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Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)

Trump Elected President in 2020 (Extended Betting)
Category:
Politics
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Description

Will Donald Trump win the 2020 Presidential Election?

This market will allow betting through election day and in the days after as more results come in, and will only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt.

Decision Logic

Will Donald Trump be the winner of the 2020 U.S. presidential general election? Yes means he will, no means he will not. No means he will not win reelection for any reason, such as death or resignation. I reserve the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Early resolution of this market is possible if the final result is known sooner than the betting deadline.

CLOSING IN2021-01-06 00:00:00

10:09AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 6, 2021 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 8:42AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

Offered Volume: 88.96
Backed Volume: 40.64

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

YES
Volume
27.27209413
# Bets
243
NO
Volume
13.3672907
# Bets
82

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Payout
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.088 1.14x 0.09731040
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.05 1.14x 0.05529000
11:59PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.1 1.14x 0.11058000
11:37PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.11x 0.00538350
11:03PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC ALEXWINS Yes 0.07737985 4.10x 0.00000000
10:22PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.017 1.10x 0.01813900
9:21PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.06 6.44x 0.00000000
7:36PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.015 1.10x 0.01600500
7:34PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01151339 1.10x 0.01228479
7:29PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.007 1.10x 0.00746900
7:04PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
7:04PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.10x 0.00533500
7:02PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
4:48PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 7.01x 0.00000000
4:37PM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 7.01x 0.00000000
6:44AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.213 1.10x 0.22727100
4:12AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.19x 0.00000000
2:24AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.014 6.67x 0.00000000
2:00AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.04025 6.94x 0.00000000
1:41AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
12:30AM, Jan 5, 2021 UTC elephant321 No 0.14180228 1.10x 0.15130303
8:16PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08 6.66x 0.00000000
1:36PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Golhoneybadger Yes 0.149 6.66x 0.00000000
1:01PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.10124 7.27x 0.00000000
7:40AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.01367374 1.08x 0.01432461
1:54AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC CopmalaForAG Yes 0.05979 8.01x 0.00000000
1:24AM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.03 8.03x 0.00000000
8:01PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 9.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01245139 9.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03510858 10.10x 0.00000000
10:39AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.14070951 9.99x 0.00000000
12:42AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.008 9.00x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Jan 3, 2021 UTC freedom No 0.00586474 1.07x 0.00608701
8:04PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 8.00x 0.00000000
4:22PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.00612055 1.07x 0.00635252
3:24PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 7.04x 0.00000000
3:22PM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.011 10.00x 0.00000000
11:23AM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.03999808 1.07x 0.04151401
4:17AM, Jan 2, 2021 UTC AForceNinja No 0.2 1.07x 0.20758000
11:19PM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
2:03AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC nuobeto No 0.179 1.08x 0.18752040
12:31AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC nuobeto No 0.01 1.08x 0.01047600
9:48AM, Dec 31, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12753722 1.10x 0.13608221
7:14AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC BonanzaPilot Yes 0.00930852 6.81x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Dec 30, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 6.81x 0.00000000
10:48PM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC mastergerund No 0.02731099 1.08x 0.02861099
2:49AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.25 1.10x 0.26675000
12:23AM, Dec 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 6.81x 0.00000000
12:55PM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.2542532 1.10x 0.27128816
6:54AM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.00539292 1.10x 0.00575425
3:22AM, Dec 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
2:16PM, Dec 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.10x 0.02134000
5:37AM, Dec 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
10:02AM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01580693 6.69x 0.00000000
1:40AM, Dec 26, 2020 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.02 6.69x 0.00000000
7:00PM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 6.69x 0.00000000
3:49AM, Dec 25, 2020 UTC RunIt2020 Yes 0.0666 6.67x 0.00000000
2:03PM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.61x 0.00000000
2:20AM, Dec 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.65x 0.00000000
2:44PM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.65x 0.00000000
4:02AM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.073 7.52x 0.00000000
4:02AM, Dec 22, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.017 7.70x 0.00000000
1:04PM, Dec 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.032 1.07x 0.03321280
2:58AM, Dec 20, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 6.69x 0.00000000
11:48PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0199 7.00x 0.00000000
4:17PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 7.00x 0.00000000
1:37PM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.17 7.01x 0.00000000
2:13AM, Dec 19, 2020 UTC oracleon No 0.005 1.09x 0.00528650
10:19AM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.35 1.09x 0.37005500
5:54AM, Dec 18, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.00862288 7.01x 0.00000000
11:34PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.25 1.08x 0.26190000
