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US Democratic Vice-Presidential Nominee

US Democratic Vice-Presidential Nominee
Category:
Politics
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Description

Who will be the on the ballot as Vice President for the Democratic party in the 2020 US general election.

Bets placed following an announcement that a selection has been made (by major media or the party) will be returned.

Decision Logic

First candidate to accept the nomination will be declared the winner.

CLOSING IN2020-08-13 04:00:00

3:21PM, Jul 15, 2020 UTC

4:00AM, Aug 13, 2020 UTC

2:25PM, Aug 28, 2020 UTC

Early Outcome

RESOLVED AT 1:09PM, Sep 1, 2020 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0375

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Kamala Harris"

0.03750875 was split between 4 bettors.
Kamala Harris
Volume:0.0163
0.07364875
# of Bets:4
Susan Rice
Volume:0.0064
0.029595
# of Bets:3
Tammy Duckworth
Volume:0.0030
0.0129443
# of Bets:2
Val Demings
Volume:0.0023
0.01041555
# of Bets:4
Other
Volume:0.0095
0.03653052
# of Bets:5

Discussion

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Avalon 3:38AM, Sep 3, 2020 UTC
@jagsbeach - no, you should have received full commission here. It is voided/affects reputation only if we get to the resolution before you :)
jagsbeach 1:16PM, Sep 1, 2020 UTC
@Avalon Thanks and done. I got a message about voided commission and reduced reputation. No worries about commission here, but for the-45th-or-46th-u_s_-president-in-2020-4941 I hope that a delayed outcome does not put the commission in jeopardy.
Avalon 2:26PM, Aug 28, 2020 UTC
@jagsbeach thanks for the call-out and apologies for the delay. You can resolve it now.
jagsbeach 12:25PM, Aug 21, 2020 UTC
Hi @Avalon, I'm looking to resolve this bet. But two bets were placed after the outcome was known. So I'm not sure that I should select Harris as the outcome and click Set. I don't know if there is a way to select a Resolved Early date or a confirmation.
d_d 9:18PM, Aug 11, 2020 UTC
https://thebulwark.com/newsletter-issue/the-smart-money-is-on-val-demings/ The smart money lost...
jagsbeach 8:34PM, Aug 11, 2020 UTC
Closed Early for Kamala Harris - @Avalon
jagsbeach 8:32PM, Aug 11, 2020 UTC
Kamala Harris is the pick - no drama oddswise https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1293280411150217219?s=20
Avalon 4:18PM, Jul 25, 2020 UTC
We'll close this sometime between Aug 1 - 15th, with all wagers post-Aug 1 to be returned.
jagsbeach 3:58PM, Jul 15, 2020 UTC
Joe Biden's self-imposed deadline for making up his mind on a vice presidential pick is August 1. So it's likely that bets placed after AUG1 will be returned.

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