All Bets

When will this transaction hit 1 confirmation?

When will this transaction hit 1 confirmation?
Category:
Bitcoin
By
ndnhc
Share

Description

Bet on when this transaction will reach one confirmation:

https://blockchain.info/tx/d19142158d3000995a32089fbb6303d3e1c0a6dbada45aed2ab3b5e453a82d36

Betting resolves as soon as 1 confirmation is received.

Decision Logic

The side whose prediction is correct wins.
Bets will be void if you make bets after 1 confirmation.

For the record:
https://blockchain.info/tx/d19142158d3000995a32089fbb6303d3e1c0a6dbada45aed2ab3b5e453a82d36

4:03AM, Sep 29, 2014 UTC

9:00AM, Oct 4, 2014 UTC

9:00AM, Oct 5, 2014 UTC

CANCELLED

This bet has been cancelled!

Reason: Looks like this tx disappeared entirely.

Before 1 Oct 00:00 GMT
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
Between 1 and 4 October
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
After 4 October
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0

Discussion

Login or Sign Up to comment.

ndnhc 3:17AM, Oct 6, 2014 UTC
np. It will usually confirm within 10 days. You can check the previous bet: https://blockchain.info/tx/905f6f2c81d07a68062f770ea9dc46e43619c6073c81eb649740c3e34772a7eb with similar amount and no fees.
Avalon 4:50PM, Oct 5, 2014 UTC
@donaldtrump - the tx is the same. Although I am not the resident blockchain expert here at BM, I believe it's possible to 'rebroadcast' the tx via the client, which is where that timestamp may be from. Either way, this definitely needs to see a confirmation in order for that outcome option to be valid. We'll give it a week and check back Sun Oct 12th.
donaldtrump 3:56PM, Oct 5, 2014 UTC
@Gloomfrost - I agree the logic seems weird if the tx never confirms. In future bets like this, the last option should be "after xx or never" just to cover all the bases. Regarding the Oct 2 received time, the mods may be able to verify that the description wasn't changed. Otherwise, it should probably be cancelled. @BetMoose - what do you think?
Gloomfrost 3:34PM, Oct 5, 2014 UTC
@donaldtrump what do you think? My issue is that it's not confirmed at all. Which means if the tx is broken it may never confirm, which means "after October 4th" isn't an answer y'know? I think we should wait for a confirmation before paying this one out
ndnhc 10:40AM, Oct 5, 2014 UTC
If you think there is some problem, you can refund the bets. i am really confused now. In my wallet (blockchain.info), when i looked at 'my transactions', i never made a 0.0001 btc no fee transaction before Oct 2nd except the other one (the other bet which is closed). so according to my blockchain wallet, the transaction never happened when i did it. but it just bounced out of nowhere ???
ndnhc 10:16AM, Oct 5, 2014 UTC
??? it is correct. blockchain.info says 2014-10-02 20:05:28 . i think the time is wrong or something. i tried to get the time from other block explorers, but i can't since the transaction is unconfirmed.
ndnhc 10:06AM, Oct 5, 2014 UTC
okay. I will add it to decision logic next time. thanks :D there is time on the blockchain, so i can't send a new transaction. But it is possible if i make more than 1 transactions at the same time. in that case, all those will be confirmed around the same time.
Gloomfrost 10:12PM, Oct 3, 2014 UTC
Hey why does the transaction blockchain.info say it was received on the 2nd of october? You should be putting the txid in the logic as you can edit the description whenever.. current: https://blockchain.info/tx/d19142158d3000995a32089fbb6303d3e1c0a6dbada45aed2ab3b5e453a82d36
Gloomfrost 10:08PM, Oct 3, 2014 UTC
Round 2 before round 1 is finished!? Lol. Man I hope it confirms before tomorrow!
ndnhc 10:30AM, Oct 3, 2014 UTC
ROUND 2 CREATED with FIXED odds: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/when-will-this-transaction-hit-1-confirmation-2-918
ndnhc 4:44AM, Oct 3, 2014 UTC
I know, but here is what i wanted to do, but i can't: Till Oct 1, all three bets are open. After Oct 1, first option closes, but the other options are still open for betting. i want a higher time multiplier. Next round i am going to put fixed odds. :)
Avalon 3:06AM, Oct 2, 2014 UTC
@donaldtrump - We've consulted and agree with you - technically this is still fair game. The betting will close once the outcome is actually known, not before (as is in the rules). Good point thanks. First bet like this we've seen. On a related note, something with this type of function could be interesting to see in the "Other" category.
donaldtrump 11:52PM, Oct 1, 2014 UTC
@Avalon - I bet on the option that's already been eliminated knowing full well when the betting deadline was. I figure the late deadline is just part of the way the bet is structured, as long as everyone knows what they're getting into.
Avalon 8:15AM, Oct 1, 2014 UTC
This should technically be closed right now, as we know it is not one of the options. I can't do it with the admin panel so we'll have to let it ride for now but please note that any bets placed Oct 1st onwards will be refunded at the end.

Direct Link (click to highlight):

BBCode (forums):

Anonymous Bet - care to Login or Sign Up?

Placing bet on ""

Send winnings to:


*For use with standalone wallets (bitcoin-qt, electrum).
Shared wallets (exchanges, multifactor) will not work!

Proceed

Send your bet to this address:

1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk

* Minimum bet is 0.0001 BTC

Your bet will be automatically entered when picked up - no confirmations needed!

Done