9:23PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.083 7.01x 0.00000000
6:51PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.16400433 7.00x 0.00000000
3:47PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.084006 7.02x 0.00000000
2:11PM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC DaWei Yes 0.005 7.02x 0.00000000
11:50AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3420888 1.05x 0.34841744
10:27AM, Dec 17, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.0199 7.02x 0.00000000
10:13PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.25720298 1.05x 0.26196124
8:27PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.0858 7.01x 0.00000000
6:14PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.09 7.01x 0.00000000
6:03PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00549 8.11x 0.00000000
8:55AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.005 9.96x 0.00000000
8:48AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.008 10.00x 0.00000000
8:37AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.08 10.00x 0.00000000
8:34AM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 10.00x 0.00000000
2:40PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.016 10.00x 0.00000000
10:54AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.53974632 1.09x 0.57067378
7:24AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1 1.10x 1.06700000
10:26AM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.1293 4.56x 0.00000000
11:56AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.02 6.00x 0.00000000
2:52AM, Dec 13, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005561 7.50x 0.00000000
11:52PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC xdm Yes 0.005 7.50x 0.00000000
3:01PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.005 7.52x 0.00000000
2:20PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.005 8.00x 0.00000000
1:48PM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.18x 0.00000000
9:10AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.034 10.00x 0.00000000
8:17AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.05x 0.50925000
12:41AM, Dec 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.505 1.07x 1.56203950
10:18PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02466062 4.99x 0.00000000
8:05PM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.625 1.08x 0.65475000
9:55AM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.00669499 4.92x 0.00000000
6:36AM, Dec 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.368 1.09x 0.38908640
9:42PM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05 5.51x 0.00000000
6:08PM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3 1.08x 0.31428000
10:56AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.12x 0.04345600
7:50AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC aGan Yes 0.01 4.12x 0.00000000
6:36AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02244253 4.12x 0.00000000
5:52AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC sinmantky No 0.025 1.12x 0.02716000
5:00AM, Dec 10, 2020 UTC imunclebob Yes 0.1 4.10x 0.00000000
11:02PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.12 4.06x 0.00000000
7:47PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.00644996 4.03x 0.00000000
7:00PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.5 4.04x 0.00000000
4:31PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.007 3.62x 0.00000000
4:30PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.419 4.90x 0.00000000
4:15PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.272651 5.01x 0.00000000
2:43PM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.222 5.14x 0.00000000
3:30AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01957677 5.08x 0.00000000
1:31AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC Grosbig Yes 0.01053685 5.07x 0.00000000
1:24AM, Dec 9, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.005 5.07x 0.00000000
10:42PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.43993 6.04x 0.00000000
5:25PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 6.13x 0.00000000
5:25PM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07 6.20x 0.00000000
2:46AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC hippoturd Yes 0.07563991 6.20x 0.00000000
12:33AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC markm Yes 0.02587217 6.20x 0.00000000
12:15AM, Dec 8, 2020 UTC hippoturd Yes 0.0108 6.20x 0.00000000
11:39PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.25 6.21x 0.00000000
11:08PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 6.65x 0.00000000
10:14PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Galadriel Yes 0.02447647 6.65x 0.00000000
9:09PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00865756 6.67x 0.00000000
9:05PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.129 6.90x 0.00000000
8:16PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 7.23x 0.00000000
8:06PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 7.50x 0.00000000
4:23PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC markm Yes 0.01011314 7.51x 0.00000000
2:00PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.006 7.12x 0.00000000
1:47PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
1:38PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00644623 8.00x 0.00000000
9:45AM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.324 1.06x 0.33313680
8:46AM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.3 1.06x 0.30846000
2:46PM, Dec 6, 2020 UTC Phunky Yes 0.06572519 6.46x 0.00000000
10:22AM, Dec 5, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.1972 6.46x 0.00000000
8:44PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.6 6.65x 0.00000000
5:59PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.11 6.66x 0.00000000
12:55PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.06196657 6.66x 0.00000000
12:50PM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.035 6.66x 0.00000000
9:14AM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.020171 6.66x 0.00000000
12:25AM, Dec 4, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.01 6.58x 0.00000000
10:46PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC nightthing12 Yes 0.01322834 6.60x 0.00000000
7:15PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC ryohaz Yes 0.00593065 6.58x 0.00000000
4:39PM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.025 1.07x 0.02594750
1:52AM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.165 1.06x 0.16965300
12:09AM, Dec 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.125 6.51x 0.00000000
6:41AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.199 1.07x 0.20654210
3:56AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.07x 0.00518950
3:45AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Treebeard Yes 0.05 6.12x 0.00000000
2:33AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC Galadriel Yes 0.02454287 6.12x 0.00000000
9:03AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.053 1.06x 0.05449460
8:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 6.09x 0.00000000
3:14AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Javan Yes 0.0237 7.51x 0.00000000
2:44AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC arturo_2259 Yes 0.00979 7.51x 0.00000000
2:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.0527 7.51x 0.00000000
1:09AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.02813456 5.57x 0.00000000
12:17AM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.065 1.10x 0.06935500
10:13PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Douglass30 Yes 0.047 7.00x 0.00000000
7:11PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0621 7.01x 0.00000000
6:04PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01103489 7.01x 0.00000000
5:58PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.3033 7.01x 0.00000000
5:44PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02167547 7.01x 0.00000000
5:24PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.01x 0.00000000
3:27PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.10x 0.00533500
2:33PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 7.01x 0.00000000
2:31PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 7.01x 0.00000000
1:12PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 7.01x 0.00000000
1:04PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014 7.01x 0.00000000
12:40PM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01064793 7.01x 0.00000000
11:03AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 7.01x 0.00000000
8:48AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01453488 7.50x 0.00000000
8:05AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.09004983 7.02x 0.00000000
7:26AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.03902072 7.15x 0.00000000
6:28AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.5 8.43x 0.00000000
6:01AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC arturo_2259 Yes 0.00789 9.09x 0.00000000
5:55AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.09x 0.00000000
5:50AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC Javan Yes 0.037 9.18x 0.00000000
5:44AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC ITVAULT Yes 0.1395 11.01x 0.00000000
7:20PM, Nov 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 10.01x 0.00000000
3:26PM, Nov 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009 10.01x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.005 9.00x 0.00000000
2:01AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.00000000
1:59AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 8.10x 0.00000000
1:19AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0058 8.10x 0.00000000
11:04PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00507082 8.10x 0.00000000
10:53PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0312441 8.10x 0.00000000
6:40PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
6:06PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.009462 8.00x 0.00000000
3:29PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01 8.00x 0.00000000
10:22AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.82x 0.00000000
3:19AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.0116 7.51x 0.00000000
8:02PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.6 7.07x 0.00000000
7:55PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.90x 0.00000000
7:35PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Mattyboy Yes 0.12 7.91x 0.00000000
6:21PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05270342 7.91x 0.00000000
4:13PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.05x 0.00509250
12:17PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.499 1.06x 0.51307180
12:12PM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.06x 0.10282000
11:18AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.037 7.86x 0.00000000
9:45AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.05x 0.10185000
5:20AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.07782052 8.23x 0.00000000
4:46AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 9.50x 0.00000000
4:42AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 9.50x 0.00000000
4:40AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.015 9.50x 0.00000000
3:24AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 9.25x 0.00000000
3:14AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.053 8.50x 0.00000000
3:12AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 8.50x 0.00000000
9:02PM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC EmilyQiu Yes 0.01674224 7.00x 0.00000000
10:31AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.48x 0.00000000
10:30AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 7.71x 0.00000000
9:48AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0505 8.23x 0.00000000
6:52AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 12.43x 0.00000000
5:35AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.014686 12.02x 0.00000000
4:40AM, Nov 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 12.02x 0.00000000
11:20PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC tecladoreal Yes 0.0132 11.00x 0.00000000
9:59PM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.00690062 10.00x 0.00000000
10:55AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04 6.05x 0.00000000
8:54AM, Nov 24, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02142857 6.06x 0.00000000
5:57PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.1 1.04x 0.10088000
5:47PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Timm Yes 0.00591927 4.20x 0.00000000
2:31PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08292982 5.32x 0.00000000
12:29PM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 5.30x 0.00000000
7:11AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.04x 0.01008800
6:57AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC leili Yes 0.00992412 5.60x 0.00000000
5:18AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.05 1.04x 0.05044000
5:23PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02 5.00x 0.00000000
5:02PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 5.00x 0.00000000
5:43PM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.03x 0.00000000
3:40AM, Nov 21, 2020 UTC Auraletic Yes 0.035 3.02x 0.00000000
4:43PM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC bcide No 0.02 1.05x 0.02037000
10:27AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.112 1.10x 0.11950400
10:07AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC nsob No 0.01 1.10x 0.01067000
9:49AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04945 2.69x 0.00000000
8:35AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.36 1.12x 0.39110400
5:52PM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.1 2.65x 0.00000000
10:07AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.04 1.10x 0.04268000
5:58AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.005 4.40x 0.00000000
11:15PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC lerp Yes 0.0643 4.50x 0.00000000
