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Trump elected president in 2020 [Fixed Odds]

Trump elected president in 2020 [Fixed Odds]
Category:
Politics
By
Eirik
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Description

Will Donald Trump win re-election in 2020 to remain president.

If you would like to bet more than the matched offer allow you to, let me know in the comments so that I can increase the house stake. You can also lay offers. I will continuously update the odds according to oddschecker.

Let the games begin!

Decision Logic

Betting on YES means that you believe Donald Trump will win re-election in 2020

Betting on NO means he was unable to win for any reason which would include any, but not limited to, the following examples:

Being challenged and losing during the primaries
Resigning from or being removed from the presidency
Losing the general election in 2020
Death

Early resolution is possible

CLOSING IN2020-11-01 23:00:00

12:17PM, Nov 12, 2019 UTC

11:00PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

11:00PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC

Offered Volume: 24.09
Backed Volume: 15.63
2.32x
1.30x
YES
2.25x
0.0250
2.31x
2.417
2.32x
0.8310
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*does not include 3% fee

NO
-
-
1.25x
0.0140
1.30x
1.229
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*does not include 3% fee

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Expected Payout
2:37PM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC fritz Yes 0.0059456 2.30x 0.01326463
12:24PM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04481278 2.28x 0.09910794
10:55AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03949891 2.27x 0.08697265
7:17AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.02511872 2.41x 0.05872003
4:11AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC HarveySchlang Yes 0.1 2.49x 0.24153000
3:07AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC AvonPsicorps Yes 0.049 2.49x 0.11834970
2:35AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC jeb_bush No 0.00676305 1.30x 0.00852821
2:26AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.19093311 2.49x 0.46116074
1:03AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC connor5055 No 0.622 1.40x 0.84467600
12:46AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.008 2.50x 0.01940000
11:34PM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC Lordkek Yes 0.03693455 2.50x 0.08956628
10:43PM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC dwisdom Yes 0.1 2.50x 0.24250000
6:06PM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08436752 2.50x 0.20459124
12:24PM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen Yes 0.11200333 2.49x 0.27052164
10:10AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.02750493 2.34x 0.06243069
7:48AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC docker Yes 0.0483373 2.34x 0.10971600
7:41AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.01840402 2.34x 0.04177344
5:17AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00765 2.23x 0.01654772
4:55AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.18653402 2.23x 0.40349174
4:37AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC KBD20 Yes 0.01 2.23x 0.02163100
12:43AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.01 2.22x 0.02153400
11:38PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 2.22x 0.02153400
11:33PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.008 2.22x 0.01722720
9:28PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03209173 2.20x 0.06848375
2:18PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC Rn3 Yes 0.03677035 2.19x 0.07811125
4:49PM, Oct 26, 2020 UTC dweeb Yes 0.00773239 2.13x 0.01597589
4:22AM, Oct 26, 2020 UTC stochastique Yes 0.40530612 2.10x 0.82560857
9:30PM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.41 2.06x 0.81926200
9:15PM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.04 2.06x 0.07992800
