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Will 2022 be the warmest year on record?

Will 2022 be the warmest year on record?
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Description

The Earth's global surface temperature varies from year to year. Some believe there is an increasing trend due to human carbon emissions, while others say the climate is unaffected by human activity and we will soon experience another ice age.

Regardless, will NASA's GISTEMP Surface Temperature Analysis record 2022 as being the warmest year on record?

Decision Logic

YES: The global temperature Annual Average Anomaly for 2022 is greater than that for all prior recorded and published years (1880-2021), as rounded to the nearest hundredth of a degree Celsius, according to the first-published such data by NASA (GISTEMP Land-Ocean Temperature Index: No_Smoothing), at https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/. In the event that NASA revises their estimates of past years, the first-published LOTI table that includes 2022 will determine the outcome.

NO: The Anomaly is less than or equal to the previous record.

CLOSING IN2023-01-01 04:59:00

12:05AM, Jan 11, 2022 UTC

4:59AM, Jan 1, 2023 UTC

1:20PM, Feb 1, 2023 UTC

4.455xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0407

YES
Volume: 0.0033
0.093203
# of Bets: 4
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0374
0.71737352
# of Bets: 9
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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f84jf85hg7g 3:40AM, May 11, 2022 UTC
@pegoti Yes, GISTEMP Land-Ocean Temperature Index: No_Smoothing
pegoti 7:32PM, May 2, 2022 UTC
GLOBAL LAND-OCEAN TEMPERATURE INDEX that's how we measure it?

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