Will 2020 Census forms include Citizenship Question?
Bet resolves in favor of Yes if any of the questionnaires distributed as part of the 2020 Census include, intentionally or accidentally, a Citizenship Question.
Otherwise, if there is no public confirmation that at least one 2020 Census form was distributed with a Citizenship Question, this bet resolves in favor of No.
For Yes to win - prior to May 1, 2020, it is publicly confirmed (in a manner that can be reasonably verified & corroborated) that a questionnaire(s) was distributed as a part of the 2020 Census (i.e. to conduct the decennial population count of the US, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Island Areas) that included a question asking the respondent if he/she is a citizen of the US ("Citizenship Question"). Such confirmation, resolves this Market for Yes even if it is also confirmed that the questionnaire(s) were mistakenly printed/distributed during the 2020 Census or if efforts are made to mitigate the effects of this printing/distribution error. Test forms, like the 2019 Census Test, do not resolve this market for Yes.
4:52AM, Jul 29, 2019 UTC
4:00PM, May 1, 2020 UTC
6:00PM, May 1, 2020 UTC
12.770xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier
Total Volume: 0.0695
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