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Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)

Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)
Category:
Politics
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Description

Will Donald Trump win the 2020 Presidential Election?

This market will allow betting through election day and in the days after as more results come in, and will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt.

Decision Logic

Will Donald Trump be the winner of the 2020 U.S. presidential general election? Yes means he will, no means he will not. No means he will not win reelection for any reason, such as death or resignation. I reserve the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Early resolution of this market is possible if the final result is known sooner than the betting deadline.

CLOSING IN2021-01-06 00:00:00

10:09AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 6, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 8:42AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

Offered Volume: 88.96
Backed Volume: 40.64

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

YES
Volume
27.27209413
# Bets
243
NO
Volume
13.3672907
# Bets
82

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Payout
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.088 1.14x 0.09731040
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.05 1.14x 0.05529000
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.1 1.14x 0.11058000
11:37PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.11x 0.00538350
11:03PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC ALEXWINS Yes 0.07737985 4.10x 0.00000000
10:22PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.017 1.10x 0.01813900
9:21PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.06 6.44x 0.00000000
7:36PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.015 1.10x 0.01600500
7:34PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01151339 1.10x 0.01228479
7:29PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.007 1.10x 0.00746900
7:04PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
7:04PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.10x 0.00533500
7:02PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
4:48PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 7.01x 0.00000000
4:37PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 7.01x 0.00000000
6:44AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.213 1.10x 0.22727100
4:12AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.19x 0.00000000
2:24AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.014 6.67x 0.00000000
2:00AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.04025 6.94x 0.00000000
1:41AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
12:30AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC elephant321 No 0.14180228 1.10x 0.15130303
8:16PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08 6.66x 0.00000000
1:36PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Golhoneybadger Yes 0.149 6.66x 0.00000000
1:01PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.10124 7.27x 0.00000000
7:40AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.01367374 1.08x 0.01432461
1:54AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC CopmalaForAG Yes 0.05979 8.01x 0.00000000
1:24AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.03 8.03x 0.00000000
8:01PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 9.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01245139 9.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03510858 10.10x 0.00000000
10:39AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.14070951 9.99x 0.00000000
12:42AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.008 9.00x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC freedom No 0.00586474 1.07x 0.00608701
8:04PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 8.00x 0.00000000
4:22PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.00612055 1.07x 0.00635252
3:24PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 7.04x 0.00000000
3:22PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.011 10.00x 0.00000000
11:23AM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.03999808 1.07x 0.04151401
4:17AM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.2 1.07x 0.20758000
11:19PM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
2:03AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC nuobeto No 0.179 1.08x 0.18752040
12:31AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC nuobeto No 0.01 1.08x 0.01047600
9:48AM, Dec 31, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12753722 1.10x 0.13608221
7:14AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC BonanzaPilot Yes 0.00930852 6.81x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 6.81x 0.00000000
10:48PM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC mastergerund No 0.02731099 1.08x 0.02861099
2:49AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.25 1.10x 0.26675000
12:23AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 6.81x 0.00000000
12:55PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.2542532 1.10x 0.27128816
6:54AM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.00539292 1.10x 0.00575425
3:22AM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
2:16PM, Dec 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.10x 0.02134000
5:37AM, Dec 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
10:02AM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01580693 6.69x 0.00000000
1:40AM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.02 6.69x 0.00000000
7:00PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 6.69x 0.00000000
3:49AM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.0666 6.67x 0.00000000
2:03PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.61x 0.00000000
2:20AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.65x 0.00000000
2:44PM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.65x 0.00000000
4:02AM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.073 7.52x 0.00000000
4:02AM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.017 7.70x 0.00000000
1:04PM, Dec 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.032 1.07x 0.03321280
2:58AM, Dec 20, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 6.69x 0.00000000
11:48PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0199 7.00x 0.00000000
4:17PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 7.00x 0.00000000
1:37PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.01x 0.00000000
2:13AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC oracleon No 0.005 1.09x 0.00528650
10:19AM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.35 1.09x 0.37005500
5:54AM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.00862288 7.01x 0.00000000
11:34PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.25 1.08x 0.26190000
