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Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)

Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)
Category:
Politics
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Description

Will Donald Trump win the 2020 Presidential Election?

This market will allow betting through election day and in the days after as more results come in, and will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt.

Decision Logic

Will Donald Trump be the winner of the 2020 U.S. presidential general election? Yes means he will, no means he will not. No means he will not win reelection for any reason, such as death or resignation. I reserve the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Early resolution of this market is possible if the final result is known sooner than the betting deadline.

CLOSING IN2021-01-06 00:00:00

10:09AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 6, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 8:42AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

Offered Volume: 88.96
Backed Volume: 40.64

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

YES
Volume
27.27209413
# Bets
243
NO
Volume
13.3672907
# Bets
82

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Payout
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.088 1.14x 0.09731040
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.05 1.14x 0.05529000
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.1 1.14x 0.11058000
11:37PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.11x 0.00538350
11:03PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC ALEXWINS Yes 0.07737985 4.10x 0.00000000
10:22PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.017 1.10x 0.01813900
9:21PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.06 6.44x 0.00000000
7:36PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.015 1.10x 0.01600500
7:34PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01151339 1.10x 0.01228479
7:29PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.007 1.10x 0.00746900
7:04PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
7:04PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.10x 0.00533500
7:02PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
4:48PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 7.01x 0.00000000
4:37PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 7.01x 0.00000000
6:44AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.213 1.10x 0.22727100
4:12AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.19x 0.00000000
2:24AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.014 6.67x 0.00000000
2:00AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.04025 6.94x 0.00000000
1:41AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
12:30AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC elephant321 No 0.14180228 1.10x 0.15130303
8:16PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08 6.66x 0.00000000
1:36PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Golhoneybadger Yes 0.149 6.66x 0.00000000
1:01PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.10124 7.27x 0.00000000
7:40AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.01367374 1.08x 0.01432461
1:54AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC CopmalaForAG Yes 0.05979 8.01x 0.00000000
1:24AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.03 8.03x 0.00000000
8:01PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 9.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01245139 9.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03510858 10.10x 0.00000000
10:39AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.14070951 9.99x 0.00000000
12:42AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.008 9.00x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC freedom No 0.00586474 1.07x 0.00608701
8:04PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 8.00x 0.00000000
4:22PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.00612055 1.07x 0.00635252
3:24PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 7.04x 0.00000000
3:22PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.011 10.00x 0.00000000
11:23AM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.03999808 1.07x 0.04151401
4:17AM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.2 1.07x 0.20758000
11:19PM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
2:03AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC nuobeto No 0.179 1.08x 0.18752040
12:31AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC nuobeto No 0.01 1.08x 0.01047600
9:48AM, Dec 31, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12753722 1.10x 0.13608221
7:14AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC BonanzaPilot Yes 0.00930852 6.81x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 6.81x 0.00000000
10:48PM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC mastergerund No 0.02731099 1.08x 0.02861099
2:49AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.25 1.10x 0.26675000
12:23AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 6.81x 0.00000000
12:55PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.2542532 1.10x 0.27128816
6:54AM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.00539292 1.10x 0.00575425
3:22AM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
2:16PM, Dec 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.10x 0.02134000
5:37AM, Dec 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
10:02AM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01580693 6.69x 0.00000000
1:40AM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.02 6.69x 0.00000000
7:00PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 6.69x 0.00000000
3:49AM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.0666 6.67x 0.00000000
2:03PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.61x 0.00000000
2:20AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.65x 0.00000000
2:44PM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.65x 0.00000000
4:02AM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.073 7.52x 0.00000000
4:02AM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.017 7.70x 0.00000000
1:04PM, Dec 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.032 1.07x 0.03321280
2:58AM, Dec 20, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 6.69x 0.00000000
11:48PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0199 7.00x 0.00000000
4:17PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 7.00x 0.00000000
1:37PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.01x 0.00000000
2:13AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC oracleon No 0.005 1.09x 0.00528650
10:19AM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.35 1.09x 0.37005500
5:54AM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.00862288 7.01x 0.00000000
11:34PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.25 1.08x 0.26190000
