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Which party will be the Runner Up in Canada

Which party will be the Runner Up in Canada
Category:
Politics
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Description

With Canadian elections approaching, who will be the runner up

The two major parties are the Liberals, currently in power, led by Justin Trudeau who just resigned to start a leadership race; and the Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre.
Four other parties currently have representatives in Parliament.

Currently, the Liberals lead, but Trudeau has stepped down. The election is scheduled for October 20th, 2025, but may be held earlier if the government dissolves.

Decision Logic

The party of the Official Opposition after the 2025 elections is the winner.

CONSERVATIVES - The Conservative party, is the official opposition
LIBERALS - The Liberal party is the official opposition
BLOC QUEBECOIS - The Bloc Quebecois is the official opposition
NDP is the official opposition
Greens + Independents + Others = Green Party makes a deal that makes them the official opposition

(Note in Case the Bloc Wins official opposition status even though they only represent Quebec they will still be given the official opposition status)

Anti-leech provision: bets must be placed at least one calendar day prior to the vote. Bets made after that date will be refunded.
Early decision possible if an early election is called.

CLOSING IN2025-04-29 04:05:00

12:57PM, Jan 8, 2025 UTC

4:05AM, Apr 29, 2025 UTC

5:43PM, May 23, 2025 UTC

Early Outcome

RESOLVED AT 4:51AM, May 30, 2025 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0008

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Conservatives"

0.0008 was split between 6 bettors.
Conservatives
Volume:0.0006
0.013902
# of Bets:6
Liberals
Volume:0.0001
0.0028355
# of Bets:1
NDP
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
Bloc Quebecois
Volume:0.0001
0.0035165
# of Bets:1
Greens + Independents + Others
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0

Discussion

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freedom 9:38PM, May 5, 2025 UTC
freedom 5:59AM, Apr 30, 2025 UTC
Bet reported for settlement
freedom 5:56AM, Apr 30, 2025 UTC
@Porky haha it happens the French Flag fell that day See you in 3 months XD (kid lol give Carney at least a bit longer than that to fix it)
Porky 4:11AM, Apr 29, 2025 UTC
Outcome known, Conservatives are in second place, Liberals remain in power. Good luck, Canadians! Sympathies, @freedom!
freedom 4:07PM, Apr 4, 2025 UTC
(Due to the election being well in April this poll will have early decision)
freedom 4:06PM, Apr 4, 2025 UTC
@Porky man my bloc bet got wrecked and legit ... looking conservative but if its not liberals for minority its insane what happened in a few months
Porky 6:38AM, Mar 19, 2025 UTC
Kind of horrifying that Canadians would prefer to throw away their futures rather than stop human trafficking and fentanyl production, but it looks like that's how it's going now. :-(
freedom 1:01PM, Jan 8, 2025 UTC
Trump can have Quebec for the 51st state whistle

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