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Will 2020 Census forms include Citizenship Question?

Will 2020 Census forms include Citizenship Question?
Category:
Politics
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Description

Bet resolves in favor of Yes if any of the questionnaires distributed as part of the 2020 Census include, intentionally or accidentally, a Citizenship Question.

Otherwise, if there is no public confirmation that at least one 2020 Census form was distributed with a Citizenship Question, this bet resolves in favor of No.

Decision Logic

For Yes to win - prior to May 1, 2020, it is publicly confirmed (in a manner that can be reasonably verified & corroborated) that a questionnaire(s) was distributed as a part of the 2020 Census (i.e. to conduct the decennial population count of the US, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Island Areas) that included a question asking the respondent if he/she is a citizen of the US ("Citizenship Question"). Such confirmation, resolves this Market for Yes even if it is also confirmed that the questionnaire(s) were mistakenly printed/distributed during the 2020 Census or if efforts are made to mitigate the effects of this printing/distribution error. Test forms, like the 2019 Census Test, do not resolve this market for Yes.

CLOSING IN2020-05-01 16:00:00

4:52AM, Jul 29, 2019 UTC

4:00PM, May 1, 2020 UTC

6:00PM, May 1, 2020 UTC

20.975xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0135

YES
Volume: 0.0082
0.281137
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0053
0.1671225
# of Bets: 4
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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