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Will Donald Trump be President on Dec 1, 2020?

Will Donald Trump be President on Dec 1, 2020?
Category:
Politics
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Description

Will Donald Trump continue to hold the office of President of the United States at any point on Dec 1st, 2020?

Note that this differs from the existing re-election bet, and accounts for various scenarios such as:
Election delayed
Election canceled (martial law, etc)
Trump elected as someone's VP, then that person resigns before Dec 1st 2020
etc
Trump wins election, but then somehow leaves office before Dec 1st, 2020

Decision Logic

If Trump is serving as President of the United States at any point on the date of 12/01/2020 EST, the bet resolves Yes. If Trump is not President of the United States on the outcome date, the bet resolves No. Early resolution possible if Trump permanently ceases to be President with no conceivable possibility of serving in the office again before the Outcome Date (in which case, No wins).

CLOSING IN2020-11-01 04:00:00

3:39AM, Dec 10, 2019 UTC

4:00AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

4:55AM, Dec 2, 2020 UTC

32.000xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0198

YES
Volume: 0.0186
0.74915452
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0012
0.0410685
# of Bets: 3
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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