6:24PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.50x 0.00000000
6:23PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.2 4.81x 0.00000000
2:21PM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08505 4.51x 0.00000000
7:22AM, Nov 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.15 1.10x 0.16005000
8:11PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0056 4.51x 0.00000000
12:01PM, Nov 17, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0233827 4.51x 0.00000000
12:11PM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.12 1.10x 0.12804000
8:57AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC jbet Yes 0.07 4.01x 0.00000000
8:52PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0637 1.10x 0.06796790
8:29PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.0309576 1.10x 0.03303176
4:33PM, Nov 15, 2020 UTC tadarlis No 0.01840478 1.10x 0.01963790
11:43PM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 3.53x 0.00000000
8:44AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03794861 3.54x 0.00000000
7:08AM, Nov 14, 2020 UTC dddavidp Yes 0.0050371 3.85x 0.00000000
11:10PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen Yes 0.011 4.00x 0.00000000
5:54AM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0679 1.10x 0.07244930
6:39PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 1.22056853 1.10x 1.30234662
6:07PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC dogiv No 0.1 1.10x 0.10670000
2:33PM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC justbet No 0.26680842 1.10x 0.28468458
6:43AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC Fundraiser No 0.087 1.10x 0.09282900
12:49AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC ezuser1 Yes 0.005 3.00x 0.00000000
2:45PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.33 3.11x 0.00000000
11:08AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.13 3.09x 0.00000000
10:38AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.83x 0.00000000
10:28AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.33 5.79x 0.00000000
4:56AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 3.09x 0.00000000
3:04AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.5 1.09x 0.52865000
12:55AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00552791 3.04x 0.00000000
12:16AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC AForceNinja No 0.0519753 1.09x 0.05495348
8:00PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.15 3.03x 0.00000000
3:09PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC bronco Yes 0.069 3.01x 0.00000000
2:29PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC leen93 No 0.037 1.09x 0.03912010
2:02PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.009 3.01x 0.00000000
12:45PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC qmpsr No 0.01097086 1.09x 0.01159949
9:19AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.2 3.05x 0.00000000
6:20AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02780697 3.07x 0.00000000
4:18AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC TeamHans Yes 0.0065 3.00x 0.00000000
1:37AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC noqcks Yes 0.006 4.00x 0.00000000
9:54PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.018 4.28x 0.00000000
4:22PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0202672 5.74x 0.00000000
4:30PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 3.02x 0.00000000
7:15AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 3.06x 0.00000000
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.027 3.04x 0.00000000
12:06AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.146 3.50x 0.00000000
12:05AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.024 4.00x 0.00000000
8:22PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC Nylan Yes 0.34939565 3.51x 0.00000000
6:25PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC ungabunga Yes 0.26 2.59x 0.00000000
3:59PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC johnconnors11 Yes 0.1 2.59x 0.00000000
2:40PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC fritz Yes 0.015 1.75x 0.00000000
12:12PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC leen93 Yes 0.013 1.75x 0.00000000
3:49AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.05 1.10x 0.00000000
3:40AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC harrycarry No 0.0135 2.00x 0.02619000
2:45AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.01766145 1.46x 0.00000000
2:41AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Erakor09 Yes 0.00552462 1.46x 0.00000000
2:23AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC blairchap Yes 0.01 1.46x 0.00000000
1:20AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC ColdNights Yes 0.01256081 1.44x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC Okyle250 Yes 0.0286052 1.82x 0.00000000
11:54PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.23266232 1.82x 0.00000000
10:32PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC qweasd170 Yes 0.00574737 1.77x 0.00000000
10:19PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC jokesrequiem Yes 0.3 1.77x 0.00000000
8:59PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC wulfgvngg Yes 0.01676 1.77x 0.00000000
7:46PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC gtcsr22xx Yes 0.024 1.77x 0.00000000
1:21PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 4.323 1.09x 0.00000000
1:16PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.243 1.35x 0.00000000
1:14PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.116 1.50x 0.00000000
1:07PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.38 1.75x 0.00000000
10:48AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.28 1.72x 0.00000000
8:09AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 1.14 1.90x 0.00000000
7:30AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC sliu7809 Yes 0.3 1.90x 0.00000000
7:20AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.05883758 1.90x 0.00000000
6:55AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.00000000
6:54AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 1.91x 0.00000000
6:31AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Loopylocksta Yes 0.772 2.01x 0.00000000
5:03AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC dcclxxvii Yes 0.00509001 2.01x 0.00000000
2:41AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.169 2.00x 0.00000000
1:59AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.005 2.20x 0.00000000
12:02AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.062 2.19x 0.00000000
11:59PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.104 2.20x 0.00000000
11:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.4 2.20x 0.00000000
11:46PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.07262704 2.20x 0.00000000
10:52PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC LSfreeloader Yes 0.01 2.30x 0.00000000
6:25PM, Nov 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.33x 0.00645050
See more