12:37PM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC thesplat Yes 1.5 2.05x 2.98275000
2:04AM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC algalon Yes 0.00708524 2.04x 0.01402027
1:44PM, Oct 24, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.3 2.09x 0.60819000
12:33PM, Oct 24, 2020 UTC Kodo Yes 0.38674 2.08x 0.78028662
12:59PM, Oct 23, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.1 2.01x 0.19497000
4:49AM, Oct 23, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.11062602 2.01x 0.21568755
4:50PM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC cmking94 Yes 0.05167901 2.04x 0.10226242
12:42PM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC gpac200 Yes 0.171 1.86x 0.30851820
4:35AM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.36591917 1.87x 0.66374078
2:12AM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 1.86x 0.01804200
9:14PM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC Zarathustra Yes 0.04334873 1.86x 0.07820978
7:45PM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 1.92x 0.37248000
9:52AM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 1.1 2.01x 2.14467000
6:50PM, Oct 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 1.34 2.30x 2.98954000
1:34PM, Oct 20, 2020 UTC betOVERbet Yes 0.13485314 2.30x 0.30085736
4:34PM, Oct 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.015 1.45x 0.02109750
3:26PM, Oct 19, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.012 2.30x 0.02677200
7:37AM, Oct 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.8 2.30x 1.78480000
6:23AM, Oct 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 2.31x 0.22407000
9:01PM, Oct 18, 2020 UTC mrdifi Yes 0.1 2.31x 0.22407000
8:02AM, Oct 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.41x 0.00683850
7:08AM, Oct 17, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.082 2.53x 0.20123620
8:17PM, Oct 15, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.035 2.53x 0.08589350
4:27AM, Oct 15, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.03533593 2.53x 0.08671791
6:44PM, Oct 14, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.03 2.53x 0.07362300
6:22PM, Oct 14, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.04 2.53x 0.09816400
6:14PM, Oct 14, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.045 2.53x 0.11043450
5:03PM, Oct 13, 2020 UTC planetnine No 0.076 1.39x 0.10247080
7:04AM, Oct 13, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.017369 2.53x 0.04262526
5:05PM, Oct 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 2.53x 0.01472460
4:49AM, Oct 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.02 2.51x 0.04869400
2:17AM, Oct 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut No 0.01 1.43x 0.01387100
2:15AM, Oct 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.3 2.51x 0.73041000
9:58PM, Oct 11, 2020 UTC codylundin69 Yes 0.01223976 2.52x 0.02991887
5:52AM, Oct 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01100967 2.37x 0.02531013
5:44PM, Oct 10, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.01896 2.35x 0.04321932
5:40PM, Oct 10, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.01363 2.39x 0.03159843
7:02AM, Oct 10, 2020 UTC dextexuyin No 0.01739186 1.43x 0.02412425
10:45AM, Oct 9, 2020 UTC dextexuyin No 0.02334825 1.44x 0.03261284
2:58PM, Oct 3, 2020 UTC iAH47jK Yes 0.501 1.95x 0.94764150
10:00PM, Oct 2, 2020 UTC robertsonic No 0.005 1.40x 0.00679000
4:23PM, Oct 2, 2020 UTC lexnexus00 Yes 0.14716467 2.00x 0.28549946
12:15AM, Oct 2, 2020 UTC rafik19 No 0.031 1.64x 0.04931480
2:47PM, Oct 1, 2020 UTC resolve Yes 0.0195153 1.90x 0.03596670
9:24AM, Sep 30, 2020 UTC dextexuyin No 0.01 1.57x 0.01522900
12:21AM, Sep 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.066 1.90x 0.12163800
9:37AM, Sep 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.89x 0.03666600
4:18AM, Sep 28, 2020 UTC robertsonic No 0.005 1.89x 0.00916650
1:15PM, Sep 26, 2020 UTC dextexuyin No 0.04051261 1.86x 0.07309285