9:23PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.083 7.01x 0.00000000
6:51PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.16400433 7.00x 0.00000000
3:47PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.084006 7.02x 0.00000000
2:11PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC DaWei Yes 0.005 7.02x 0.00000000
11:50AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3420888 1.05x 0.34841744
10:27AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.0199 7.02x 0.00000000
10:13PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.25720298 1.05x 0.26196124
8:27PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.0858 7.01x 0.00000000
6:14PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.09 7.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00549 8.11x 0.00000000
8:55AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.005 9.96x 0.00000000
8:48AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.008 10.00x 0.00000000
8:37AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.08 10.00x 0.00000000
8:34AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 10.00x 0.00000000
2:40PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.016 10.00x 0.00000000
10:54AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.53974632 1.09x 0.57067378
7:24AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1 1.10x 1.06700000
10:26AM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.1293 4.56x 0.00000000
11:56AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.02 6.00x 0.00000000
2:52AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005561 7.50x 0.00000000
11:52PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC xdm Yes 0.005 7.50x 0.00000000
3:01PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.005 7.52x 0.00000000
2:20PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.005 8.00x 0.00000000
1:48PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.18x 0.00000000
9:10AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.034 10.00x 0.00000000
8:17AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.05x 0.50925000
12:41AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.505 1.07x 1.56203950
10:18PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02466062 4.99x 0.00000000
8:05PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.625 1.08x 0.65475000
9:55AM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.00669499 4.92x 0.00000000
6:36AM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.368 1.09x 0.38908640
9:42PM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05 5.51x 0.00000000
6:08PM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3 1.08x 0.31428000
10:56AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.12x 0.04345600
7:50AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.01 4.12x 0.00000000
6:36AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02244253 4.12x 0.00000000
5:52AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC sinmantky No 0.025 1.12x 0.02716000
5:00AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC imunclebob Yes 0.1 4.10x 0.00000000
11:02PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.12 4.06x 0.00000000
7:47PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.00644996 4.03x 0.00000000
7:00PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.5 4.04x 0.00000000
4:31PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.007 3.62x 0.00000000
4:30PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.419 4.90x 0.00000000
4:15PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.272651 5.01x 0.00000000
2:43PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.222 5.14x 0.00000000
3:30AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01957677 5.08x 0.00000000
1:31AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Grosbig Yes 0.01053685 5.07x 0.00000000
1:24AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.005 5.07x 0.00000000
10:42PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.43993 6.04x 0.00000000
5:25PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 6.13x 0.00000000
5:25PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07 6.20x 0.00000000
2:46AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC hippoturd Yes 0.07563991 6.20x 0.00000000
12:33AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC markm Yes 0.02587217 6.20x 0.00000000
12:15AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC hippoturd Yes 0.0108 6.20x 0.00000000
11:39PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.25 6.21x 0.00000000
11:08PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 6.65x 0.00000000
10:14PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Galadriel Yes 0.02447647 6.65x 0.00000000
9:09PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00865756 6.67x 0.00000000
9:05PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.129 6.90x 0.00000000
8:16PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 7.23x 0.00000000
8:06PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 7.50x 0.00000000
4:23PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC markm Yes 0.01011314 7.51x 0.00000000
2:00PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.006 7.12x 0.00000000
1:47PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
1:38PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00644623 8.00x 0.00000000
9:45AM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.324 1.06x 0.33313680
8:46AM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3 1.06x 0.30846000
2:46PM, Dec 6, 2020 UTC Phunky Yes 0.06572519 6.46x 0.00000000
10:22AM, Dec 5, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.1972 6.46x 0.00000000
8:44PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.6 6.65x 0.00000000
5:59PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.11 6.66x 0.00000000
12:55PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.06196657 6.66x 0.00000000
12:50PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.035 6.66x 0.00000000
9:14AM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.020171 6.66x 0.00000000
12:25AM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.01 6.58x 0.00000000
10:46PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC nightthing12 Yes 0.01322834 6.60x 0.00000000
7:15PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC ryohaz Yes 0.00593065 6.58x 0.00000000
4:39PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.025 1.07x 0.02594750
1:52AM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.165 1.06x 0.16965300
12:09AM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.125 6.51x 0.00000000
6:41AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.199 1.07x 0.20654210
3:56AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.07x 0.00518950
3:45AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Treebeard Yes 0.05 6.12x 0.00000000
2:33AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Galadriel Yes 0.02454287 6.12x 0.00000000
