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Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)

Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)
Category:
Politics
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Description

Will Donald Trump win the 2020 Presidential Election?

This market will allow betting through election day and in the days after as more results come in, and will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt.

Decision Logic

Will Donald Trump be the winner of the 2020 U.S. presidential general election? Yes means he will, no means he will not. No means he will not win reelection for any reason, such as death or resignation. I reserve the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Early resolution of this market is possible if the final result is known sooner than the betting deadline.

CLOSING IN2021-01-06 00:00:00

10:09AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 6, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 8:42AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

Offered Volume: 88.96
Backed Volume: 40.64

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

YES
Volume
27.27209413
# Bets
243
NO
Volume
13.3672907
# Bets
82

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Payout
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.088 1.14x 0.09731040
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.05 1.14x 0.05529000
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.1 1.14x 0.11058000
11:37PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.11x 0.00538350
11:03PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC ALEXWINS Yes 0.07737985 4.10x 0.00000000
10:22PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.017 1.10x 0.01813900
9:21PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.06 6.44x 0.00000000
7:36PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.015 1.10x 0.01600500
7:34PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01151339 1.10x 0.01228479
7:29PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.007 1.10x 0.00746900
7:04PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
7:04PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.10x 0.00533500
7:02PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
4:48PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 7.01x 0.00000000
4:37PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 7.01x 0.00000000
6:44AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.213 1.10x 0.22727100
4:12AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.19x 0.00000000
2:24AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.014 6.67x 0.00000000
2:00AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.04025 6.94x 0.00000000
1:41AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
12:30AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC elephant321 No 0.14180228 1.10x 0.15130303
8:16PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08 6.66x 0.00000000
1:36PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Golhoneybadger Yes 0.149 6.66x 0.00000000
1:01PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.10124 7.27x 0.00000000
7:40AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.01367374 1.08x 0.01432461
1:54AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC CopmalaForAG Yes 0.05979 8.01x 0.00000000
1:24AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.03 8.03x 0.00000000
8:01PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 9.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01245139 9.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03510858 10.10x 0.00000000
10:39AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.14070951 9.99x 0.00000000
12:42AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.008 9.00x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC freedom No 0.00586474 1.07x 0.00608701
8:04PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 8.00x 0.00000000
4:22PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.00612055 1.07x 0.00635252
3:24PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 7.04x 0.00000000
3:22PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.011 10.00x 0.00000000
11:23AM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.03999808 1.07x 0.04151401
4:17AM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.2 1.07x 0.20758000
11:19PM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
2:03AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC nuobeto No 0.179 1.08x 0.18752040
12:31AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC nuobeto No 0.01 1.08x 0.01047600
9:48AM, Dec 31, 2020 UTC CapE No 0.12753722 1.10x 0.13608221
7:14AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC BonanzaPilot Yes 0.00930852 6.81x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 6.81x 0.00000000
10:48PM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC mastergerund No 0.02731099 1.08x 0.02861099
2:49AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.25 1.10x 0.26675000
12:23AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 6.81x 0.00000000
12:55PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.2542532 1.10x 0.27128816
6:54AM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.00539292 1.10x 0.00575425
3:22AM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
2:16PM, Dec 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.10x 0.02134000
5:37AM, Dec 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
10:02AM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01580693 6.69x 0.00000000
1:40AM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.02 6.69x 0.00000000
7:00PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 6.69x 0.00000000
3:49AM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.0666 6.67x 0.00000000
2:03PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.61x 0.00000000
2:20AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.65x 0.00000000
2:44PM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.65x 0.00000000
4:02AM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.073 7.52x 0.00000000
4:02AM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.017 7.70x 0.00000000
1:04PM, Dec 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.032 1.07x 0.03321280
2:58AM, Dec 20, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 6.69x 0.00000000
11:48PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0199 7.00x 0.00000000
4:17PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 7.00x 0.00000000
1:37PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.01x 0.00000000
2:13AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC oracleon No 0.005 1.09x 0.00528650
10:19AM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.35 1.09x 0.37005500
5:54AM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.00862288 7.01x 0.00000000
11:34PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.25 1.08x 0.26190000
