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U.S. Presidential Election Winner 2020

U.S. Presidential Election Winner 2020


What will be the result of the 2020 United States presidential election?

Decision Logic

The candidate that wins 270+ Electoral College votes at the 2020 presidential election will be settled as winner. Any subsequent events will have no effect on the settlement of this market.
If no candidate wins 270+ Electoral College votes, we wait and the person chosen as President will be settled as winner.
If Trump or Biden are replaced as candidates for any reason before the election this proposition will be settled as a Republicans vs Democrats proposition.

CLOSING IN2020-11-03 12:00:00

8:19PM, Oct 4, 2020 UTC

12:00PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC

12:00PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC

RESOLVED AT 7:54PM, Dec 6, 2020 UTC

Total Volume: 21.75

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Biden"

21.74740381 was split between 46 bettors.
# of Bets:93
# of Bets:46


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jeb_bush 6:08PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC
@donuthole er... to clarify do you think that Biden is appointing D. Cheney to a position in government? Where did you hear that and do you have a source to share? I'd guess this is just fantasy rumor mongering from Facebook but interested to be proved wrong! I was just pointing out: Biden is no friend to us dem socialists: far too corporate & right wing.
donuthole 10:40AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC
Lol Richard Cheney is censored, if only he were in real life.
donuthole 10:39AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC
@jeb_bush that's just corruption, the fact that the **** Cheney appointment doesn't have everyone ****ting their pants boggles the mind. The guy is pretty much single-handedly responsible for the Iraq invasion.
Pnmuk 1:39AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC
Writings in the wall Jeb Bush , starting to swear bullets are we?
jeb_bush 11:16PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
Biden's transition team includes executives from Lyft, Airbnb, Amazon, Capital One, Booz Allen, Uber, Visa, JPMorgan, it's not CLASSIC socialism, is it :P
jeb_bush 11:13PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
@Pnmuk I think you have misunderstood the American parties. Joe Biden leads the Democratic party: a pro corporate, business, capitalistic right-of-center party that is somewhat left of the far-right Republican party. While America has one program close to socialism (the military with its housing, education and food distributed between its members) no major parties in American come close to anything like effective social programs, such as those seen in glorious Canada or Scandanavia.
Pnmuk 9:20PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
President Trump is assured of receiving Electoral Votes from 24 Republican-controlled States and 7 Republican controlled State legislatures—while socialist leader Joe Biden is only able to receive Electoral Votes from 15 Democrat-controlled States and 7 Democrat governors
red-green 8:02PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
Big wins over here aint even trippin about the wait time. I love to see losers squirm
red-green 8:00PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
Once we get paid from this im going to Hawaii!!
jeb_bush 5:35PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
If anyone hasn't had enough of betting on electoral outcomes, with the senate hanging in the balance in Georgia's run off elections in January, this bet is open for the three possible outcomes. Time modifiers in effect :)
Pheenixm 2:56PM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
@Avalon is making a wise choice. We all knew the risks when we chose to bet using a volatile currency; we are getting paid in THAT currency, not in USD. Betmoose could be subjected to legal action over premature payments; however, no court would ever entertain restitution over unrealized capital gains.
Pnmuk 11:30AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
Don't worry about the price of bitcoin it will always be good money
Pnmuk 11:28AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
Jan. 6, 2021: The House and Senate hold a joint session to count the electoral votes. If one ticket has received 270 or more electoral votes, the president of the Senate, currently Vice President Mike Pence, announces the results.
kardus 10:21AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
@Rocko The date you're looking for is 6 Jan, not 14 Dec.
praine 9:01AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
For anyone concerned about the volatility of BTC: you can always short BTC on an exchange thus cancelling out the 'long' position you have holding it here. I know a number of exchanges offer it but I think Bitmex is the most popular one. Something to look into!
Rocko 7:47AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
@Avalon, that’s totally not right for a lot of people. First of all, the decision logic states clearly first to 270 EC votes and no subsequent event can affect it. I was okay to postpone it a bit and be fair but by Dec 14th this has to be resolved. That would as per the bet logic decision. You also have to consider BTC volatility for the winners. BTC has hit a top and might have a solid retracement coming up... not fair for the winners to keep waiting because some are hoping for a miracle.
Pnmuk 6:13AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
When in doubt go Canadian
Pnmuk 6:13AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
Good call avalon hats of to you
cyphluxdev 3:13AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
cyphluxdev 3:10AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
This is big if so.
cyphluxdev 3:09AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
cyphluxdev 3:08AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
cyphluxdev 3:02AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
cyphluxdev 3:00AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
Trump organised a sting op with watermarks on official ballots.
Avalon 1:25AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
The host has not put in an outcome on this prop yet. It would be fair to hold these props open until the EC votes are announced Jan 6th. Hopefully everything is naturally settled by then and we will have a clear, undisputed winner.
Javan 12:17AM, Nov 10, 2020 UTC
@JeezusChrist respect
Pnmuk 8:19PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC
Good idea jesuschrist your logic is of the higher order of things
JeezusChrist 7:25PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC
I bet Biden here but see no reason to call it at this point. We should all be happy that BM understands the importance of "getting it right" over calling it early. Yes, it is clear Biden will win & be president come January. However, Trump has the right to make his case known & heard. Recounts, legal disputes & evidence of fraud or the lack thereof will take place over the next month. Jan. 6, 2021: The electoral votes are counted and a winner announced. I say wait til 1/6/21- We all should.
Javan 6:41AM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC
@zargothrax you are misinformed. States have not cast their votes. This doesn't take place until dec. 14th. I understand where you are coming from.. but this is not your run of the mill election and the decision logic is very clear about electoral votes being won. At this point in time, technically no canidate has any electoral votes.
Pnmuk 6:29AM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC
News media projections are not official statements from the states, biden fans know the game is almost up trying to front run like the media

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