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Will Ethereum hard-fork to circumvent the DAO hack?

Will Ethereum hard-fork to circumvent the DAO hack?
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Bitcoin
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Description

On 17-June an attacker managed to find a flaw in the deployed smart-contract code of Slock.it's DAO (Decentralised Autonomous Organisation) stealing millions of dollars. A hard fork have been proposed and its up to the majority of the Ethereum miners to accept or reject this proposal. The community is divided. If the hard fork is enforced the attacker gets nothing and all DAO investors get their money back but at the expense of Ethereum's reputation by not maintaining decentralised principles.

Decision Logic

If the Ethereum network hard forks before the outcome date the bet will resolve to YES. Any soft forks will be disregarded.

CLOSING IN2016-07-12 10:00:00

10:03AM, Jun 18, 2016 UTC

10:00AM, Jul 12, 2016 UTC

10:00AM, Jul 15, 2016 UTC

RESOLVED AT 10:01AM, Jul 15, 2016 UTC

Total Volume: 11.27

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

11.26510753 was split between 9 bettors.
YES
Volume:1.000
2.09023796
# of Bets:18
NO
Volume:10.27
12.84945
# of Bets:9

Discussion

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topnotch 2:47AM, Jul 2, 2016 UTC
Repeating and adding emphasis: "What authority will be consulted to determine AT WHAT POINT IN TIME the hard fork is complete?"
pvrooyen 6:21AM, Jun 30, 2016 UTC
Releasing software does not guarantee a fork. Like the soft fork software released but was not adopted by the miners. In my somewhat limited knowledge a hard-fork happens when there is a longer chain where new rules are implemented and blocks solved still implementing the old version gets rejected. To verify this should be a fairly trivial task by looking at the block-chain(s) of the different versions. Anyone else please feel free to elaborate if you have more technical knowledge.
topnotch 10:46PM, Jun 29, 2016 UTC
Suppose the hard fork software upgrade has been announced, and we are waiting for miners to upgrade. What authority will be consulted to determine at what point in time the hard fork is complete?
pvrooyen 5:48AM, Jun 20, 2016 UTC
Decision Logic updated
pvrooyen 5:37AM, Jun 19, 2016 UTC
Make sense thanks. Will try and edit.
Avalon 8:36PM, Jun 18, 2016 UTC
In the future, a more general determination criteria would be better. Eg: "If Ethereum has a hard fork within the 30 days". You do not need to specify why. What if Ethereum hard forks but it's not clear if the investors get their money back? You should report an edit to your bet so we can make the logic more clear.

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