9:23PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.083 7.01x 0.00000000
6:51PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.16400433 7.00x 0.00000000
3:47PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.084006 7.02x 0.00000000
2:11PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC DaWei Yes 0.005 7.02x 0.00000000
11:50AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3420888 1.05x 0.34841744
10:27AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.0199 7.02x 0.00000000
10:13PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.25720298 1.05x 0.26196124
8:27PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.0858 7.01x 0.00000000
6:14PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.09 7.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00549 8.11x 0.00000000
8:55AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.005 9.96x 0.00000000
8:48AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.008 10.00x 0.00000000
8:37AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.08 10.00x 0.00000000
8:34AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 10.00x 0.00000000
2:40PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.016 10.00x 0.00000000
10:54AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.53974632 1.09x 0.57067378
7:24AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1 1.10x 1.06700000
10:26AM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.1293 4.56x 0.00000000
11:56AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.02 6.00x 0.00000000
2:52AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005561 7.50x 0.00000000
11:52PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC xdm Yes 0.005 7.50x 0.00000000
3:01PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.005 7.52x 0.00000000
2:20PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.005 8.00x 0.00000000
1:48PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.18x 0.00000000
9:10AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.034 10.00x 0.00000000
8:17AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.05x 0.50925000
12:41AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.505 1.07x 1.56203950
10:18PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02466062 4.99x 0.00000000
8:05PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.625 1.08x 0.65475000
9:55AM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.00669499 4.92x 0.00000000
6:36AM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.368 1.09x 0.38908640
9:42PM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05 5.51x 0.00000000
6:08PM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3 1.08x 0.31428000
10:56AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.12x 0.04345600
7:50AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.01 4.12x 0.00000000
6:36AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02244253 4.12x 0.00000000
5:52AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC sinmantky No 0.025 1.12x 0.02716000
5:00AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC imunclebob Yes 0.1 4.10x 0.00000000
11:02PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.12 4.06x 0.00000000
7:47PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.00644996 4.03x 0.00000000
7:00PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.5 4.04x 0.00000000
4:31PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.007 3.62x 0.00000000
4:30PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.419 4.90x 0.00000000
4:15PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.272651 5.01x 0.00000000
2:43PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.222 5.14x 0.00000000
3:30AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01957677 5.08x 0.00000000
1:31AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Grosbig Yes 0.01053685 5.07x 0.00000000
1:24AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.005 5.07x 0.00000000
10:42PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.43993 6.04x 0.00000000
5:25PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 6.13x 0.00000000
5:25PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07 6.20x 0.00000000
2:46AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC hippoturd Yes 0.07563991 6.20x 0.00000000
12:33AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC markm Yes 0.02587217 6.20x 0.00000000
12:15AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC hippoturd Yes 0.0108 6.20x 0.00000000
11:39PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.25 6.21x 0.00000000
11:08PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 6.65x 0.00000000
10:14PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Galadriel Yes 0.02447647 6.65x 0.00000000
9:09PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00865756 6.67x 0.00000000
9:05PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.129 6.90x 0.00000000
8:16PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 7.23x 0.00000000
8:06PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 7.50x 0.00000000
4:23PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC markm Yes 0.01011314 7.51x 0.00000000
2:00PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.006 7.12x 0.00000000
1:47PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
1:38PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00644623 8.00x 0.00000000
9:45AM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.324 1.06x 0.33313680
8:46AM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3 1.06x 0.30846000
2:46PM, Dec 6, 2020 UTC Phunky Yes 0.06572519 6.46x 0.00000000
10:22AM, Dec 5, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.1972 6.46x 0.00000000
8:44PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.6 6.65x 0.00000000
5:59PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.11 6.66x 0.00000000
12:55PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.06196657 6.66x 0.00000000
12:50PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.035 6.66x 0.00000000
9:14AM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.020171 6.66x 0.00000000
12:25AM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.01 6.58x 0.00000000
10:46PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC nightthing12 Yes 0.01322834 6.60x 0.00000000
7:15PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC ryohaz Yes 0.00593065 6.58x 0.00000000
4:39PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.025 1.07x 0.02594750
1:52AM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.165 1.06x 0.16965300
12:09AM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.125 6.51x 0.00000000
6:41AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.199 1.07x 0.20654210
3:56AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.07x 0.00518950
3:45AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Treebeard Yes 0.05 6.12x 0.00000000
2:33AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Galadriel Yes 0.02454287 6.12x 0.00000000