9:03AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.053 1.06x 0.05449460
8:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 6.09x 0.00000000
3:14AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Javan Yes 0.0237 7.51x 0.00000000
2:44AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC arturo_2259 Yes 0.00979 7.51x 0.00000000
2:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.0527 7.51x 0.00000000
1:09AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.02813456 5.57x 0.00000000
12:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.065 1.10x 0.06935500
10:13PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.047 7.00x 0.00000000
7:11PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0621 7.01x 0.00000000
6:04PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01103489 7.01x 0.00000000
5:58PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.3033 7.01x 0.00000000
5:44PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02167547 7.01x 0.00000000
5:24PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.01x 0.00000000
3:27PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.10x 0.00533500
2:33PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.01x 0.00000000
2:31PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 7.01x 0.00000000
1:12PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 7.01x 0.00000000
1:04PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014 7.01x 0.00000000
12:40PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01064793 7.01x 0.00000000
11:03AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 7.01x 0.00000000
8:48AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01453488 7.50x 0.00000000
8:05AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.09004983 7.02x 0.00000000
7:26AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.03902072 7.15x 0.00000000
6:28AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 8.43x 0.00000000
6:01AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC arturo_2259 Yes 0.00789 9.09x 0.00000000
5:55AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.09x 0.00000000
5:50AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Javan Yes 0.037 9.18x 0.00000000
5:44AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.1395 11.01x 0.00000000
7:20PM, Nov 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 10.01x 0.00000000
3:26PM, Nov 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 10.01x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.00x 0.00000000
2:01AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.00000000
1:59AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 8.10x 0.00000000
1:19AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.00000000
11:04PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00507082 8.10x 0.00000000
10:53PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0312441 8.10x 0.00000000
6:40PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
6:06PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009462 8.00x 0.00000000
3:29PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
10:22AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.82x 0.00000000
3:19AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.0116 7.51x 0.00000000
8:02PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.6 7.07x 0.00000000
7:55PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.90x 0.00000000
7:35PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.91x 0.00000000
6:21PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05270342 7.91x 0.00000000
4:13PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
12:17PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.499 1.06x 0.51307180
12:12PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.06x 0.10282000
11:18AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.037 7.86x 0.00000000
9:45AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.05x 0.10185000
5:20AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.07782052 8.23x 0.00000000
4:46AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 9.50x 0.00000000
4:42AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 9.50x 0.00000000
4:40AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.015 9.50x 0.00000000
3:24AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 9.25x 0.00000000
3:14AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.053 8.50x 0.00000000
3:12AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 8.50x 0.00000000
9:02PM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01674224 7.00x 0.00000000
10:31AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.48x 0.00000000
10:30AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.71x 0.00000000
9:48AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0505 8.23x 0.00000000
6:52AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 12.43x 0.00000000
5:35AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014686 12.02x 0.00000000
4:40AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 12.02x 0.00000000
11:20PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC tecladoreal Yes 0.0132 11.00x 0.00000000
9:59PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.00690062 10.00x 0.00000000
10:55AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 6.05x 0.00000000
8:54AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02142857 6.06x 0.00000000
5:57PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.04x 0.10088000
5:47PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Timm Yes 0.00591927 4.20x 0.00000000
2:31PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08292982 5.32x 0.00000000
12:29PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 5.30x 0.00000000
7:11AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.04x 0.01008800
6:57AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC leili Yes 0.00992412 5.60x 0.00000000
5:18AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.05 1.04x 0.05044000
5:23PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 5.00x 0.00000000
5:02PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 5.00x 0.00000000
5:43PM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.03x 0.00000000
3:40AM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.035 3.02x 0.00000000
4:43PM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC bcide No 0.02 1.05x 0.02037000
10:27AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.112 1.10x 0.11950400
10:07AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC nsob No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
9:49AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04945 2.69x 0.00000000
8:35AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.36 1.12x 0.39110400
5:52PM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 2.65x 0.00000000
10:07AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.10x 0.04268000
5:58AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.005 4.40x 0.00000000
11:15PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.0643 4.50x 0.00000000
