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Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)

Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)
Category:
Politics
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Description

Will Donald Trump win the 2020 Presidential Election?

This market will allow betting through election day and in the days after as more results come in, and will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt.

Decision Logic

Will Donald Trump be the winner of the 2020 U.S. presidential general election? Yes means he will, no means he will not. No means he will not win reelection for any reason, such as death or resignation. I reserve the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Early resolution of this market is possible if the final result is known sooner than the betting deadline.

CLOSING IN2021-01-06 00:00:00

10:09AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 6, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

Offered Volume: 39.16
Backed Volume: 21.23
9.06x
1.04x
YES
9.04x
0.1240
9.05x
0.1240
9.06x
0.0720
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*does not include 3% fee

NO
-
-
-
-
1.04x
2.500
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*does not include 3% fee

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Expected Payout
5:03AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.00x 0.04365000
2:01AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.04557060
1:59AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 8.10x 0.03928500
1:19AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.04557060
11:04PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00507082 8.10x 0.03984143
10:53PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0312441 8.10x 0.24548489
6:40PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.07760000
6:06PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009462 8.00x 0.07342512
3:29PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.07760000
10:22AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.82x 1.51708000
3:19AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.0116 7.51x 0.08450252
8:02PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.6 7.07x 4.11474000
7:55PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.90x 0.91956000
7:35PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.91x 0.92072400
6:21PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05270342 7.91x 0.40437753
4:13PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
12:17PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.499 1.06x 0.51307180
12:12PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.06x 0.10282000
11:18AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.037 7.86x 0.28209540
9:45AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.05x 0.10185000
5:20AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.07782052 8.23x 0.62124899
4:46AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 9.50x 0.09215000
4:42AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 9.50x 0.04607500
4:40AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.015 9.50x 0.13822500
3:24AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 9.25x 0.05383500
3:14AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.053 8.50x 0.43698500
3:12AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 8.50x 0.24735000
9:02PM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01674224 7.00x 0.11367981
10:31AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.48x 0.86912000
10:30AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.71x 1.49574000
9:48AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0505 8.23x 0.40314655
6:52AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 12.43x 1.20571000
5:35AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014686 12.02x 0.17122995
4:40AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 12.02x 0.23318800
11:20PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC tecladoreal Yes 0.0132 11.00x 0.14084400
9:59PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.00690062 10.00x 0.06693601
10:55AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 6.05x 0.23474000
8:54AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02142857 6.06x 0.12596142
5:57PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.04x 0.10088000
5:47PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Timm Yes 0.00591927 4.20x 0.02411511
2:31PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08292982 5.32x 0.42795104
12:29PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 5.30x 0.05141000
7:11AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.04x 0.01008800
6:57AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC leili Yes 0.00992412 5.60x 0.05390782
5:18AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.05 1.04x 0.05044000
5:23PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 5.00x 0.09700000
5:02PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 5.00x 0.02425000
5:43PM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.03x 0.02939100
3:40AM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.035 3.02x 0.10252900
4:43PM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC bcide No 0.02 1.05x 0.02037000
10:27AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.112 1.10x 0.11950400
10:07AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC nsob No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
9:49AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04945 2.69x 0.12902989
8:35AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.36 1.12x 0.39110400
5:52PM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 2.65x 0.25705000
10:07AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.10x 0.04268000
5:58AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.005 4.40x 0.02134000
11:15PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.0643 4.50x 0.28066950
6:24PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.50x 0.87300000
6:23PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.81x 0.93314000
2:21PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08505 4.51x 0.37206824
7:22AM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.15 1.10x 0.16005000
8:11PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0056 4.51x 0.02449832
12:01PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0233827 4.51x 0.10229230
12:11PM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12 1.10x 0.12804000