9:03AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.053 1.06x 0.05449460
8:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 6.09x 0.00000000
3:14AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Javan Yes 0.0237 7.51x 0.00000000
2:44AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC arturo_2259 Yes 0.00979 7.51x 0.00000000
2:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.0527 7.51x 0.00000000
1:09AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.02813456 5.57x 0.00000000
12:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.065 1.10x 0.06935500
10:13PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.047 7.00x 0.00000000
7:11PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0621 7.01x 0.00000000
6:04PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01103489 7.01x 0.00000000
5:58PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.3033 7.01x 0.00000000
5:44PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02167547 7.01x 0.00000000
5:24PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.01x 0.00000000
3:27PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.10x 0.00533500
2:33PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.01x 0.00000000
2:31PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 7.01x 0.00000000
1:12PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 7.01x 0.00000000
1:04PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014 7.01x 0.00000000
12:40PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01064793 7.01x 0.00000000
11:03AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 7.01x 0.00000000
8:48AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01453488 7.50x 0.00000000
8:05AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.09004983 7.02x 0.00000000
7:26AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.03902072 7.15x 0.00000000
6:28AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 8.43x 0.00000000
6:01AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC arturo_2259 Yes 0.00789 9.09x 0.00000000
5:55AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.09x 0.00000000
5:50AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Javan Yes 0.037 9.18x 0.00000000
5:44AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.1395 11.01x 0.00000000
7:20PM, Nov 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 10.01x 0.00000000
3:26PM, Nov 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 10.01x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.00x 0.00000000
2:01AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.00000000
1:59AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 8.10x 0.00000000
1:19AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.00000000
11:04PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00507082 8.10x 0.00000000
10:53PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0312441 8.10x 0.00000000
6:40PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
6:06PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009462 8.00x 0.00000000
3:29PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
10:22AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.82x 0.00000000
3:19AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.0116 7.51x 0.00000000
8:02PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.6 7.07x 0.00000000
7:55PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.90x 0.00000000
7:35PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.91x 0.00000000
6:21PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05270342 7.91x 0.00000000
4:13PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
12:17PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.499 1.06x 0.51307180
12:12PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.06x 0.10282000
11:18AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.037 7.86x 0.00000000
9:45AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.05x 0.10185000
5:20AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.07782052 8.23x 0.00000000
4:46AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 9.50x 0.00000000
4:42AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 9.50x 0.00000000
4:40AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.015 9.50x 0.00000000
3:24AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 9.25x 0.00000000
3:14AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.053 8.50x 0.00000000
3:12AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 8.50x 0.00000000
9:02PM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01674224 7.00x 0.00000000
10:31AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.48x 0.00000000
10:30AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.71x 0.00000000
9:48AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0505 8.23x 0.00000000
6:52AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 12.43x 0.00000000
5:35AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014686 12.02x 0.00000000
4:40AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 12.02x 0.00000000
11:20PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC tecladoreal Yes 0.0132 11.00x 0.00000000
9:59PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.00690062 10.00x 0.00000000
10:55AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 6.05x 0.00000000
8:54AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02142857 6.06x 0.00000000
5:57PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.04x 0.10088000
5:47PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Timm Yes 0.00591927 4.20x 0.00000000
2:31PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08292982 5.32x 0.00000000
12:29PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 5.30x 0.00000000
7:11AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.04x 0.01008800
6:57AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC leili Yes 0.00992412 5.60x 0.00000000
5:18AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.05 1.04x 0.05044000
5:23PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 5.00x 0.00000000
5:02PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 5.00x 0.00000000
5:43PM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.03x 0.00000000
3:40AM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.035 3.02x 0.00000000
4:43PM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC bcide No 0.02 1.05x 0.02037000
10:27AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.112 1.10x 0.11950400
10:07AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC nsob No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
9:49AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04945 2.69x 0.00000000
8:35AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.36 1.12x 0.39110400
5:52PM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 2.65x 0.00000000
10:07AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.10x 0.04268000
5:58AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.005 4.40x 0.00000000
11:15PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.0643 4.50x 0.00000000
