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USA - Presidential Election Winner 2024

USA - Presidential Election Winner 2024
Category:
Politics
By
praine
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Description

Who will win the presidential election in 2024?

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As Biden has dropped out of the race, a new bet is required.

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August 24 Edit: The DNC has concluded and Kamala has officially secured the nomination. I removed some text regarding what would happen to this bet if that did not come to pass. Everything continues as normal. Best of luck!

Decision Logic

Consensus between major media outlets (CNN, NBC, Fox, etc.) on the candidate that won (270+ electoral college votes). If the outcome is contested, then the payout will be delayed until the certification of electoral votes by the US Congress on January 6, 2025.

CLOSING IN2024-11-05 12:30:00

9:35PM, Jul 21, 2024 UTC

12:30PM, Nov 5, 2024 UTC

4:00PM, Nov 7, 2024 UTC

6.835xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 4.104

Kamala Harris
Volume: 1.573
18.73913522
# of Bets: 32
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Donald Trump
Volume: 2.531
28.67271395
# of Bets: 13
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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praine 6:13AM, Aug 26, 2024 UTC
@Asnoman !!! Great to see you! The messaging services we used to use has all but died. Do you use Discord?
Asnoman 7:54PM, Aug 24, 2024 UTC
Well done kid
vegai 11:55AM, Aug 15, 2024 UTC
I wonder if it's gonna be another attempted sedition like 4 years ago
f84jf85hg7g 2:49AM, Aug 6, 2024 UTC
Trump tried to change the votes to make himself king and said he could terminate the Constitution. Praises dictators and violent authoritarian crackdowns and jokes about wanting to be a dictator himself. It's seriously disturbing that anyone still supports him.
Futurepast 3:05AM, Aug 4, 2024 UTC
If I lose this bet then the BTC I lose will be nothing compared to another Trump disaster
CapE 2:29AM, Aug 4, 2024 UTC
Do you think Trump can win the State of Pennsylvania? Consisdered a swing state, Pennsylvania might play a crucial role this election! https://www.betmoose.com/bet/24-presidential-election-winner-pennsylvania-6029
Pnmuk 12:27PM, Jul 25, 2024 UTC
Looks like trump can tap out at anytime
f84jf85hg7g 3:12AM, Jul 24, 2024 UTC
Oldest candidate in history, who tried to change the vote to make himself the winner, has openly advocated the termination of the Constitution, is a convicted felon, and picked a VP who openly advocates violating the Constitution and wants to withhold all military aid to Ukraine, vs the Attorney General he once donated $5000 to because she was doing such a great job. Hmmmm.
posclegom 11:17PM, Jul 23, 2024 UTC
Making bet in the hope of losing bet.
praine 3:41AM, Jul 23, 2024 UTC
It's fine this way. I'll up the stakes in the small chance I have to make a new one. Guaranteeing 1 BTC of volume.
Avalon 3:00AM, Jul 23, 2024 UTC
You should have just made this as party vs party instead of the people itself... would keep your volume on it.. Up to you though!
praine 7:07AM, Jul 22, 2024 UTC
It gets refunded because then it is no longer 'Donald Trump' vs. 'Kamala Harris'. This bet assumes they will be the 2 candidates on election night.
sirlanka 7:02AM, Jul 22, 2024 UTC
Decision Logic doesn't not explain what happens if one of them drops out
praine 1:11AM, Jul 22, 2024 UTC
That's fine. Then I'll just make a new bet that has at least 0.75 BTC of volume. This is a guarantee, BetMoose! Worry not about any lost fees!
Porky 1:10AM, Jul 22, 2024 UTC
Too soon, too soon. I predict a wave of anti-Kamala attacks the likes of which the world has never seen before, and that's before the Republicans even wake up from their hangovers. The candidacy will be decided via melee combat on the floor of the DNC in Chicongo next month. JB "Sumo" Pritzker has both the weight and home-court advantage, but that sneaky little bastard Bernie Sanders is someone to watch.

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