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U.S. Presidential Election Winner 2020
U.S. Presidential Election Winner 2020
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Description
What will be the result of the 2020 United States presidential election?
Decision Logic
The candidate that wins 270+ Electoral College votes at the 2020 presidential election will be settled as winner. Any subsequent events will have no effect on the settlement of this market.
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If no candidate wins 270+ Electoral College votes, we wait and the person chosen as President will be settled as winner.
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If Trump or Biden are replaced as candidates for any reason before the election this proposition will be settled as a Republicans vs Democrats proposition.
CLOSING IN2020-11-03 12:00:00
8:19PM, Oct 4, 2020 UTC
12:00PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC
12:00PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
RESOLVED AT 7:54PM, Dec 6, 2020 UTC
Total Volume: 21.75
This bet has been resolved!
The outcome was "Biden"
21.74740381 was split between 46 bettors.
Trump
| Volume: | 14.00 |
| # of Bets: | 93 |
Biden
| Volume: | 7.751 |
| # of Bets: | 46 |
Discussion
Javan
8:12AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
GOP sent"alternative electors" which there is precedent for (Kenedy Nixon). January 6th will be interesting..
Javan
8:10AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@kolotoure77294 betfair can close their bet. That is there decision. It doesn't mean that they are correct! Betmoose has informed me they will be waiting until January 7th after the electoral process is complete per the decision logic. I think the risk of having to pay out twice is too high.. if trump had conceded it would be another story..
red-green
8:02AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@Avalon 270 ecv have been reached. Subsequent events have no effect.
kolotoure77294
7:58AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
PredictIt.org settled yesterday in line with EC votes also
kolotoure77294
7:35AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@Avalon Betfair, who my terms matched have settled. Terms are met. Are we still carrying on this facade of "Trump has a chance!!!" to appease the angry MAGA mob until 6th Jan. Or can we settle now like every other bookmaker/betting site has done?
kolotoure77294
7:32AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
There were ZERO faithless electors and Joe Biden won 306-232.
kolotoure77294
7:30AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Betfair have settled their market, source: https://en-betfair.custhelp.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/27/~/us-presidential-election-settlement
Javan
5:27AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@red-green you have notifications!?
Javan
5:08AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@praine it is "fake news" in the sense that the electoral votes have not been officiated until January 6th. In a normal situation the looser would concede.. so yes it kind of is fake news until congress and the representative of the house count and approve the votes.
Pnmuk
4:52AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
GOP electors in five battle ground states cast their votes for trump ,this election is far from over January 6 result day
Pnmuk
4:49AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Media houses are trying to convince audience that biden win no one is buying it
Pnmuk
4:45AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Electoral college vote was December 14 where competing votes occurred in swing states confirmation is on January 6 not by the media
red-green
3:33AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Now we just have to sit back and watch the conspiracies and misinformation roll in as the trumpets slowly realize the reality of the situation. They're still in denial phase of grief so, flip your notifications settings to "off" for 2 weeks.
red-green
3:28AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
It is. Joe Biden won
https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/14/politics/2020-election-electoral-college-vote/index.html
praine
2:51AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Seems like it should be fairly trivial to see if it's all counted or not. Not something that could really be 'lied' about.
praine
2:51AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Now that we don't have Betfair to reference, I don't know what to believe. Pnmuk says that the count is 232 - 227 but Washington Post (I know, digusting MSM) says that everything has been counted. Is this fake news? https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/interactive/2020/electoral-college-vote-tracker/
Javan
1:14AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Betfair is supposed to settle today.. they are not.. very telling
red-green
12:46AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Hey thanks @Pnmuk for taking over babysitting duties while I was gone. But yeah @Javan generally that's how it works, you read the whole article before saying something about it, as to avoid continually posting misinformation
Pnmuk
12:41AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
It's on Google News same title
Javan
12:37AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
@Pnmuk where did you read that?
Pnmuk
12:06AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Betfair is still not ready to declare a winner, say they want to avoid ‘confusion’ as Trump’s challenges continue
Javan
12:02AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
Belfair just suspended their election bet XD
Javan
12:02AM, Dec 15, 2020 UTC
https://thedonald.win/p/11R4XGnBoJ/hmmm-what-do-they-know-that-we-d/c/
Javan
11:54PM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC
@eed-green or just until someone gets 270 electoral votes lol I feel like I'm talking to a brick wall
Pnmuk
11:22PM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC
There are rival electoral votes in all the contested states until those are finalized the electoral count remains unchanged trump 232 and biden 227
red-green
11:06PM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC
Ok now comes the fun part. Waiting for 2 extra weeks for no reason, yay!!
Javan
10:42PM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC
Loool
praine
10:39PM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC
He said he didn't mean to shock, but the damage has already been done. I, for one, am shook.
red-green
10:37PM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC
What the? nooo @jeb_bush i told you things in confidence . Yer telling me your dad's not coming to my PS5 unboxing party?!!!
Pnmuk
10:32PM, Dec 14, 2020 UTC
No but of course she has access to all my devices in case she should stumble on anything untoward
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