Which party will lead Canada after the next election?
Description
With Canadian elections approaching, who will lead Canada?
The two major parties are the Liberals, currently in power, led by Justin Trudeau; and the Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre. Four other parties currently have representatives in Parliament.
Currently, the Liberals lead, but it is rumored that Trudeau may step down. The election is scheduled for October 20th, 2025, but may be held earlier if the government dissolves.

Decision Logic
The party of the Prime Minister after the 2025 elections is the winner.
CONSERVATIVES - The Conservative party, Poilievre or his successor, is PM
LIBERALS - The Liberal party, Trudeau or his successor, is PM
OTHER - the next PM is from any of the other parties
Anti-leech provision: bets must be placed at least one calendar day prior to the vote. Bets made after that date will be refunded.
Early decision possible if an early election is called.
10:55PM, Dec 16, 2024 UTC
5:00PM, Oct 19, 2025 UTC
4:55AM, Nov 1, 2025 UTC
31.505xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier
Total Volume: 0.0032
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