6:24PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.50x 0.00000000
6:23PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.81x 0.00000000
2:21PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08505 4.51x 0.00000000
7:22AM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.15 1.10x 0.16005000
8:11PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0056 4.51x 0.00000000
12:01PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0233827 4.51x 0.00000000
12:11PM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12 1.10x 0.12804000
8:57AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC jbet Yes 0.07 4.01x 0.00000000
8:52PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0637 1.10x 0.06796790
8:29PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0309576 1.10x 0.03303176
4:33PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC tadarlis No 0.01840478 1.10x 0.01963790
11:43PM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 3.53x 0.00000000
8:44AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03794861 3.54x 0.00000000
7:08AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC dddavidp Yes 0.0050371 3.85x 0.00000000
11:10PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen Yes 0.011 4.00x 0.00000000
5:54AM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0679 1.10x 0.07244930
6:39PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.22056853 1.10x 1.30234662
6:07PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC dogiv No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
2:33PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC justbet No 0.26680842 1.10x 0.28468458
6:43AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Fundraiser No 0.087 1.10x 0.09282900
12:49AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC ezuser1 Yes 0.005 3.00x 0.00000000
2:45PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.33 3.11x 0.00000000
11:08AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.13 3.09x 0.00000000
10:38AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.83x 0.00000000
10:28AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.33 5.79x 0.00000000
4:56AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 3.09x 0.00000000
3:04AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.09x 0.52865000
12:55AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00552791 3.04x 0.00000000
12:16AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0519753 1.09x 0.05495348
8:00PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.15 3.03x 0.00000000
3:09PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC bronco Yes 0.069 3.01x 0.00000000
2:29PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC leen93 No 0.037 1.09x 0.03912010
2:02PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.009 3.01x 0.00000000
12:45PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC qmpsr No 0.01097086 1.09x 0.01159949
9:19AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.05x 0.00000000
6:20AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02780697 3.07x 0.00000000
4:18AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.0065 3.00x 0.00000000
1:37AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.006 4.00x 0.00000000
9:54PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.018 4.28x 0.00000000
4:22PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0202672 5.74x 0.00000000
4:30PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 3.02x 0.00000000
7:15AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.06x 0.00000000
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.027 3.04x 0.00000000
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 3.50x 0.00000000
12:05AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.024 4.00x 0.00000000
8:22PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC Nylan Yes 0.34939565 3.51x 0.00000000
6:25PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.26 2.59x 0.00000000
3:59PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC johnconnors11 Yes 0.1 2.59x 0.00000000
2:40PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC fritz Yes 0.015 1.75x 0.00000000
12:12PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC leen93 Yes 0.013 1.75x 0.00000000
3:49AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.05 1.10x 0.00000000
3:40AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC harrycarry No 0.0135 2.00x 0.02619000
2:45AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.01766145 1.46x 0.00000000
2:41AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.00552462 1.46x 0.00000000
2:23AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC blairchap Yes 0.01 1.46x 0.00000000
1:20AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC ColdNights Yes 0.01256081 1.44x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.0286052 1.82x 0.00000000
11:54PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.23266232 1.82x 0.00000000
10:32PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC qweasd170 Yes 0.00574737 1.77x 0.00000000
10:19PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC jokesrequiem Yes 0.3 1.77x 0.00000000
8:59PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC wulfgvngg Yes 0.01676 1.77x 0.00000000
7:46PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC gtcsr22xx Yes 0.024 1.77x 0.00000000
1:21PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 4.323 1.09x 0.00000000
1:16PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.243 1.35x 0.00000000
1:14PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.116 1.50x 0.00000000
1:07PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.38 1.75x 0.00000000
10:48AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.28 1.72x 0.00000000
8:09AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.14 1.90x 0.00000000
7:30AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC sliu7809 Yes 0.3 1.90x 0.00000000
7:20AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05883758 1.90x 0.00000000
6:55AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.00000000
6:54AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.00000000
6:31AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.772 2.01x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC dcclxxvii Yes 0.00509001 2.01x 0.00000000
2:41AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.169 2.00x 0.00000000
1:59AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 2.20x 0.00000000
12:02AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.062 2.19x 0.00000000
11:59PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.104 2.20x 0.00000000
11:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.4 2.20x 0.00000000
11:46PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07262704 2.20x 0.00000000
10:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC LSfreeloader Yes 0.01 2.30x 0.00000000
6:25PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.33x 0.00645050
See more

