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Will Kerch Strait Bridge be attacked by end of October?

Will Kerch Strait Bridge be attacked by end of October?
Category:
Politics
By
Porky
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Description

Will Ukraine attack the Kerch Strait Bridge before the end of October 2022?

Decision Logic

YES - bridge is hit by one or more missile or bombs before 11:59:59.99pm local time on October 31 2022.
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NO - bridge remains undamaged by either missiles or bombs as of November 1 2022.
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Notes: bombs do not have to be delivered by aircraft. Bridge does not have to be rendered unusable, it merely has to be attacked.
.
Leech avoidance: YES bets made less than 1 day before outcome shall be removed/refunded.

CLOSING IN2022-10-08 04:00:00

1:10PM, Sep 8, 2022 UTC

4:00AM, Oct 8, 2022 UTC

6:52PM, Oct 13, 2022 UTC

Early Outcome

RESOLVED AT 11:35AM, Oct 15, 2022 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0008

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Yes"

0.00075 was split between 1 bettors.
YES
Volume:0.0003
0.00216
# of Bets:1
NO
Volume:0.0005
0.0027645
# of Bets:3

Discussion

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Porky 8:02AM, Oct 8, 2022 UTC
Video of the instant of the explosion, you can do a frame-by-frame to see the explosion at about the 3 second mark. Truck bomb on top of the road. https://files.catbox.moe/1f7mj6.mp4
Porky 6:08AM, Oct 8, 2022 UTC
Calling it. That wasn't a simple railcar fire; a railcar fire wouldn't have blown the roadway spans off their supports.
Porky 5:40AM, Oct 8, 2022 UTC
BOOM: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/explosion-rocks-russias-prized-kerch-strait-bridge-leading-to-crimea

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