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Who Will Win the 2024 Presidential Election?

Who Will Win the 2024 Presidential Election?
Category:
Politics
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Description

This is a market on who will win the 2024 US Presidential election.

Decision Logic

This market will resolve based on the results the 2024 according to official sources. If the election is contested, it will resolve when either (1) the results are confirmed by Congress (typically on January 6th), and if that does not happen then (2) Based on who actually gets sworn in and takes office.

CLOSING IN2024-11-06 05:00:00

11:00PM, Nov 14, 2023 UTC

5:00AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC

9:04PM, Nov 11, 2024 UTC

Early Outcome

RESOLVED AT 3:06AM, Nov 12, 2024 UTC

Offered Volume: 2.298
Backed Volume: 3.568

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Donald J. Trump "

Donald J. Trump
Volume
3.1698501
# Bets
26
Joseph R. Biden
Volume
0.02434133
# Bets
8
Other (including RFK, Jr.)
Volume
0.374085
# Bets
13

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Payout
3:42AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.1923 1.52x 0.28352712
3:42AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.2445 1.71x 0.40555215
3:36AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC leen93 Donald J. Trump 0.2248 1.71x 0.37287576
3:34AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC leen93 Donald J. Trump 0.0005 1.71x 0.00082935
3:34AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC Megalodon Donald J. Trump 0.1 1.71x 0.16587000
3:33AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC leen93 Donald J. Trump 0.00051157 1.71x 0.00084854
3:30AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC leen93 Donald J. Trump 0.03 1.71x 0.04976100
3:11AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.0005 1.71x 0.00082935
3:08AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.001 1.71x 0.00165870
2:16AM, Nov 6, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.0015 1.71x 0.00248805
7:18PM, Nov 5, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.01 1.71x 0.01658700
7:12PM, Nov 5, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.002 1.71x 0.00331740
7:11PM, Nov 5, 2024 UTC nsob Donald J. Trump 0.085 1.71x 0.14098950
6:46PM, Nov 5, 2024 UTC Megalodon Donald J. Trump 0.5 1.71x 0.82935000
10:45AM, Nov 5, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.2081 1.71x 0.34517547
10:29AM, Nov 5, 2024 UTC Trev625 Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.003465 2.02x 0.00000000
10:26AM, Nov 5, 2024 UTC Trev625 Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.1428 2.40x 0.00000000
6:35PM, Nov 3, 2024 UTC nobody Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.05 2.12x 0.00000000
1:22PM, Nov 3, 2024 UTC planetnine Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.02 2.12x 0.00000000
8:39PM, Oct 27, 2024 UTC Zarathustra Donald J. Trump 0.0023 1.46x 0.00325726
9:12PM, Oct 26, 2024 UTC Zarathustra Donald J. Trump 0.002 1.46x 0.00283240
9:34AM, Oct 24, 2024 UTC kazanecki Donald J. Trump 0.03 1.49x 0.04335900
7:36AM, Oct 18, 2024 UTC Anonymous Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.0028 2.02x 0.00000000
2:54AM, Oct 18, 2024 UTC Anonymous Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.0001 2.02x 0.00000000
4:01PM, Oct 16, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 1.2 1.46x 1.69944000
10:40PM, Oct 7, 2024 UTC Zarathustra Donald J. Trump 0.002 1.46x 0.00283240
12:45PM, Sep 30, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.3 1.60x 0.46560000
1:14AM, Sep 11, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.007 1.81x 0.01228990
1:14AM, Sep 11, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.01 1.82x 0.01765400
4:30PM, Sep 10, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.00306633 1.82x 0.00541330
10:43PM, Aug 29, 2024 UTC basserben1 Donald J. Trump 0.0016722 2.00x 0.00324407
11:58AM, Aug 15, 2024 UTC Anonymous Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.04 1.64x 0.00000000
11:50AM, Aug 15, 2024 UTC Anonymous Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.1 1.64x 0.00000000
12:03AM, Aug 15, 2024 UTC Anonymous Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.0005 1.63x 0.00000000
2:51AM, Aug 6, 2024 UTC Anonymous Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.00018 1.60x 0.00000000
9:31PM, Jul 21, 2024 UTC HChinaskiPUA Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.008 2.17x 0.00000000
7:20PM, Jul 21, 2024 UTC Anonymous Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.001 2.16x 0.00000000
7:09PM, Jul 19, 2024 UTC Golhoneybadger Joseph R. Biden 0.00155338 5.00x 0.00000000
10:04PM, Jul 18, 2024 UTC Anonymous Other (including RFK, Jr.) 0.00524 2.10x 0.00000000
6:07PM, Jun 18, 2024 UTC ContentConifer Joseph R. Biden 0.0085 1.90x 0.00000000
1:56PM, Jun 12, 2024 UTC Anonymous Donald J. Trump 0.0111 1.90x 0.02045730
9:37PM, Jun 8, 2024 UTC ContentConifer Joseph R. Biden 0.00257882 1.90x 0.00000000
11:16PM, Jun 3, 2024 UTC Golhoneybadger Joseph R. Biden 0.0003 1.85x 0.00000000
8:06PM, Jun 3, 2024 UTC ContentConifer Joseph R. Biden 0.00129888 1.85x 0.00000000
10:07AM, Jun 1, 2024 UTC Anonymous Joseph R. Biden 0.00011025 1.85x 0.00000000
10:06AM, Jun 1, 2024 UTC Anonymous Joseph R. Biden 0.005 1.85x 0.00000000
10:05AM, Jun 1, 2024 UTC Anonymous Joseph R. Biden 0.005 1.85x 0.00000000
See more

Discussion

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JuliasCeasar 1:59PM, Feb 14, 2024 UTC
If someone puts up an ask for Biden at .32 (offers Biden at 3), I'll take it.
JuliasCeasar 2:24PM, Feb 9, 2024 UTC
@Trev625, who are you looking to take action on? Biden?
Trev625 10:48AM, Feb 9, 2024 UTC
I'm gonna put some liquidity since there isn't much but it's gonna be weighted toward me for now since the election is so far off. Polymarket has Biden at 32% right now so that's where I'll start and go down.
JuliasCeasar 10:29PM, Jan 7, 2024 UTC
I would take action on biden at 3, if someone offers.

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