All Bets

When will Brexit happen, if ever?

When will Brexit happen, if ever?
Category:
Politics
By
Lugal
Share

Description

Will the UK leave the EU between now and a year from now, and if so when?

Decision Logic

Decision based on the UK actually leaving the EU, with our without a deal, by the respective dates. Early resolution possible. Bets after the fact will be cancelled.

CLOSING IN2020-06-01 14:55:00

3:03PM, Jul 16, 2019 UTC

2:55PM, Jun 1, 2020 UTC

2:55PM, Jul 16, 2020 UTC

25.055xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0570

By November 1 2019
Volume: 0.0500
1.85225
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

By March 1 2020
Volume: 0.0016
0.04360679
# of Bets: 6
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Not by July 16 2020
Volume: 0.0054
0.17578834
# of Bets: 5
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

Login or Sign Up to comment.

werewolf 3:05PM, Aug 25, 2019 UTC
I am actually willing to bet on Brexit taking place later than November 1st. Moderator can be contacted by clicking the red button in the right corner.
Lugal 1:01PM, Aug 25, 2019 UTC
Good point, I don't know what I was thinking. Maybe fairest to just cancel and refund in that case. I guess that must be possible?
Lugal 1:00PM, Aug 25, 2019 UTC
Good point, I don't know what I was thinking. Maybe fairest to just cancel and refund in that case. I guess that must be possible?
werewolf 12:33AM, Aug 25, 2019 UTC
How this proposition will be resolved if Brexit happens somewhere in between March 1 and July 16?
werewolf 10:11PM, Aug 23, 2019 UTC
I suppose that if Brexit is going to happen next year, [Not by July] option will be getting more and more volume starting from the early March and essentially it will be after the fact betting. So perhaps the betting deadline should've been moved closer to 1March2000 or even a bit earlier. Not a big deal though.

Direct Link (click to highlight):

BBCode (forums):

Anonymous Bet - care to Login or Sign Up?

Placing bet on ""

Send winnings to:


*For use with standalone wallets (bitcoin-qt, electrum).
Shared wallets (exchanges, multifactor) will not work!

Proceed

Send your bet to this address:

1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk

* Minimum bet is 0.0001 BTC

Your bet will be automatically entered when picked up - no confirmations needed!

Done