Discussion

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TeamHans 10:52PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
... Except this whole thing is for "extended betting" and says it "will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt." The bet should only pay out on 1/6 if it's beyond reasonable doubt. Otherwise it should be extended to 1/20. Do you really disagree with that...?
betterment 10:18PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
The timeline was pretty clearly stated so this bet shouldn't be extended.
cryptoman 6:17PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
Makes sense to me, even if I have doubts about how fairly the judicial systems really is when overlooked by self-proclaimed saviors backed by military. In banana republics and North Korea it "tends" to be a farce, but that's just my point of view. Well, I guess we can only sit and wait.
TeamHans 6:04PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
Trump declaring martial law and declaring himself President should resolve no. However. Trump declaring martial law to seize certain assets and prove he is the rightful winner of the Presidency "beyond all reasonable doubt" - should resolve yes. I hope everyone can agree.
cryptoman 5:52PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
Funny how for some "Trump Elected President in 2020 " is fading in "Will Trump declare Martial laws?". That's a funny and twisted concept to solve it as YES, as "Trump Elected President in 2020". I'm personally exposed with 3 or 4 BTC, but I guess it's not really useful to keep debating here. Whatever will be the outcome of this bet, it will be obviously contested. @BetMoose and @Avalon at the end, will have the last words on it. Bet responsibly, have fun to all of you.
TeamHans 5:34PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
Apologies nsob. Sounds like we're in agreement then that the deadline should be extended now to January 20th on the possibility of that happening. Then, if things are beyond all reasonable doubt earlier, like on 1/6, it can resolve earlier.
nsob 5:24PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
You didn't quote my whole sentence, which was "The election procedure ends January 6th, unless for some reason the Joint Session is adjourned.". This sentence means that the election procedure ends (by the Constitution) with the Joint Session, which is now scheduled to January 6th. If this Joint Session is adjourned, then (by the Constitution) the election procedure will end a later date.
TeamHans 5:09PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
nsob you wrote "The election procedure ends January 6th," - except that is NOT what the Constitution says. At all. So this deadline may need to be extended. Thus it should be NOW. To ensure a fair result beyond all reasonable doubt for all.
nsob 4:42PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
The election procedure ends January 6th, unless for some reason the Joint Session is adjourned. What happens afterwards is not related to the election. For instance, if the President elected on January 6 died before January 20, he would still have been elected, although not inaugurated.
TeamHans 3:55PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
I echo the folks below who call to extend the deadline for this bet until January 20th. Extending the deadline is the only way to guarantee resolving this based on stated rule that this "will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt." Note it MAY resolve earlier. But it also MAY take until January 20th for the winner to be clear. Thank you.
ungabunga 3:36PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
To much is at stake to not wait till 20th of January. Plus in the description is clearly stated that winner is chosen when there is absolute certainty. In one other bet. The moderators , closed it, becaouse it stated winner is chosen when large media outlets announce it. Wtf? Here it is stated “beyond reasonable doubt” , which we will have on 20th of January. Stick to your words!
lerp 3:24PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton @anon2134, if major betting sites were able to wait as long as 1.5 months to determine their outcomes, surely this bet (valued at over $2,000,000.00) could hold out 2 weeks until the inauguration as a final outcome on January 20th
anon2134 2:45PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton I appreciate that you are trying to come up with alternative bets, but this is the bet most people put all of our betting budget in. Your decision logic clearly offers settlement only in a state of *NO (reasonable) UNCERTAINTY* and we would expect you to hold up to that promise. As both Biden and Trump will have multiple credible options to play between the 6th and the 20th up until political power is fully transferred, settlement on the 6th is near guaranteed to violate your promise.
nhatlong0605 9:11AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
@udohtu5182 Read this for yourself, DoD has put Biden transition to a halt, why? https://fr.reuters.com/article/us-usa-biden-defense-idUSKBN28S2MD.
AHamilton 6:24AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
Dear All, I've created a new bet: Will Donald Trump be President on January 24th. This one will resolve later. https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-be-president-on-january-24th-2021-5329#new Currently, I have a lot of money on both sides of this market b/c I was the creator, but once it is freed up, I would be happy to lay down 30 coin.