9:23PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.083 7.01x 0.00000000
6:51PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.16400433 7.00x 0.00000000
3:47PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.084006 7.02x 0.00000000
2:11PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC DaWei Yes 0.005 7.02x 0.00000000
11:50AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3420888 1.05x 0.34841744
10:27AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.0199 7.02x 0.00000000
10:13PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.25720298 1.05x 0.26196124
8:27PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.0858 7.01x 0.00000000
6:14PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.09 7.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00549 8.11x 0.00000000
8:55AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.005 9.96x 0.00000000
8:48AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.008 10.00x 0.00000000
8:37AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.08 10.00x 0.00000000
8:34AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 10.00x 0.00000000
2:40PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.016 10.00x 0.00000000
10:54AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.53974632 1.09x 0.57067378
7:24AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1 1.10x 1.06700000
10:26AM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.1293 4.56x 0.00000000
11:56AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.02 6.00x 0.00000000
2:52AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005561 7.50x 0.00000000
11:52PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC xdm Yes 0.005 7.50x 0.00000000
3:01PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.005 7.52x 0.00000000
2:20PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.005 8.00x 0.00000000
1:48PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.18x 0.00000000
9:10AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.034 10.00x 0.00000000
8:17AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.05x 0.50925000
12:41AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.505 1.07x 1.56203950
10:18PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02466062 4.99x 0.00000000
8:05PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.625 1.08x 0.65475000
9:55AM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.00669499 4.92x 0.00000000
6:36AM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.368 1.09x 0.38908640
9:42PM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05 5.51x 0.00000000
6:08PM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3 1.08x 0.31428000
10:56AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.12x 0.04345600
7:50AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.01 4.12x 0.00000000
6:36AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02244253 4.12x 0.00000000
5:52AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC sinmantky No 0.025 1.12x 0.02716000
5:00AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC imunclebob Yes 0.1 4.10x 0.00000000
11:02PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.12 4.06x 0.00000000
7:47PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.00644996 4.03x 0.00000000
7:00PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.5 4.04x 0.00000000
4:31PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.007 3.62x 0.00000000
4:30PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.419 4.90x 0.00000000
4:15PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.272651 5.01x 0.00000000
2:43PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.222 5.14x 0.00000000
3:30AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01957677 5.08x 0.00000000
1:31AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Grosbig Yes 0.01053685 5.07x 0.00000000
1:24AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.005 5.07x 0.00000000
10:42PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.43993 6.04x 0.00000000
5:25PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 6.13x 0.00000000
5:25PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07 6.20x 0.00000000
2:46AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC hippoturd Yes 0.07563991 6.20x 0.00000000
12:33AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC markm Yes 0.02587217 6.20x 0.00000000
12:15AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC hippoturd Yes 0.0108 6.20x 0.00000000
11:39PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.25 6.21x 0.00000000
11:08PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 6.65x 0.00000000
10:14PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Galadriel Yes 0.02447647 6.65x 0.00000000
9:09PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00865756 6.67x 0.00000000
9:05PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.129 6.90x 0.00000000
8:16PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 7.23x 0.00000000
8:06PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 7.50x 0.00000000
4:23PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC markm Yes 0.01011314 7.51x 0.00000000
2:00PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.006 7.12x 0.00000000
1:47PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
1:38PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00644623 8.00x 0.00000000
9:45AM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.324 1.06x 0.33313680
8:46AM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3 1.06x 0.30846000
2:46PM, Dec 6, 2020 UTC Phunky Yes 0.06572519 6.46x 0.00000000
10:22AM, Dec 5, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.1972 6.46x 0.00000000
8:44PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.6 6.65x 0.00000000
5:59PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.11 6.66x 0.00000000
12:55PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.06196657 6.66x 0.00000000
12:50PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.035 6.66x 0.00000000
9:14AM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.020171 6.66x 0.00000000
12:25AM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.01 6.58x 0.00000000
10:46PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC nightthing12 Yes 0.01322834 6.60x 0.00000000
7:15PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC ryohaz Yes 0.00593065 6.58x 0.00000000
4:39PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.025 1.07x 0.02594750
1:52AM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.165 1.06x 0.16965300
12:09AM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.125 6.51x 0.00000000
6:41AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.199 1.07x 0.20654210
3:56AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.07x 0.00518950
3:45AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Treebeard Yes 0.05 6.12x 0.00000000
2:33AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Galadriel Yes 0.02454287 6.12x 0.00000000
9:03AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.053 1.06x 0.05449460
8:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 6.09x 0.00000000
3:14AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Javan Yes 0.0237 7.51x 0.00000000
2:44AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC arturo_2259 Yes 0.00979 7.51x 0.00000000
2:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.0527 7.51x 0.00000000
1:09AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.02813456 5.57x 0.00000000
12:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.065 1.10x 0.06935500
10:13PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.047 7.00x 0.00000000
7:11PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0621 7.01x 0.00000000
6:04PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01103489 7.01x 0.00000000
5:58PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.3033 7.01x 0.00000000
5:44PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02167547 7.01x 0.00000000
5:24PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.01x 0.00000000
3:27PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.10x 0.00533500
2:33PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.01x 0.00000000
2:31PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 7.01x 0.00000000
1:12PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 7.01x 0.00000000
1:04PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014 7.01x 0.00000000
12:40PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01064793 7.01x 0.00000000
11:03AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 7.01x 0.00000000
8:48AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01453488 7.50x 0.00000000
8:05AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.09004983 7.02x 0.00000000
7:26AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.03902072 7.15x 0.00000000
6:28AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 8.43x 0.00000000
6:01AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC arturo_2259 Yes 0.00789 9.09x 0.00000000
5:55AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.09x 0.00000000
5:50AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Javan Yes 0.037 9.18x 0.00000000
5:44AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.1395 11.01x 0.00000000
7:20PM, Nov 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 10.01x 0.00000000
3:26PM, Nov 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 10.01x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.00x 0.00000000
2:01AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.00000000
1:59AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 8.10x 0.00000000
1:19AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.00000000
11:04PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00507082 8.10x 0.00000000
10:53PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0312441 8.10x 0.00000000
6:40PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
6:06PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009462 8.00x 0.00000000
3:29PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
10:22AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.82x 0.00000000
3:19AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.0116 7.51x 0.00000000
8:02PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.6 7.07x 0.00000000
7:55PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.90x 0.00000000
7:35PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.91x 0.00000000
6:21PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05270342 7.91x 0.00000000
4:13PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
12:17PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.499 1.06x 0.51307180
12:12PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.06x 0.10282000
11:18AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.037 7.86x 0.00000000
9:45AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.05x 0.10185000
5:20AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.07782052 8.23x 0.00000000
4:46AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 9.50x 0.00000000
4:42AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 9.50x 0.00000000
4:40AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.015 9.50x 0.00000000
3:24AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 9.25x 0.00000000
3:14AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.053 8.50x 0.00000000
3:12AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 8.50x 0.00000000
9:02PM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01674224 7.00x 0.00000000
10:31AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.48x 0.00000000
10:30AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.71x 0.00000000
9:48AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0505 8.23x 0.00000000
6:52AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 12.43x 0.00000000
5:35AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014686 12.02x 0.00000000
4:40AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 12.02x 0.00000000
11:20PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC tecladoreal Yes 0.0132 11.00x 0.00000000
9:59PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.00690062 10.00x 0.00000000
10:55AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 6.05x 0.00000000
8:54AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02142857 6.06x 0.00000000
5:57PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.04x 0.10088000
5:47PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Timm Yes 0.00591927 4.20x 0.00000000
2:31PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08292982 5.32x 0.00000000
12:29PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 5.30x 0.00000000
7:11AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.04x 0.01008800
6:57AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC leili Yes 0.00992412 5.60x 0.00000000
5:18AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.05 1.04x 0.05044000
5:23PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 5.00x 0.00000000
5:02PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 5.00x 0.00000000
5:43PM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.03x 0.00000000
3:40AM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.035 3.02x 0.00000000
4:43PM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC bcide No 0.02 1.05x 0.02037000
10:27AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.112 1.10x 0.11950400
10:07AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC nsob No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
9:49AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04945 2.69x 0.00000000
8:35AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.36 1.12x 0.39110400
5:52PM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 2.65x 0.00000000
10:07AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.10x 0.04268000
5:58AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.005 4.40x 0.00000000
11:15PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.0643 4.50x 0.00000000
