Which party will be the Runner Up in Canada
Description
With Canadian elections approaching, who will be the runner up
The two major parties are the Liberals, currently in power, led by Justin Trudeau who just resigned to start a leadership race; and the Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre.
Four other parties currently have representatives in Parliament.
Currently, the Liberals lead, but Trudeau has stepped down. The election is scheduled for October 20th, 2025, but may be held earlier if the government dissolves.

Decision Logic
The party of the Official Opposition after the 2025 elections is the winner.
CONSERVATIVES - The Conservative party, is the official opposition
LIBERALS - The Liberal party is the official opposition
BLOC QUEBECOIS - The Bloc Quebecois is the official opposition
NDP is the official opposition
Greens + Independents + Others = Green Party makes a deal that makes them the official opposition
(Note in Case the Bloc Wins official opposition status even though they only represent Quebec they will still be given the official opposition status)
Anti-leech provision: bets must be placed at least one calendar day prior to the vote. Bets made after that date will be refunded.
Early decision possible if an early election is called.
12:57PM, Jan 8, 2025 UTC
5:55AM, Oct 20, 2025 UTC
5:55AM, Nov 1, 2025 UTC
26.645xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier
Total Volume: 0.0003
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