8:57AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC jbet Yes 0.07 4.01x 0.27227900
8:52PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0637 1.10x 0.06796790
8:29PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0309576 1.10x 0.03303176
4:33PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC tadarlis No 0.01840478 1.10x 0.01963790
11:43PM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 3.53x 0.10272300
8:44AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03794861 3.54x 0.13030794
7:08AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC dddavidp Yes 0.0050371 3.85x 0.01881105
11:10PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen Yes 0.011 4.00x 0.04268000
5:54AM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0679 1.10x 0.07244930
6:39PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.22056853 1.10x 1.30234662
6:07PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC dogiv No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
2:33PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC justbet No 0.26680842 1.10x 0.28468458
6:43AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Fundraiser No 0.087 1.10x 0.09282900
12:49AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC ezuser1 Yes 0.005 3.00x 0.01455000
2:45PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.33 3.11x 0.99551100
11:08AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.13 3.09x 0.38964900
10:38AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.83x 0.74302000
10:28AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.33 5.79x 1.85337900
4:56AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 3.09x 0.29973000
3:04AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.09x 0.52865000
12:55AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00552791 3.04x 0.01630070
12:16AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0519753 1.09x 0.05495348
8:00PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.15 3.03x 0.44086500
3:09PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC bronco Yes 0.069 3.01x 0.20145930
2:29PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC leen93 No 0.037 1.09x 0.03912010
2:02PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.009 3.01x 0.02627730
12:45PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01097086 1.09x 0.01159949
9:19AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.05x 0.59170000
6:20AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02780697 3.07x 0.08280638
4:18AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.0065 3.00x 0.01891500
1:37AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.006 4.00x 0.02328000
9:54PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.018 4.28x 0.07472880
4:22PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0202672 5.74x 0.11284372
4:30PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 3.02x 0.01757640
7:15AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.06x 0.02968200
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.027 3.04x 0.07961760
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 3.50x 0.49567000
12:05AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.024 4.00x 0.09312000
8:22PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC Nylan Yes 0.34939565 3.51x 1.18958737
6:25PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.26 2.59x 0.65319800
3:59PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC johnconnors11 Yes 0.1 2.59x 0.25123000
2:40PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC fritz Yes 0.015 1.75x 0.02546250
12:12PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC leen93 Yes 0.013 1.75x 0.02206750
3:49AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.05 1.10x 0.05335000
3:40AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC harrycarry No 0.0135 2.00x 0.02619000
2:45AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.01766145 1.46x 0.02501215
2:41AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.00552462 1.46x 0.00782397
2:23AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC blairchap Yes 0.01 1.46x 0.01416200
1:20AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC ColdNights Yes 0.01256081 1.44x 0.01754494
12:08AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.0286052 1.82x 0.05049962
11:54PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.23266232 1.82x 0.41074206
10:32PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC qweasd170 Yes 0.00574737 1.77x 0.00986766
10:19PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC jokesrequiem Yes 0.3 1.77x 0.51507000
8:59PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC wulfgvngg Yes 0.01676 1.77x 0.02877524
7:46PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC gtcsr22xx Yes 0.024 1.77x 0.04120560
1:21PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 4.323 1.09x 4.57070790
1:16PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.243 1.35x 0.31820850
1:14PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.116 1.50x 0.16878000
1:07PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.38 1.75x 2.34255000
10:48AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.28 1.72x 2.13555200
8:09AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.14 1.90x 2.10102000
7:30AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC sliu7809 Yes 0.3 1.90x 0.55290000
7:20AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05883758 1.90x 0.10843766
6:55AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.18527000
6:54AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.18527000
6:31AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.772 2.01x 1.50516840
5:03AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC dcclxxvii Yes 0.00509001 2.01x 0.00992399
2:41AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.169 2.00x 0.32786000
1:59AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 2.20x 0.01067000
12:02AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.062 2.19x 0.13170660
11:59PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.104 2.20x 0.22193600
11:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.4 2.20x 0.85360000
11:46PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07262704 2.20x 0.15498610
10:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC LSfreeloader Yes 0.01 2.30x 0.02231000
6:25PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.33x 0.00645050
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Discussion