7:24AM, Sep 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.018 1.90x 0.03317400
3:31AM, Sep 24, 2020 UTC robertsonic No 0.005 1.90x 0.00921500
5:15PM, Sep 21, 2020 UTC LucyF Yes 0.015 1.65x 0.02400750
10:29PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.28913798 1.90x 0.53288130
7:55PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC rot67 No 0.0216 1.90x 0.03980880
4:23PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.00523572 1.90x 0.00964943
3:35PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC pegoti No 0.00989 1.90x 0.01822727
2:23PM, Sep 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.83x 0.03550200
3:44AM, Sep 14, 2020 UTC madameirma Yes 0.014865 1.62x 0.02335886
9:15AM, Sep 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.051 1.68x 0.08310960
1:03AM, Sep 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.024 1.70x 0.03957600
6:40AM, Sep 6, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.015 1.70x 0.02473500
6:39AM, Sep 6, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.92x 0.03724800
10:37PM, Sep 5, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.92x 0.00931200
8:52PM, Sep 5, 2020 UTC Zarathustra Yes 0.04 1.50x 0.05820000
12:39AM, Sep 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 1.46x 0.04248600
4:57PM, Aug 30, 2020 UTC Smartisan Yes 0.009 1.55x 0.01353150
11:09PM, Aug 29, 2020 UTC bafonix No 0.0089 1.91x 0.01648903
5:42PM, Aug 22, 2020 UTC Dilu Yes 0.0053 1.61x 0.00827701
3:11AM, Aug 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.50x 0.02910000
9:27PM, Jul 31, 2020 UTC bengals45 Yes 0.02591036 2.00x 0.05026610
3:04AM, Jul 21, 2020 UTC jonnyq Yes 0.45 2.04x 0.89046000
7:53PM, Jul 17, 2020 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.02122966 1.40x 0.02882988
7:28AM, Jul 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01601556 1.40x 0.02174913
4:44PM, Jul 13, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.75 1.71x 1.24402500
7:17PM, Jul 12, 2020 UTC Blackspiody No 0.008526 1.40x 0.01157831
2:02AM, Jul 11, 2020 UTC Ichise Yes 0.4404 2.21x 0.94408548
12:30AM, Jul 3, 2020 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.05 1.40x 0.06790000
2:48AM, Jul 2, 2020 UTC bm870599519652 No 0.4 1.50x 0.58200000
8:14PM, Jun 27, 2020 UTC rebelancerian No 0.02 1.51x 0.02929400
12:24AM, Jun 26, 2020 UTC sinmantky No 0.01 1.61x 0.01561700
10:49PM, Jun 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0052 1.50x 0.00756600
8:01AM, May 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.52x 0.01474400
7:59AM, May 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 1.40x 0.01358000
6:11PM, May 8, 2020 UTC Zarathustra Yes 0.052 1.27x 0.06405880
1:53PM, Apr 29, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen No 0.324 2.07x 0.65055960
4:13PM, Apr 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.031 2.00x 0.06014000
5:32PM, Mar 19, 2020 UTC ContentConifer No 0.00692207 2.00x 0.01342882
8:16AM, Mar 11, 2020 UTC connor5055 No 0.13 2.01x 0.25346100
9:02PM, Mar 7, 2020 UTC netscout1 No 0.1122 2.00x 0.21766800
6:31PM, Mar 7, 2020 UTC netscout1 No 0.1124 2.02x 0.22023656
12:43PM, Feb 20, 2020 UTC RonMexico Yes 0.01 1.20x 0.01164000
7:37PM, Feb 18, 2020 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.01 1.50x 0.01455000
8:27PM, Dec 20, 2019 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.05 2.00x 0.09700000
10:24PM, Dec 19, 2019 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.07 2.00x 0.13580000
7:46PM, Dec 2, 2019 UTC Zarathustra Yes 0.02 1.90x 0.03686000
1:00AM, Dec 2, 2019 UTC posclegom Yes 0.55446503 2.00x 1.07566216
5:37PM, Nov 28, 2019 UTC ryuukai No 0.01 1.70x 0.01649000
8:05AM, Nov 26, 2019 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.016 1.90x 0.02948800
9:52PM, Nov 19, 2019 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02739543 2.10x 0.05580449
3:21AM, Nov 17, 2019 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.066 2.18x 0.13956360
9:59AM, Nov 13, 2019 UTC Eirik Yes 0.01 2.18x 0.02114600
See more

