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United Kingdom general election, 8 June 2017

United Kingdom general election, 8 June 2017
Category:
Politics
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Description

Who will win the next UK elections scheduled for June the 8th 2017? Theresa May, of the Conservative Party or Jeremy Corbyn of the Labour? The Lib-Dems of Tim Farron or the UKIP?

Decision Logic

Data used will be the one from BBC.

As Win, we mean more seats in parliament. Specifically it does not mean more popular votes or who elects the prime minister.

CLOSING IN2017-06-08 06:00:00

12:56PM, Apr 28, 2017 UTC

6:00AM, Jun 8, 2017 UTC

12:00PM, Jun 9, 2017 UTC

RESOLVED AT 6:54PM, Jun 9, 2017 UTC

Total Volume: 0.3710

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Theresa May - Conservatives"

0.371 was split between 6 bettors.
Theresa May - Conservatives
Volume:0.3460
1.80262
# of Bets:6
Jeremy Corbyn - Labour
Volume:0.0250
0.11135
# of Bets:4
Tim Farron - LIberal-Democrats
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
UKIP
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0

Discussion

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Avalon 12:33AM, May 3, 2017 UTC
Logic updated to state a win meaning more seats in parliament.
Avalon 8:53PM, May 1, 2017 UTC
@kolotoure77294 some duplicates are OK on BetMoose so no worries there. It's not a direct duplicate as the host has slightly different options. That said, @Zarathustra can you please specify a proper decision logic. We will verify and add it into your decision logic field.
Zarathustra 7:08PM, Apr 28, 2017 UTC
I can see that. I can see that it is not a duplicate because there is a difference. By the way, there will be no other.
kolotoure77294 6:59PM, Apr 28, 2017 UTC
If it's most seats then it's a duplicate, all the options are the same the only difference is you didn't include an option for "Other". https://www.betmoose.com/bet/uk-general-election-2017-2943
Zarathustra 4:38PM, Apr 28, 2017 UTC
Hello kolotoure77294, it is a little bit of a duplicate but not really the same as there is only 4 choices here. Obviously I mean more seats, the only way you can win. As you rightly point out, other ways to assess who wins or not would be unreliable and prone to debate. More seats = Win.
kolotoure77294 2:17PM, Apr 28, 2017 UTC
This is a duplicate AND you also haven't defined how this is resolved. Is it most seats won, popular vote, next prime minister or something else? In the U.K. a party could win most seats, but not enough to form a majority and then be part of a governing coalition government and therefore not provide the prime minister.

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