6:24PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.50x 0.00000000
6:23PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.81x 0.00000000
2:21PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08505 4.51x 0.00000000
7:22AM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.15 1.10x 0.16005000
8:11PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0056 4.51x 0.00000000
12:01PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0233827 4.51x 0.00000000
12:11PM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12 1.10x 0.12804000
8:57AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC jbet Yes 0.07 4.01x 0.00000000
8:52PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0637 1.10x 0.06796790
8:29PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0309576 1.10x 0.03303176
4:33PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC tadarlis No 0.01840478 1.10x 0.01963790
11:43PM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 3.53x 0.00000000
8:44AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03794861 3.54x 0.00000000
7:08AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC dddavidp Yes 0.0050371 3.85x 0.00000000
11:10PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen Yes 0.011 4.00x 0.00000000
5:54AM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0679 1.10x 0.07244930
6:39PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.22056853 1.10x 1.30234662
6:07PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC dogiv No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
2:33PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC justbet No 0.26680842 1.10x 0.28468458
6:43AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Fundraiser No 0.087 1.10x 0.09282900
12:49AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC ezuser1 Yes 0.005 3.00x 0.00000000
2:45PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.33 3.11x 0.00000000
11:08AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.13 3.09x 0.00000000
10:38AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.83x 0.00000000
10:28AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.33 5.79x 0.00000000
4:56AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 3.09x 0.00000000
3:04AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.09x 0.52865000
12:55AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00552791 3.04x 0.00000000
12:16AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0519753 1.09x 0.05495348
8:00PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.15 3.03x 0.00000000
3:09PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC bronco Yes 0.069 3.01x 0.00000000
2:29PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC leen93 No 0.037 1.09x 0.03912010
2:02PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.009 3.01x 0.00000000
12:45PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC qmpsr No 0.01097086 1.09x 0.01159949
9:19AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.05x 0.00000000
6:20AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02780697 3.07x 0.00000000
4:18AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.0065 3.00x 0.00000000
1:37AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.006 4.00x 0.00000000
9:54PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.018 4.28x 0.00000000
4:22PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0202672 5.74x 0.00000000
4:30PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 3.02x 0.00000000
7:15AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.06x 0.00000000
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.027 3.04x 0.00000000
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 3.50x 0.00000000
12:05AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.024 4.00x 0.00000000
8:22PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC Nylan Yes 0.34939565 3.51x 0.00000000
6:25PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.26 2.59x 0.00000000
3:59PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC johnconnors11 Yes 0.1 2.59x 0.00000000
2:40PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC fritz Yes 0.015 1.75x 0.00000000
12:12PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC leen93 Yes 0.013 1.75x 0.00000000
3:49AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.05 1.10x 0.00000000
3:40AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC harrycarry No 0.0135 2.00x 0.02619000
2:45AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.01766145 1.46x 0.00000000
2:41AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.00552462 1.46x 0.00000000
2:23AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC blairchap Yes 0.01 1.46x 0.00000000
1:20AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC ColdNights Yes 0.01256081 1.44x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.0286052 1.82x 0.00000000
11:54PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.23266232 1.82x 0.00000000
10:32PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC qweasd170 Yes 0.00574737 1.77x 0.00000000
10:19PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC jokesrequiem Yes 0.3 1.77x 0.00000000
8:59PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC wulfgvngg Yes 0.01676 1.77x 0.00000000
7:46PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC gtcsr22xx Yes 0.024 1.77x 0.00000000
1:21PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 4.323 1.09x 0.00000000
1:16PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.243 1.35x 0.00000000
1:14PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.116 1.50x 0.00000000
1:07PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.38 1.75x 0.00000000
10:48AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.28 1.72x 0.00000000
8:09AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.14 1.90x 0.00000000
7:30AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC sliu7809 Yes 0.3 1.90x 0.00000000
7:20AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05883758 1.90x 0.00000000
6:55AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.00000000
6:54AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.00000000
6:31AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.772 2.01x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC dcclxxvii Yes 0.00509001 2.01x 0.00000000
2:41AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.169 2.00x 0.00000000
1:59AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 2.20x 0.00000000
12:02AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.062 2.19x 0.00000000
11:59PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.104 2.20x 0.00000000
11:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.4 2.20x 0.00000000
11:46PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07262704 2.20x 0.00000000
10:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC LSfreeloader Yes 0.01 2.30x 0.00000000
6:25PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.33x 0.00645050
See more