Discussion

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888 10:32PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
Everyone should report this bet now. Click the button, and the "follow" button on the bet, and let Betmoose know what you think of them for allow @AHamilton to terminate this bet early.
anon2134 10:09PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@oracleon As stated earlier, if Trump annuls the certification via a military tribunal and under treason/fraud charges he is still the legally elected president. Thus, there is still one path to victory for Trump. Hence, under the VERY CLEAR decision logic, the bet cannot be resolved until this outcome plays itself or expires.
Andyzzle 9:51PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
It's fairly obvious that the election was stolen by fraud because the numbers don't add up. Deep state has been covering it up hard though and I think it's likely Biden will take it in the end, fraud or not. Regardless, I agree that the bet was called too early because the 7th wasn't even the initial deadline and @888 you can try writing a mail directly to the admins because @Avalon is not particularly good at his job.
888 9:41PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
And betmoose if you allow @AHamilton to terminate this bet early, and Trump ends up being the next President, you will have a ****-show on your hands. Be fair to everyone. Do not let scammer Hamilton terminate this bet early.
888 9:39PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@oraclean, NO, the election was stolen through fraud. Anyone with any kind of a calculator with simple math can prove that. If it takes military tribunals to prove that, Trump Wins, as Hamilton stated below.
oracleon 9:34PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
Trump lost the election. Even if he remains president (he won't), it will be despite having lost the election, not because he won. Read the prop rules.
888 9:25PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
THIS BET DOES NOT RESOLVE UNTIL POST INAUGURATION! @AHamilton is reneging on his own words "If the Deep State intervenes, and Trump is forced to declare Martial Law and seize power, this market will also resolve as yes. Either of these scenarios would be very clear". This is not over until post inauguration. Military tribunals are being cued up with recent events. Every one defrauded by AHamilton should challenge this right now.
888 9:23PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
THIS BET IS NOT OVER. From AHamilton2:38PM, Dec 3, 2020@Anyzzle, once voter fraud is proven, and the SCOTUS rules Donald Trump President, this market will resolve as Yes. If the Deep State intervenes, and Trump is forced to declare Martial Law and seize power, this market will also resolve as yes. Either of these scenarios would be very clear, so early resolution would happen, or if other similar scenarios evolve, such as if it became clear that Trump/other would have a majority of electoral co
Andyzzle 9:08PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
I'll wait until the 20th and if Biden takes it, it's a loss. If he doesn't, I'll take to the forums and write up my experience with this site. Either way, you resolved too early. I don't plan on using this site again and I'll discourage anyone else who might.
Andyzzle 9:04PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon how can you claim this is about the EC vote when the decision logic explicitly states that Trump resigning or dying resolves as no?
anon2134 8:47PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@AHamilton If trump seizes power before the 20th to remain in power as a dictator (without using fraud/treason charges to annul the certification) then I will concede a loss of this election bet. But, if he annuls the certification (which is still in his options) then it isn't lost.
anon2134 8:45PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@AHamilton He will seize power before the 20th via the military and will use it to annul the certification via treason and fraud charges. Your decision logic states "No means he will not win reelection for any reason, such as death or resignation.". TRUMP STILL HAS THIS ONE AND ONLY OPTION LEFT UNTIL THE 20TH. All we ask is that you let the bet conclude as per your decision logic.
anon2134 8:39PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon I echo @nhatlong0605 The term "orderly transition" can mean anything. Even using the military, military tribunals and martial law to restore order and help transition between Trump's first and second term could be described as an "orderly transition". This wording is far from a concession. Your motivation to end this ASAP when it is so obvious that it is not decided doesn't make sense!
AHamilton 8:28PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
Guys, feeling charitable, I give you 10:1 odds here on Trump staying in power. Thus, you can make back all the money you lost, and then some when Trump seizes power. https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-be-president-on-january-24th-2021-5329
