Will Joe Biden be the Democrat party nominee in 2024?

Makes sense but using your settlement logic, anything that could happen could not apply after Biden secured the nominee status. Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market. So it was forced to settle more less unless the bet logic said anything could happen

Biden will not be formally named the party’s nominee until August at the Democratic National Convention, but he has officially won enough delegates to make him the presumptive nominee per Politico. IIRC I had intended to wait until August (anything could happen!), but a moderator has requested the bet be resolved. Given the information that we have, it seems to me that it must resolve "YES."

Well just chilled and was checking news yep its done https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/12/biden-cllinches-democratic-presidential-nomination-00146648 Biden officially clinches Democratic nomination for president The president was always expected to be the nominee. But now he secured “presumptive” status. President Joe Biden clinched the Democratic presidential nomination, clearing his path to a rematch with Donald Trump in November.

@sirlanka this one slipped our initial check and was not reported. Some clever users manually create a custom POST request when creating the bet. Normally we delete them but as it is now active, we can leave it as is. The end time is alright so there's no harm.

@Avalon Why is this bet open when another one was cancelled for "Maximum bet length is 1 year". Will this one be go until the end or be cancelled?