Discussion

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newunit16 8:08PM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC
Wow. When you put your money where your mouth is, theres pratically zero support for the train wreck to win. Cry more. Big sad.
AHamilton 6:41PM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC
It's similar to this one @grolsch: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-be-president-on-january-24th-2021-5329
grolsch 6:49AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC
Since this bet closes in a few days, I've created an extended market: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-trump-be-inaugurated-on-jan-20th-simplified-5348 It's a simplified version. No ambiguity and a clear expiration date.
udohtu5182 12:50PM, Dec 31, 2020 UTC
@anon2134 It hardly matters what Trump has said, since he says whatever the f comes to his mind and he's generally speaking totally untrustworthy. Definitely doesn't matter for this bet.
praine 11:09PM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
Hosts can not change their decision logic once the proposition has been published. They can say whatever they want in the comments, but the decision logic has been set in stone from the outset.
anon2134 8:29PM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
@Avalon As stated by @jblndsl you have claimed the following "[Trump] also claimed he will accept the EC vote on Jan 6th and step down.". I believe that this is actually a misquote. We would appreciate clearing up the validity of the quote before a final decision is made. Can anyone provide a link to Trump saying this. I believe the closest quote on video states, roughly, "[I will accept it if it is an honest vote]". *honest vote* being the keywords that change the meaning a lot.
jblndsl 6:55PM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
Lets quote the moderator, shall we? Posted on December 20th: "In other news, Trump has said previously he would not pursue martial law (nor could he, practically). He also claimed he will accept the EC vote on Jan 6th and step down. If the joint session is adjourned, this prop would have to be as well. We would deem the certification of EC vote as final judgment as previously stated." This bet will be resolved soon and no amount of crying will change it :)
ungabunga 5:51PM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
Shove*
ungabunga 5:51PM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
Guys, we can report this bet for decision logic issues. AHamilton changed his decision logic couple of times, and he can shut his second bet with 10x odd somewhere deep. Make sure you report it on 6th or 7th. I have faith moderators will resolve it fairly
anon2134 4:49PM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
@cryptoman Great question. As I understand it, in the decision logic @AHamilton provides two examples of early resolution: Trump DIES, or Trump RESIGNS. Then, much later in the bet, he sneaked in "Controversial EC vote" as another resolution criteria 10 pages down the comments section. However, "Controversial EC vote resolution" does not seem as certain as DYING or RESIGNING to me.
cryptoman 11:02AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton, I begin to wonder which conditions would trigger : "Early resolution of this market is possible if the final result is known sooner than the betting deadline." Don't worry, no need to provide an exhaustive answer. I'm fine with waiting another week to know the outcome.
888 9:06AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
@jblndsl If this bet is terminated early there's plenty we "can do about it". It will be challenged. And @AHamilton will be blacklisted for fraud.
jblndsl 8:58AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
This bet will be settled in 7 days and there is still nothing you can do about it. Goodnight.
ITVAULT 7:40AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
*** Think You Know How This Will End? *** UPDATE VIDEO - 29th Dec - Attorney Leigh Dundas - Wow, there's a LOT happening in the background! Buckle up for the 6th :) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gI-IKL4SudQ
888 7:29AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
@betterment, how many times do you have to be reminded " will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt"? Military tribunals are coming if the courts fail. @AHamilton has already implicated himself in his comments saying such a scenario would be a "yes" result. This bet does not resolve beyond a reasonable doubt until post inauguration! And if it is terminated early, every better that was defrauded by @AHamilton will challenge this bet.
6jarjar6 12:42AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC
@anon2134 I have a bet running till the 1st of April to avoid the problem of resolving too early, in case things are more complicated. https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-trump-control-the-white-house-on-april-1st-2021-5122
