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Which side will John Roberts be on in NYRSPA v Bruen?

Which side will John Roberts be on in NYRSPA v Bruen?
Category:
Politics
By
Porky
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Description

Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts joined the majority in both Heller and McDonald, finally acknowledging that the 2nd Amendment was an individual right that applied to the states. Since then, he has disappointed American gun owners by refusing cases and, last year, ruling that NYSRPA v. NYC was mooted by NYC's last-second announcement of changes to the law, which only came after it looked like they had lost the case.

Lately, Roberts has repeatedly joined the left-wing side of the Court on rulings, and is now the "swing vote" replacing Justice Kennedy.

Which side will he join in NYRSPA v Bruen, reversing the lower court (favoring gun rights) or affirming 2Cir (opposed to gun rights)? Will he be in the majority or the minority?

Decision Logic

Four possible outcomes:

(1) Roberts joins the MAJORITY in REVERSING the 2nd Circuit,
(2) Roberts joins the MAJORITY in AFFIRMING the 2nd Circuit,
(3) The decision REVERSES 2cir, and Roberts is in the MINORITY DISSENTING against it (wanted to affirm),
(4) The decision AFFIRMS 2cir, and Roberts is in the MINORITY DISSENTING against it (wanted to reverse),

This bet may resolve early whenever the opinion is released, typically late June 2022. Bets placed on or after 7am Eastern Time (US) of the day the opinion is released will be considered leech bets and will be refunded. Bets have no time weighting.

CLOSING IN2022-06-28 11:00:00

3:27PM, Nov 6, 2021 UTC

11:00AM, Jun 28, 2022 UTC

4:15AM, Jul 1, 2022 UTC

N/ACurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0001

Majority Reversing
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Majority Affirming
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Minority against Reversing
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Minority against Affirming
Volume: 0.0001
0.0001
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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