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jblndsl 1:35PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC
Top lawyers giving Trump a great chance a well. Idk but I think the odds don't really account for the very real chance of winning he has at this point: https://twitter.com/alexbruesewitz/status/1327005556310159366
jblndsl 1:34PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC
The evidence against Biden just keeps piling up: https://twitter.com/RyanAFournier/status/1326724235771998208
AHamilton 7:43AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC
FYI, a Harvard Law Professor puts Trump's chances at 20%: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/donald-trumps-stealthy-road-victory-172235?amp&__twitter_impression=true
bitqueen 5:40AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC
Bet on Trump's final EC vote count here; will audits, recounts, or faithless electors help him before Jan 6th? https://www.betmoose.com/bet/how-many-electoral-votes-will-trump-ultimately-receive-5211
AHamilton 5:12AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC
[email protected], how about going back to 3.06 or 3.07 at least?
AHamilton 1:07PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
If people want to bet specifically on Pennsylvania, it's here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-win-pennsylvania-again-in-2020-5179
AHamilton 11:07AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
FYI -- I have requested to Betmoose to extend this bet until January 6th, when the results of the EC votes are announced.
AHamilton 4:32AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
FYI, just so it's clear, (1) This bet will be decided by BetMoose, and (2) This bet will wait until the EC votes are announced Jan 6th, unless Trump concedes before that or something else dramatic changes.
grolsch 4:14AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
I started a new bet on whether Trump will finish his term in full: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-complete-his-first-term-5204
harrycarry 2:27AM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC
You guys are funny to actually believe that trump even has the slightest chance to be president on Inauguration Day. Like you guys are hilarious, if I could bet more on Biden I would but no option to place bet.
johnconnors11 9:11PM, Nov 8, 2020 UTC
Theres a lot of what-if scenarios here, this bet should be, who gets inaugurated at this point because of so much uncertainty and apparent fraud going on.
AHamilton 8:26PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
So, I'm not going to call this just yet. Let's see if the Supreme Court overturns this first. Betting can continue. If Trump concedes it's over though.
TeamColtra 6:44PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
Anyone who thinks the courts will force an overturn of the election results you can put your money where your mouth is https://betmoose.com/bet/will-courts-overturn-the-2020-presidential-election-5196
Okyle250 5:54PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
Biden has not won , trump will still win
harrycarry 5:49PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton Now that many news outlets have called race for Biden, when are you gonna call it?
qmpsr 3:53PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
When I try to bet No it says That amount is unavailable. How do I bet no?
praine 3:43AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
@People betting Trump: If there is no volume being offered for Trump feel free to lay Biden. It's the same thing and indicates to the other side that more money should be deposited into the site.
planetnine 10:47PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
@Nylan, I would've given you better odds!
planetnine 4:46PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
What odds will people still bet for Trump on?
ungabunga 3:00PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
Thank you
AHamilton 11:40AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
Ungabunga, yes, this will not be cleared until it's over. If it's still going on past the deadline, I'll extend it so we know with certainty.
AHamilton 11:40AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
Ungabunga, yes, this will not be cleared until it's over. If it's still going on past the deadline, I'll extend it so we know with certainty.
ungabunga 8:25AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
ungabunga 7:10AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
You wont close the bet, before all is settled in the court, right ?
AHamilton 7:43PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
@johnconnors11. Yes, a bet on Trump means Trump will win. A bet on No means he will lose.
johnconnors11 4:11PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton. This bet is legit right? Yes means trump is winner?
BitMoose 12:05AM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
If you are struggling with suicidal thoughts or are experiencing a mental health crisis, call the 24/7 National Suicide Prevention hotline at 1-800-273-8255 or go to SuicidePreventionLifeline.org.
leen93 9:52PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
trump wins at odds of @5. who takes it?
praine 3:06AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Oh, you're quick @ Yes layer! Was just about to pull the trigger. ;)
BitMoose 8:55PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC
Loopylocksta please for the love of god stop taking drugs immediately.

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