anon2134 8:57PM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton Are you implicitely asking for a "contribution" (bribe) to extend this bet? Fine, I'll bite: what odds and how much would I need to put into this bet, for you to extend it? Make an honest offer and I will consider it seriously. Btw, is your number-one sidekick @jblndsl freaking Nostradamus? - he predicted you might be sensitive to this, about two days ago.
AHamilton 5:31PM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
@anon2134, you wrote: "@AHamilton 10:1 is not generous you stupid ****. I can get 1.08-1.09 on this very bet..." This implies that even you wouldn't pay anything at all for extending the bet deadline. You'd rather offer 1.09 for a Jan. 7th deadline than 1.10 for a Jan. 24th deadline.
AHamilton 5:26PM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
Yes, once again, happy to match anyone at 10:1 here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-be-president-on-january-24th-2021-5329 This way, you can extend the bet and take the Trump doubters for all they are worth.
tecladoreal 4:06PM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
Just a quick note that @AHamilton did live up to their word and matched my lay on the 24th bet here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-be-president-on-january-24th-2021-5329
cryptoman 8:22AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
Considering the indisputable reliability of pro-Trump sources and the undeniable amount of collected evidence of a widespread election fraud, I would expect at least 3x on NO side.
jblndsl 8:22AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
Are you going to docket a file at the SCOTUS challenging the settlement of the bet?
888 7:03AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton early resolution of this bet will not be tolerated. You've already implicated yourself here in your comments. Any early termination before inauguration will be challenged.
Hodgkinson 4:04AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
Why do I get the feeling that @anon2134 bet more than he/she can afford to lose?
anon2134 12:43AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC
@Avalon The platforms that have settled early have taken MASSIVE reputation damage. Read what the YES-bettors are saying... do you think they will be back on those platforms? All you have to say is "after further consideration, we determined that the decision logic indeed offers a *no-uncertainty* settlement, therefore we are extending the settlement date to the 20th". Not a soul on Earth will blame your for it and all of your risk evaporates. Settling a bet before a game is over is UNTHINKABLE.
anon2134 11:34PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC
@Avalon Do you appreciate the reputation risk that allowing this bet to settle the 6th entails for your platform? It takes two sides to grow a bet to this size. If this settles on the 6th, and Trumps plays a move afterwards, how much trust do you think people will have in this platform. That mistake may end up costing you a lot of future income... and for what: to please a decision-logic violator? Maybe small 10$ bets that bitcoins will reach 75,000$ in 6 months, or whatever, are enough for you?
anon2134 11:09PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC
@adrarbilal @jblndsl @AHamilton If you guys were in charge of the Olympics you would award the gold to Usain Bolt half way in the race if he were far enough ahead to your taste. How do you think the public would react? News flash; Usain Bolt can still ****ing trip before the finish line. I do not recall reading anywhere in your decision logic that this bet may settle based on unanimous decision of the NO-side based on how far ahead they think they are - what a joke...
anon2134 11:02PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton The fact that we have to BEG the NO-side not to walk away with the money before the game is over... because at some point in the game the NO-side feels the odds are so high in their favour they are entitled to walk away with the money, instead of waiting for the dam match to be over, is - on a betting site of all places - ABSOLUTELY LUDICROUS.
anon2134 10:48PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC
@adrarbilal @jblndsl If this is how you feel then you bet NO after the 6th. You don't get to walk with the money for free because you feel the odds are in your favour at some random point before the game is over.
adrarbilal 10:09PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC
looks this Twitter followers of US gov’t accounts will not transfer to Biden twitter. trump have twitter account as little power and he will disappear from politic after congress will select biden as winner look how twitter ban trump and make remark everytime trump said fraud or bad thing about election and trump cant do anything about twitter , and people talk about war or somthing of refuse election trump will leave white house without do any thing

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