Discussion

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acesblue 6:36PM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC
Why am I only able to bet on propetual bets It doesnt give me the bet button when I enter my ammount?
acesblue 6:36PM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC
Why am I only able to bet on propetual bets It doesnt give me the bet button when I enter my ammount?
acesblue 6:36PM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC
Why am I only able to bet on propetual bets It doesnt give me the bet button when I enter my ammount?
codylundin69 10:11AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC
@Avalon as you can see on the placed bets page here I did it on October 11 at 9:58 but if you click on my profile that bet doesn't show up there.
AHamilton 3:57AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC
Whoah, bitcoin to $13,800. That's good for business. Anyone know what the most liquid options market is for bitcoin? Now I want to hedge...
Avalon 5:26AM, Oct 23, 2020 UTC
@codylundin69 I had a look at your account and everything looks in order. Please email support if you have any further questions.
codylundin69 2:12PM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC
It says I placed bet in my transaction history but it does not show up in my transactions
codylundin69 2:07PM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC
Why my placed bet dissapear?
Avalon 3:29AM, Oct 13, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton please stop trying to price-set via the comment section in an exchange. There are a few dozen users laying, not just one, that's the point of a free market exchange system.
praine 8:57PM, Oct 7, 2020 UTC
Stop whining. It's a free market, don't expect people to cater to your wishes.
rtflsna 3:51PM, Oct 7, 2020 UTC
yea come in yall ******s, stop it!
AHamilton 7:05AM, Sep 27, 2020 UTC
Bro who is bumping yes lay. How about a detente? If you match, I won't bump. Or, if you bump with a smaller amount, I'll match. If you cut by 10 and bet a size equal to mine, I'll match you.
AHamilton 7:29AM, Sep 25, 2020 UTC
@rtflsna, says I can't message you on twitter. In any case, let me say that if someone puts up more "No" odds at 1.9, I'll take them up on the offer for as much as they are willing to put up. I see this as market making...
rtflsna 1:17AM, Sep 23, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton you can’t publicly price fix. I strongly condemn. But in the mean time talk to me on Twitter @rtflsna
AHamilton 6:34PM, Sep 22, 2020 UTC
got it, thanks. Whoever keeps bumping the yes lay odds, I propose a truce. Let's just match each other.
rtflsna 2:04PM, Sep 22, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton it appears so.. adjust the odds one way or the other (temporarily) and it will split it up and you'll be able to see what has already been filled. if that makes sense
AHamilton 11:13AM, Sep 22, 2020 UTC
Another newbie question: I've layed yes. Part of my bet says "0 unmatched". Does that mean someone has matched that portion? (It doesn't seem to show up on the Placed Bets list.) What happens if I change my unmatched portion of a laid bet?
AHamilton 4:32PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC
If someone offers Biden odds for 1.95, i'll pounce.
AHamilton 3:42PM, Sep 18, 2020 UTC
Now I got it. Newbie here. Didn't fully understand all the options at first... Thanks for the explanation.
rtflsna 2:26PM, Sep 18, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton yes , this site calls it "lay" .. like laying odds i guess. Its the "Offer Odds (Lay)" button
AHamilton 2:12PM, Sep 18, 2020 UTC
I see. So, it's possible to put in an offer, like an ask, and wait for someone to accept?
rtflsna 5:24PM, Sep 17, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton on your "average vig like 25%" yes potentially. Betmoose doesn't determine the vig. they do take around 3% for their commission. but on fixed odds once a prop is made, the "vig" is determinded by the market really. Like the odds above at current time 1.6 v 1.83 neither are offered by the prop hoster that is just the best offers currently. Pari mutel gets very bad on the time factored ones after awhile i do not fool around with those
AHamilton 1:22PM, Sep 17, 2020 UTC
Odds now better for other than last time I checked. Unless I'm not understanding something, isn't the average vig here like 25%? Shouldn't it be possible to have one guy get a 65/35 return, and the other guy 35/65?
rtflsna 12:54PM, Sep 16, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton cause most users here only really know or are comfortable with the pari mutuel setup. So the, efficiency availability of fixed odds options is low.
AHamilton 4:17AM, Sep 16, 2020 UTC
Why do the odds seem to suck so much here?
rtflsna 2:13PM, Sep 8, 2020 UTC
@Avalon thanks for addressing
Avalon 8:46PM, Sep 7, 2020 UTC
@rtflsna - looks like you found a bug! Notifications were being populated when someone attempted to wager but didn't have enough balance. It's been fixed. Cheers,
rtflsna 7:10AM, Aug 29, 2020 UTC
I got a notification that ~.11 btc was bet on this on 8/27, but I don’t see the bet. Anyone else see that?
Eirik 11:05AM, Jul 14, 2020 UTC
@MooseMe - Payout is always some days after the outcome. If the result is close I can extend the processing time
MooseMe 3:08PM, Jul 6, 2020 UTC
I'm interested in betting this but there's concern among analysts that the election results will be contested. Also, six o'clock pm (Eastern Standard Time?), November 3rd feels to be too early to firmly determine what the outcome is. It seems likely that lots of precincts will still be counting at that time. If there's uncertainty, which can happen in numerous ways, will the resolution of this bet outcome be postponed until the winner is finalized and in the confirmed position to take office?

Direct Link (click to highlight):

BBCode (forums):

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Placing bet on ""

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Send your bet to this address:

1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk

* Minimum bet is 0.005 BTC. Note that the odds you get will be the ones prevailing when your deposit arrives. This usually takes up to a minute.

Your bet will be automatically entered when picked up - no confirmations needed!

Done
Payout 0
ROI 0%