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U.S. Presidential Election Winner 2020

U.S. Presidential Election Winner 2020
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Politics
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Description

What will be the result of the 2020 United States presidential election?

Decision Logic

The candidate that wins 270+ Electoral College votes at the 2020 presidential election will be settled as winner. Any subsequent events will have no effect on the settlement of this market.
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If no candidate wins 270+ Electoral College votes, we wait and the person chosen as President will be settled as winner.
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If Trump or Biden are replaced as candidates for any reason before the election this proposition will be settled as a Republicans vs Democrats proposition.

CLOSING IN2020-11-03 12:00:00

8:19PM, Oct 4, 2020 UTC

12:00PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC

12:00PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC

RESOLVED AT 7:54PM, Dec 6, 2020 UTC

Total Volume: 21.75

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Biden"

21.74740381 was split between 46 bettors.
Trump
Volume:14.00
19.00255335
# of Bets:93
Biden
Volume:7.751
14.28733562
# of Bets:46

Discussion

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Javan 10:55PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
https://beta.documentcloud.org/documents/20428534-hava-and-non-profit-organization-report-final-w-attachments-and-preface-121420
Javan 10:53PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
@rot67 incorrect. THE reason they are not calling this bet (i have spoken with the admins) is because the electoral process is incomplete and the results are contested. This is a MASSIVE liability for any bookie. The bookies that have payed out are currently dealing with lawsuits and are facing legal challenges the likes of which have never been seen.
rot67 9:00PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
Even top republicans has accepted the result.
rot67 9:00PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
The only rational reason I believe the bet has not been settled is because betmoose is trading with the bitcoins
red-green 7:55PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
Hahaha lets keep coming up with funny "Trump-Oriented" nicknames for the Trumperonians, to pass the time until this resolves. So far I got, Teenage Mutant Ninja Donalds, Trumpanzees hahaha that's a good one @PoorSnowflake
red-green 7:48PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
By the time we get paid it'll drop back down . Prolly by next March if Trumptonians have their way. Hahahaha
PoorSnowflake 7:12PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
trumpanzees have got to be the sorest losers on the face of the planet... thank-you for your bitcoin... I don't like taking advantage of stupid people but I make an exception for trumpanzee supporters... So the only thing better than taking your bitcoins is... ...taking your bitcoin as bitcoin reaches all time highs... so thank-you... snowflakes
Rocko 6:21PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
@Avalon I am holding you up on that date and I really hope no new trumpist ******** will come up about postponing even more because most betting sites have already settled this. This bet is becoming a joke..
dhorks 4:05PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
The decision logic states 270+ electoral college votes with no subsequent events effecting outcome. Whatever coup nonsense people think will happen after the electoral college votes are accepted shouldn't matter. I guarantee even if we waited till election day there would be people refusing to accept the outcome.
gpac200 2:48PM, Dec 16, 2020 UTC
Please do not resolve until Inauguration day itself. POTUS has multiple paths to victory, now that a China connection has been established by our DNI. Expect 2018 Executive Order to come into effect. This is far from over.
kardus 9:47PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@kolotoure77294 The onus at this point is almost completely on the legislatures because constitutionally their right to choose electors supersede any state/federal law. This is what can still be argued in court and probably their final hope, and realistically this can be done at any time before the special session is over or concluded (which may extend past Jan 6). Guess we will see how things unfold in the coming weeks.
kolotoure77294 9:35PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Thank you @Avalon - I respect your decision, see you all in Jan
kolotoure77294 9:33PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Hah it's already started with the "6th Jan might not be enough"... Where are these people coming from??
kardus 9:20PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@CastorBTC The polls were completely wrong 4 years ago (both in victor and magnitude) and also this year (in magnitude). This is assuming Biden won legitimately which is still being questioned. If you bet solely on based on polling data and media, you cannot genuinely say it was a confident bet. Even a broken clock is right twice a day. Trump fans are upset, but I care more about how the betting/resolution process is being handled with the potential for changes more than the actual winner.
Pnmuk 9:12PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
You biden punters are just as bad as the democratic national committee
CastorBTC 9:09PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
I placed my bet based on polling data not on ideology. But after the *****how that the Trump people are trying to pull I'm happy you ******s are ****ing losing money on this bet.
kardus 9:07PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@Avalon Thanks for the update. From a legal standpoint, a Jan 6/7 resolution may not be not be the immediate end of it as it is also the official day to object the votes due to inconsistencies and legal matters, so keep this in mind and don't pull the trigger too soon. I have a feeling that the last has not been heard from the legislatures in the affected states, which of whom are favored in a supreme court should they take a case similar to Texas vs. PA with the appropriate standing and injury
Pnmuk 8:56PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Avalon you haven't payed out?
Avalon 8:45PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
For accuracy's sake, we will wait until the EC process completes. In addition, we previously said Jan 6/7 so please be patient for a few more weeks.
Pnmuk 8:42PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
They already payed out kardus avalon lied
TeamColtra 8:34PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Lololol
TeamColtra 8:34PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
https://twitter.com/MostCrucified/status/1338853927668867073?s=19
kardus 8:31PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
The verbiage in the betfair conditions were "PREDICTED ec votes", which I suppose could be interpreted as the recently cast votes that are not official yet. The verbiage here on betmoose is "The candidate that wins 270+ EC votes...", which has simply not occurred yet and there is no way to know at this time. The correct choice is to wait a few safe days after the official count (7th - 20th), where I think no reasonable loser/winner would have any quarrel or blame betmoose for inconsistencies.
Pnmuk 7:50PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
They know my family javan I'm sweating bullets
Javan 7:43PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@red-green actually, trump will fuse with machine and become God emperor of the United States and rule the world in 2924.. FYI @Pnmuk you should change your name and move cities bro..
Pnmuk 7:08PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Green give me a bitcoin buddy loan sharks are looking for me
red-green 7:04PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Damn zombie trump gonna run in 2924... Maga 2924!!!
Pnmuk 1:35PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
We'll see you in 2924 kolo
kolotoure77294 1:02PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
I feel sorry for you Pnmuk, you might want to Google /s
Pnmuk 12:40PM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Bad luck trump punters the democrats got away with the STEAL at least as far as betting goes if you have any access bitcoin let me have it 3NsHHcWTr9C5itAk2wgL8HhuxRs7mnLJDV

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