6:24PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.50x 0.00000000
6:23PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.81x 0.00000000
2:21PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08505 4.51x 0.00000000
7:22AM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.15 1.10x 0.16005000
8:11PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0056 4.51x 0.00000000
12:01PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0233827 4.51x 0.00000000
12:11PM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12 1.10x 0.12804000
8:57AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC jbet Yes 0.07 4.01x 0.00000000
8:52PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0637 1.10x 0.06796790
8:29PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0309576 1.10x 0.03303176
4:33PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC tadarlis No 0.01840478 1.10x 0.01963790
11:43PM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 3.53x 0.00000000
8:44AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03794861 3.54x 0.00000000
7:08AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC dddavidp Yes 0.0050371 3.85x 0.00000000
11:10PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen Yes 0.011 4.00x 0.00000000
5:54AM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0679 1.10x 0.07244930
6:39PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.22056853 1.10x 1.30234662
6:07PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC dogiv No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
2:33PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC justbet No 0.26680842 1.10x 0.28468458
6:43AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Fundraiser No 0.087 1.10x 0.09282900
12:49AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC ezuser1 Yes 0.005 3.00x 0.00000000
2:45PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.33 3.11x 0.00000000
11:08AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.13 3.09x 0.00000000
10:38AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.83x 0.00000000
10:28AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.33 5.79x 0.00000000
4:56AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 3.09x 0.00000000
3:04AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.09x 0.52865000
12:55AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00552791 3.04x 0.00000000
12:16AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0519753 1.09x 0.05495348
8:00PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.15 3.03x 0.00000000
3:09PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC bronco Yes 0.069 3.01x 0.00000000
2:29PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC leen93 No 0.037 1.09x 0.03912010
2:02PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.009 3.01x 0.00000000
12:45PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC qmpsr No 0.01097086 1.09x 0.01159949
9:19AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.05x 0.00000000
6:20AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02780697 3.07x 0.00000000
4:18AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.0065 3.00x 0.00000000
1:37AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.006 4.00x 0.00000000
9:54PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.018 4.28x 0.00000000
4:22PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0202672 5.74x 0.00000000
4:30PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 3.02x 0.00000000
7:15AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.06x 0.00000000
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.027 3.04x 0.00000000
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 3.50x 0.00000000
12:05AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.024 4.00x 0.00000000
8:22PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC Nylan Yes 0.34939565 3.51x 0.00000000
6:25PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.26 2.59x 0.00000000
3:59PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC johnconnors11 Yes 0.1 2.59x 0.00000000
2:40PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC fritz Yes 0.015 1.75x 0.00000000
12:12PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC leen93 Yes 0.013 1.75x 0.00000000
3:49AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.05 1.10x 0.00000000
3:40AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC harrycarry No 0.0135 2.00x 0.02619000
2:45AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.01766145 1.46x 0.00000000
2:41AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.00552462 1.46x 0.00000000
2:23AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC blairchap Yes 0.01 1.46x 0.00000000
1:20AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC ColdNights Yes 0.01256081 1.44x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.0286052 1.82x 0.00000000
11:54PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.23266232 1.82x 0.00000000
10:32PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC qweasd170 Yes 0.00574737 1.77x 0.00000000
10:19PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC jokesrequiem Yes 0.3 1.77x 0.00000000
8:59PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC wulfgvngg Yes 0.01676 1.77x 0.00000000
7:46PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC gtcsr22xx Yes 0.024 1.77x 0.00000000
1:21PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 4.323 1.09x 0.00000000
1:16PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.243 1.35x 0.00000000
1:14PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.116 1.50x 0.00000000
1:07PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.38 1.75x 0.00000000
10:48AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.28 1.72x 0.00000000
8:09AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.14 1.90x 0.00000000
7:30AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC sliu7809 Yes 0.3 1.90x 0.00000000
7:20AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05883758 1.90x 0.00000000
6:55AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.00000000
6:54AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.00000000
6:31AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.772 2.01x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC dcclxxvii Yes 0.00509001 2.01x 0.00000000
2:41AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.169 2.00x 0.00000000
1:59AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 2.20x 0.00000000
12:02AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.062 2.19x 0.00000000
11:59PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.104 2.20x 0.00000000
11:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.4 2.20x 0.00000000
11:46PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07262704 2.20x 0.00000000
10:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC LSfreeloader Yes 0.01 2.30x 0.00000000
6:25PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.33x 0.00645050
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Discussion

