Will Donald Trump be a dictator?
Description
Donald Trump has stated that the US Constitution can be terminated, floated the idea of being "President for Life," and stated he would be a dictator "on day one" if re-elected. Will he follow through?
This bet focuses on whether Trump declares a state of emergency to consolidate power and the ensuing battle over its legitimacy: will Congress act to cancel it, will he veto their cancellation, and can Congress muster a veto override?
Decision Logic
"Emergency Declared" occurs if Trump declares a national emergency by December 31, 2025.
"Congress Cancels" occurs if Congress votes to cancel the emergency by a simple majority.
"Trump Vetoes" occurs if Trump vetoes the cancellation.
"Congress Overrides" occurs if Congress overrides the veto with a 2/3 majority.
"None of the Above" occurs if no other outcomes are met by December 31, 2025.
Resolution will rely on official documentation and reputable outlets such as AP, Reuters, Politico, White House announcements, and Congressional records.
3:02AM, Jan 10, 2025 UTC
5:00AM, Dec 31, 2025 UTC
5:00AM, Jan 9, 2026 UTC
41.905xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier
Total Volume: 0.0147
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