AHamilton 8:26PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@anon2134 Why would Trump need to foment rebellion if he had won the election? He would have to do it because he's lost the election, wouldn't he? This bet is about the election. Had he seized power, and then controlled the EC vote, it would be different.
nhatlong0605 8:12PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon What are you gonna do then when Trump was inaugurated on Jan 20th? Are you gonna return the money? This is clearly wrong. Trump has not conceded in any ways. He said there will an orderly transition, but did not say to whom.
anon2134 8:09PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon You understand that as soon as they are done rush-impeching or 25th-ing POTUS, the hammer drops - right? You ever heard the expression "Its a trap."?
anon2134 7:46PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon "JUST IN BREAKING: Pelosi, Democrats Plan Impeachment Of Trump Unless Pence Removes Him With 25th Amendment" Avalon; why would they bother impeaching AND 25th-ing a POTUS that has already conceded? Why the urgency - what's about to happen? At some point, you'll have to admit that you are wrong about your concession thesis.
anon2134 7:17PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon "Just in: has just issued an enforcement advisory reminding all Emergency Alert System participants of their "compliance obligations." Why would broadcasters suddenly need to be reminded to air emergency broadcasts if everything was already said and done in regards to this election. https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1347255247031435265?s=19
anon2134 7:14PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon Just in : "Mark Zuckerberg : The shocking events of the last 24 hours clearly demonstrate that President Donald Trump intends to use his remaining time in office to undermine the peaceful and lawful transition of power to his elected successor, Joe Biden." But clearly you know he conceded. You should share your knowledge with congress and Big Tech because they don't seem to know that. https://www.facebook.com/zuck/posts/10112681480907401
q4uiw59s1 7:10PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
We don't need a concession lmao
q4uiw59s1 7:09PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
This bet is not about who the next president is. It is about whether Trump would win the election. There is a fine distinction. Trump formally lost the election, as the EC votes were certified. If Trump somehow manages to become president via a coup, he still lost the election.
q4uiw59s1 7:06PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@anon2134 I was referring to your comment about: "It was posted as a quote by someone other than Trump. It wouldn't even be admissible in court." Why would it matter if it was posted by someone else if it was his oldest aide
anon2134 6:46PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@q4uiw59s1 We've all seen this Tweet the second it came out. Reading comprehension is not your strong suit. I bet if you re-read it a few times and put some minimal effort into it, even you can understand why its not a concession tweet.
jblndsl 6:27PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
"inauguration is only ONE step in the process, nowhere in the constitution does it say they cannot fake it in front of a gargantic green screen."
Carnitastaco 6:27PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
for the true trump believers, I am offering liquidity in this market: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-trump-be-inaugurated-on-jan-20th-simplified-5348
tecladoreal 6:12PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon You commented below that "the election is determined by the will of the voters as cast through the electoral college", but this is nowhere in THIS bet's wording. Instead, THIS bet is about the 2020 ELECTION RESULTS, whose status remains unclear at this time. Congressional certification is only ONE step in the process, and the date of 1/6 is nowhere to be found in the U.S. Constitution.
q4uiw59s1 6:12PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
Dan Scavino has been a Trump loyalist since 2016 – why would he lie? lol
q4uiw59s1 6:11PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@anon2134 @tecladoreal "Even though I totally disagree with the outcome of the election, and the facts bear me out, nevertheless there will be an orderly transition on January 20th." Posted by Trump's whitehouse aide: https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/1347103015493361664
tecladoreal 5:45PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
@Avalon Are you sure you want to destroy your website's reputation by resolving this bet at this time? This bet SHOULD "only resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt." Given the volatility in this situation before the result is actually known (1/20), it's clear that reasonable doubt remains. Fraud being revealed will change the 2020 ELECTION RESULT, and the result of this bet.

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