AHamilton 6:10AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
So, to clarify, if the Congressional certification is unclear, such as if at least a senator and House member both assert disagreement with the certification given the widespread fraud, and it goes to a vote and Trump wins, as many expect, or if Trump declares martial law and thus Congress accedes to his power, then this market will clearly resolve as Yes. In any case, obviously BetMoose will eventually decide this market, and in the past BM has been the most Trump-friendly of any betting site.
vladdy 4:31AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
plz correct me if i'm wrong in my assumptions
vladdy 4:28AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
from what i have read on more than 9 pages of these comments, the constitution rules supreme, if 2018 executive order is issued then it would be a Trump win ... from what i understand this bet would be extended to the 21st as a MAXIMUM extension
d_d 3:14AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
Euro bookies were offering ~ 6/1 odds for Trump's win back in 2016. We know how that ended. Amazingly 4 years later one can back him again at almost identical odds! Some things just never change...
praine 2:04AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
EDIT: Comments from users are not sacred, but the ones from the BetMoose admins are to settle disputes or ambiguities.
praine 2:00AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
A valid course to victory*. What @jblndsl said: "Trump barricading himself in the White House on Jan 20th does not resolve as Yes." is the reasonable outlook, there is no way that should resolve as 'Yes' but in that fringe situation I'm sure that you would argue that 'No' shouldn't win either (as the 'winner' has not been unambiguously determined - it is still up in the air). Maybe the bet would be neutralized in that case.
praine 1:54AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC
What's important to remember is that decision logic is sacred. Comments are not sacred, for it opens the door to 'changing the bet as it goes along'. Now, I agree that whatever path Trump has to victory is valid and @Andyzzle you said: "I also don't think Trump would just do a military coup and declare himself president. It would most likely be a scenario in which military courts investigate the election and order hand recounts with signature verification." To me, that is a valid.
ITVAULT 10:23PM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC
*** NO UNCERTAINTY *** IT DOES NOT MATTER what other platforms did or what the Elect College votes, the bet logic is CLEAR: "I reserve the right to wait xxxx.....to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled." UNTIL one of the two IS INAUGURATED, they are NOT PRESIDENT, hence NOT WON THE ELECTION, how is this NOT CLEAR ? We all want a Fair, Honest, Legal outcome per the logic stated. Good luck to all... IT VAULT c.c. @AHamilton @praine
anon2134 7:51PM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC
@jblndsl @AHamilton The decision logic states the following: "No means he will not win reelection for any reason, such as death or resignation. I reserve the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled." This appears to me as crystal clear wording that ambiguity ought to be resolved before the bet is settled, and Trump will still have credible options beyond the 6th.
udohtu5182 7:29PM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC
Who cares what the truth is, right? Just as long as my side wins.
udohtu5182 7:28PM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC
Well, if Trump manages to somehow catch a win after losing every legal contest, it means that the US no longer is a rule-based society, and everyone can do what they want. So why couldn't the host of this bet then rule the resolution just as he likes?
jblndsl 7:02PM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC
Support answer to my question when the bet will be resolved. It's after Congress meets, as explicitly stated multiple times here. Let's stick to the rules, shall we?
jblndsl 7:00PM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC
For the extended betting bet, you still have users betting 'Yes' on Trump as of today. Feel free to simply offer odds if you are so certain - no reason to resolve that one before the outcome date as specified. For the regular fixed odds one, we previously promised to wait until January 6/7th. There is just a small matter of congress certifying the EC vote (which although 99.99% likely), is not 100%.
Andyzzle 6:57PM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC
@jbldnsl you don't get to decide for others whether they're satisfied or not. I put a lot of money down because @AHamilton explicitly said that martial law would resolve as yes when I asked. Now he's changed his mind on something that is not insignificant to the bet at all. I'll try emailing the admins about this because @Avalon doesn't seem to respond and it's at best misleading to tell people you'll resolve one way and then do the exact opposite.
jblndsl 6:33PM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC
Guys, there's no need to argue. @Avalon stated it multiple times, the bets will be settled after Congress confirms the electoral college votes. We should all be thankful for the moderators to have found an option that leaves all sides satisfied, so let's not push the envelope.

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