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Which will happen first?

Which will happen first?
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Description

Which of the following will be available first? One of these will happen - the question is, which one will first? If none happen within a year, the bet is cancelled.

Decision Logic

Bet resolves early at whichever point the first of the below items are "commercially available" to the public (meaning purchasable to a geographic region through mainstream fiat/bitcoin methods).
1. Circle.com - offering bitcoin buying/storing/exchange/marketplace services (any of the above, they just need to actually launch something viable).
2. OnePlus One phone without an invite system to buy
3. Half Life 3 game from Valve
4. Leonardo DiCaprio winning an Oscar
5. Mt.Gox adds LTC trading

CLOSING IN2014-09-29 04:00:00

4:31PM, Jun 30, 2014 UTC

4:00AM, Sep 29, 2014 UTC

6:25PM, Sep 29, 2014 UTC

Early Outcome

RESOLVED AT 6:36PM, Sep 29, 2014 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0700

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Circle launches services"

0.07 was split between 2 bettors.
Circle launches services
Volume:0.0550
2.363925
# of Bets:2
OnePlus One phone w/o inv. sys
Volume:0.0050
0.223675
# of Bets:1
Half Life 3/EP3
Volume:0.0050
0.223675
# of Bets:1
Leonardo DiCaprio wins anOscar
Volume:0.0050
0.223675
# of Bets:1
Mt.Gox adds LTC trading
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0

Discussion

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Gloomfrost 6:37PM, Sep 29, 2014 UTC
damnit was really hoping for Half Life 3!!! :P
donaldtrump 12:53PM, Sep 29, 2014 UTC
@Avalon - I jumped the gun last time, but now I think we can say say Circle is commercially available.
Avalon 5:55PM, Aug 10, 2014 UTC
@donaldtrump - logic says 'commercially available'. Circle.com is still in 'request invite' stage.
donaldtrump 2:54PM, Aug 10, 2014 UTC
I think it's fair to say Circle has launched services now.
Gloomfrost 1:18AM, Jul 1, 2014 UTC
Because all of these seems pretty far-fetched tbh! Including a potential rehab program and re-launch of Mt.Gox with LTC trading! :) Hey you don't have to bet on that option if you don't think it'll happen
whatever 11:08PM, Jun 30, 2014 UTC
Why is Mt Gox even an option on here?

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