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Will 2020 Census include Citizenship Question by Jan 1?

Will 2020 Census include Citizenship Question by Jan 1?
Category:
Politics
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Description

If questionnaires with a Citizenship Question have been printed or distributed for the 2020 Census prior to Jan 1, 2020, this bet resolves in favor of Yes. Otherwise, if a questionnaires with a Citizenship Question have not been printed and/or distributed for the 2020 Census by Jan 1, 2020, this bet resolves in favor of No. Early resolution possible.

Decision Logic

Yes wins bet if, prior to Jan 1, 2020, it is publicly confirmed (in manner that can be reasonably verified/corroborated) that at least one questionnaire was printed for use in the 2020 Census (i.e. to conduct the decennial census population counts of the 50 states, Puerto Rico, and/or US Island Areas) that contained a question asking if respondent is a citizen of the US ("Citizen Question"). This Market resolves for Yes even if such questionnaire(s) were printed or sent for the 2020 Census by mistake.

Only questionnaires that were printed to conduct the 2020 Census population counts of the US/US territories can resolve this bet for Yes. The 2019 Census Test will not resolve this bet for Yes. Early resolution possible.

CLOSING IN2020-05-01 04:00:00

4:46AM, Aug 6, 2019 UTC

4:00AM, May 1, 2020 UTC

4:00PM, May 1, 2020 UTC

31.070xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0103

YES
Volume: 0.0102
0.33887526
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0001
0.0032255
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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