pretty much what I'm doing :) Like putting money in a high-interest bank account.
adrarbilal 12:14PM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC
https://www.playerup.com/threads/stake-com-account-with-up-1-btc-on-bet-waiting-trump-election-2020-for-sell.4719753/
praine 8:21AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC
Or you patronizing Trump layers could clear the offers for Trump 'No' with just 2 measly BTC. Pretty easy money, no?
vegai 8:02AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC
Yea! Biden's gonna lose for sure. Click that YES button furiously for easy money!
jblndsl 8:53PM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC
https://twitter.com/DailyCaller/status/1329508402603700229 this is going to sink Biden for good!!
TeamColtra 7:02PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC
@kardus if you look below my comment it's a person giving a link to a federal lawsuit where they are challenging 12M votes. If anyone believes a lawsuit like this (or any of the similar lawsuits) is going to be successful then they should come get free money on my bet.
kardus 7:48AM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC
@TeamColtra You also have to understand that Trump doesn't even need to prove any cases before 8 Dec. If he demonstrates with enough evidence or ties up the court enough that the voting process is deemed to be likely insecure or shows significant violations occurred in just one state (such as PA), that state cannot legally confirm their election results. This means that it will go to a house vote, which Trump will probably win by default.
kardus 7:43AM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC
@TeamColtra Not sure where the 12M number comes from but you realise Trump needs less than 100k votes to get nulled or flipped to win right? Things are looking decent for him with the lawsuit in PA as the state directly defied Alito, if that works out it sets precedent for a number of states federally. Even if that doesn't go further, winning PA + any other two states will win it for Trump. AZ could be flipped with a differential of 10k votes, WI with 20k
TeamColtra 8:54AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC
For anyone who genuinely believes that courts are going to throw out 12M votes or do anything to flip the election then you have free money waiting for you here. $400 would be $1600 if you think the courts rule for Trump. https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-courts-overturn-the-2020-presidential-election-5196
jblndsl 8:05AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC
Wow, this is an absolute game change for Trump. NUMEROUS states about to flip his way: https://www.mlive.com/politics/2020/11/federal-lawsuit-seeks-to-throw-out-12m-votes-flipping-michigan-for-trump.html
AHamilton 7:49AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC
FYI--Here's a new market where you can bet whether Trump will win one of the key battleground states: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/trump-wins-one-of-pa-nv-az-mi-wi-or-ga-5215#bets-1
jblndsl 1:35PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC
Top lawyers giving Trump a great chance a well. Idk but I think the odds don't really account for the very real chance of winning he has at this point: https://twitter.com/alexbruesewitz/status/1327005556310159366
jblndsl 1:34PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC
The evidence against Biden just keeps piling up: https://twitter.com/RyanAFournier/status/1326724235771998208
AHamilton 7:43AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC
FYI, a Harvard Law Professor puts Trump's chances at 20%: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/donald-trumps-stealthy-road-victory-172235?amp&__twitter_impression=true

Direct Link (click to highlight):

BBCode (forums):

Anonymous Bet - care to Login or Sign Up?

Placing bet on ""

Send winnings to:


*If you are sending via segwit or using a shared wallet please provide a non-segwit return address as the originating address will not work for you.

Proceed

Send your bet to this address:

1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk

* Minimum bet is 0.005 BTC. Note that the odds you get will be the ones prevailing when your deposit arrives. This usually takes up to a minute.

Your bet will be automatically entered when picked up - no confirmations needed!

Done
Payout 0
ROI 0%