When will Brexit happen, if ever?

UK parliament finally rubber stamps Brexit in no-fuss vote January 9, 2020 https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/09/uk/brexit-deal-uk-votes-gbr-intl/index.html

Brexit was passed into law some day in january, so the cutoff point should be 7 days before that 'brexit into law' bill passed, whenever that was

For those still doubtful or wish to predict specifics, we recommend creating a more specifically-worded prop on items such as trade deals.

Early outcome known set to January 6th based on the following logic; Dec 12 2019 the Tories won majority in the election, meaning it was semi-guaranteed a withdrawal bill to have been passed (and was). Given a generous 50/50 expected outcome of actual bill passing with no delays, we set the known outcome to be half-way between the election and the formal withdrawal. As per the outcome logic, Brexit was fairly vaguely specified, so 31st Jan is considered the day Britain left the EU.

I am actually willing to bet on Brexit taking place later than November 1st. Moderator can be contacted by clicking the red button in the right corner.

Good point, I don't know what I was thinking. Maybe fairest to just cancel and refund in that case. I guess that must be possible?

Good point, I don't know what I was thinking. Maybe fairest to just cancel and refund in that case. I guess that must be possible?

How this proposition will be resolved if Brexit happens somewhere in between March 1 and July 16?

I suppose that if Brexit is going to happen next year, [Not by July] option will be getting more and more volume starting from the early March and essentially it will be after the fact betting. So perhaps the betting deadline should've been moved closer to 1March2000 or even a bit earlier. Not a big deal though.