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anon2134 3:38PM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC
Mr. @AHamilton is trying to make us believe that Trump has no chances after the 6th if EC votes are against him and argues that this is sufficient reason to settle the bet. If that is true, the odds ratio offered on this site should drop to zero should this event occur. If the odds ratio do not drop to zero, then by definition, the market would assign different odds than Mr. @AHamilton 's personal estimation of such. Is Mr @AHamilton smarter than the combined intelligence of the entire market?
anon2134 3:01PM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC
@Andyzzle Well said. Betmoose can easily correct this. All they have to say is something along the lines of "We initially anticipated that an EC votes against Trump on the 6th would be final, but since then new information, notably in the form of H.Amdt. 833 (Escobar) to H.R. 6395, makes it clear that options will be available to Trump after the 6th. Therefore, in the interest of caution and fairness of the bet, we will extend the settlement date to the 20th after political power transfer."
Andyzzle 11:54PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC
One would assume that you're smart enough to realize that you need both sides for bets like these to happen and that it's in your own best interest to not resolve prematurely or make users feel like they got screwed over. Good luck getting any significant betting volume going if the bettors decide not to trust this site with their crypto anymore and if no new players join the site because of ****ty Betmoose-review threads in forums. Us gambling here is a two way street. Always has been.
Andyzzle 11:44PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC
I'm willing to bet that one negative review that points out unaddressed conflict of interests and wishy washy decision logic flip flopping outweighs ten positive reviews. And if people get the idea that they don't get their fair shot then good luck betting against yourselves to those that remain. It's also another reason why I don't get morons like @jblndsl's behavior towards yes-voters. The only reason you get to make money is because we're willing to bet our money on unfavorable scenarios.
Andyzzle 11:35PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC
...creates a conflict of interest since bet hosts (and moderators too!) can bet on their own bets. In that case the only recourse to this is to write down your experience with Betmoose and to post it on different crypto and gambling forums as well as their bitcointalk thread so that people know what to expect before they trust this site with their funds. It's a rather small site and i'm willing to bet that everyone who bets here first googles whether the site is legit or not.
Andyzzle 11:27PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC
I'll say this though - had I realized beforehand that it's less about the decision logic and more about someone's subjective interpretation of it (i.e. deadline taking priority over thr actual decision logic) then I'd never have bet on here. I'd rather have gone with Betfair and lost money on there because at least I'd have known what I'm actually betting on. To me the way these bets are being run seems like they give the bet host too much wiggle room for interpretation which obviously...
Andyzzle 11:22PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC
@888 there is no guarantee that Moderators won't resolve early or that Admins won't interpret the decision logic differently than those who bet on yes do. The decision logic leaves room for interpretation in both directions and contradicting statements by the bet host just make that problem worse. I think this issue would resolve itself if the bet gets called on inauguration day when the winner really is clear and both sides accept the result as final.
anon2134 4:55PM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
For the record, I will state that even congress finds the treat of marital-law/insurrection-act credible enough to try to sneak-in a ban on it into the latest stimulus bill. If congress thinks the treaty is credible enough to sneak that in, I don't see how Mr. @AHamilton can credibly claim that it's not a threat. Specifically at H.Amdt. 833 (Escobar) to H.R. 6395 : "To require certifications be made to Congress when the President deploys active duty military within the United States".
888 4:39PM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
@cryptoman what part of " will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt" don't you get? This bet cannot resolve beyond a clear and reasonable doubt before inauguration, with the variables at play. There is going to be reasonable doubt all the way up to inauguration. If this bet is terminated early, then it will be challenged.
jblndsl 10:52AM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
@cryptoman I see where you're coming from but the unfortunate truth is that these crying and complaining snowflakes don't contribute a Satoshi to this market. They've probably spent all their money already. The true hardworking Maga patriots like TeamHans have no issue putting their money where their mouth is. Unfortunately Maga snowflakes also clearly have a problem with reading comprehension becaus moderators have stated multiple times that this bet will be settled on Jan 7th.
udohtu5182 10:16AM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
@cryptoman You sure it's counterproductive? Seems to work ;) Merry xmas!
888 9:25AM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
@udohtu5182 When has CNN ever told you the truth? Your delusional or brainwashed. Either case, your ignoring all the data. Biden will never be president. The fraud will be exposed. If the courts don't stop it, the military, or The People will. If you doubt that, go ahead, bet against me. But either case, this bet aint over until post inauguration.
cryptoman 8:40AM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
Please refrain from trolling MAGA patriots willing to place their hard earned money on YES outcome. If grabbing their money is your aim, trolling and reporting Biden as the sure winner is counterproductive. Furthermore it creates a toxic environment. Everything can still happen. Maybe Sleepy Joe will admit his crimes and Trump will reign forever and ever. Who knows. Merry X-Mas, and for those who doesn't care, have a nice day as well. Bet resposibly and have fun.
bibou 8:03AM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
This is going nowhere. No argument against extention hold. I think site officials should step in a this point. This also ruin the bet dynamics, i would gladly put more money if i had security on this issue.
udohtu5182 7:46AM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
Literally all the fraud that has been uncovered has been for Trump (source: the Internet). So even if the effects of cheating was annulled, the only thing that would change is that Trump would lose even more. The propaganda y'all have been seeing is from Trump, who is now very busy doing three things: ignoring covid-19 (3000 deaths daily!), getting more money from idiots donating to his personal fund and pardoning his criminal friends. Perhaps Biden oughta do Operation Neptune Spear 2 on Trump.
888 7:20AM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
@betterment There is no official winner. Media doesn't call elections. Are you really gullible enough to believe CNN has the power to call an election? At lest in Russia, China... they know the "media" is propaganda. This election cannot be determined with so many wild card variables at play, including the insurrection act, and military tribunals, until post inauguration. As long as those are a potential (and they very much are), there is reasonable doubt.
betterment 1:17AM, Dec 24, 2020 UTC
@888 First of all it isn't even in the decision logic, secondly it's "reasonable doubt" not "unreasonable doubt".
anon2134 7:39PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton The reality is that you are VIOLATING a decision logic that YOU WROTE, and you are doing so in a manner that BENEFITS YOU, and to the detriment of OTHERS. To put this in perspective, and I understand that this is not a court system, and I say this in the most respectful manner possible, any legal system on the face of this Earth would interpret your behaviour as fraudulent the minute they identify your self-violation to be to YOUR benefit.
jblndsl 5:45PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
It's called offering odds Sherlock and doesn't show up in your history, but I didn't expect a maga snowflake to put 1 and 1 together. It wouldn't be so easy taking your money otherwise.
Andyzzle 5:38PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
@jblndsl I repeat my question. What do you mean by [our accounts]? You haven't bet on a single bet yet according to your account history. What is going on here?
jblndsl 1:40PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
Shame that you're totally powerless lol. When the money hits our accounts on January 7th, all you will be able to do is cry and complain. It will be glorious :)
888 1:25PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
The only way this bet is determined " clear beyond any reasonable doubt" is post inauguration. There are plenty of variables between the 6th and the 20th that could keep Trump in office. Betters here aren't going to tolerate early termination of this bet, period, end of story!
markm 3:20AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
It wont matter if this ends on 1/6, although it should extend until 1/20. Trump will get the required electoral votes on this day because he was the true winner and he has many tricks up his sleeve. Even Biden supporters know he didn't really win. It's mathematically impossible. Do some research that isn't on mainstream media, which is clearly biased. It doesn't take a genius to see how corrupt our political system has become. We will see who is right after 1/6. Until then, its all just noise.
bibou 3:07AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
that russian troll is definitely psyop-tier kek
ITVAULT 2:03AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
@jblndsl Hate hate hate... really man? Best you go get a hug from a friend. Seriously, life's too short to spend it all hating and posting nasty comments. Why can't people just bet YES or NO and the winners enjoy their win? Friendly comments are better surely...? I'll start: Merry Xmas to you @jblndsl Now, time to play some Xmas carols... LaLaLa...
Andyzzle 1:35AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
@jblndsl also why are you even posting here and what do you mean by "give [us] more of your money"? According to your account info you haven't placed a single bet yet. Something's shady here.
Andyzzle 1:29AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC
@jblndsl You got bullied a lot in school, didn't you?
jblndsl 11:55PM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC
I am sure AHamilton will gladly extend the deadline if you give us more of your money dear magas. I mean, who wouldn't take free money? I am sure if every single maga snowflake chips in a quarter Bitcoin or so, AHamilton will reconsider.
Andyzzle 11:44PM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC
@bibou agreed. There's close to 2 Million USD worth of crypto riding in this bet. Extending doesn't change the decision logic, it merely guarantees a definitive result that all sides will accept.
bibou 11:15PM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC
@anon2134 i second this as well Also, if biden is not president before inauguration day, "The inauguration of the president of the United States is a ceremony to mark the commencement of a new four-year term of the president of the United States." Just wait until inauguration day and there will be ZERO uncertainty left. Considering the amount in play, wainting 2 more week to reduce incertainty to 0 seems reasonable.

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